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Stjarnan vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 98-103
18-23 28-27 20-31 32-22
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Hottur 🏆
Iceland
Position#8
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game111.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 2· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Stjarnan v Hottur
16 Oct 2026
STJA98
HOTT103
14 Nov 2024
STJA87
HOTT80
07 Mar 2024
STJA92
HOTT82
17 Feb 2023
STJA75
HOTT89
14 Jan 2021
STJA97
HOTT70
04 Jan 2018
STJA102
HOTT69
03 Mar 2016
STJA90
HOTT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
W
97-86
97
86
+11
83avg 95
H01/04
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
68avg 95
A06/04
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
104-80
104
80
+24
104avg 95
H10/04
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
118-115 OT
118
115
+3
95avg 95
A14/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
96-95
96
95
+1
92avg 95
A21/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
101avg 95
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
88-103
88
103
-15
86avg 95
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
97-103
97
103
-6
92avg 95
H03/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
84avg 95
A06/05
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 95
A08/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-31
23-24
24-9
22-22
14-20
29-32
27-23
12-16
32-29
21-22
25-13
26-16
20-29
25-26
27-25
20-12
25-27
23-17
21-24
27-27
22-30
17-28
29-8
19-21
23-30
13-27
25-22
27-24
26-20
29-26
21-27
21-30
22-30
17-29
26-21
26-20
22-22
19-24
18-23
18-21
192.1Avg total
95.5Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.090.0167.0-13.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)77.090.0167.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)95.596.6192.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)91.699.8191.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.595.0175.5-14.50%
vs Similar (9)102.095.4197.4+6.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)107.295.3202.5+11.983%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
L
63-64
63
64
-1
no box
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
101-110
101
110
-9
no box
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
no box
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
58-92
58
92
-34
no box
A07/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H13/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
no box
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
103-95
103
95
+8
no box
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
H27/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#4
L
77-111
77
111
-34
63avg 63
A08/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
20-14
9-11
14-17
23-30
18-15
31-31
29-34
26-23
22-28
17-29
20-17
19-17
15-33
15-26
9-16
17-18
30-28
19-19
17-21
19-15
19-26
23-19
14-37
30-28
32-30
13-26
28-11
18-22
16-17
26-30
23-15
26-24
22-20
19-24
32-27
26-26
17-31
15-24
19-30
175.8Avg total
82.7Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.0111.0188.0-34.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)77.0111.0188.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)82.793.1175.8-10.420%
Last 5 (5)87.496.4183.8-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)83.294.5177.7-11.224%
vs Similar (6)81.785.3167.0-3.733%
vs Weaker (2)97.084.5181.5+12.550%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
StjarnanHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H01/04
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A06/04
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H10/04
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A14/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A21/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H03/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A06/05
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Premier league
97.3Avg total
45.0Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.549.1102.6+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.948.8104.7+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)50.949.4100.3+1.464%-
Last 10 (10)45.052.397.3-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.053.295.2-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.051.093.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (9)48.648.897.3-0.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)57.849.2107.0+8.678%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A07/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H27/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#4
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A08/10
Premier league
90.2Avg total
43.5Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.845.286.0-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.643.786.3-1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.146.785.7-7.67%-
Last 10 (10)43.546.790.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.892.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)41.347.488.7-6.124%-
vs Similar (6)38.841.880.7-3.017%-
vs Weaker (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.7
50.6%
56.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.011.9
32.2%
33.0%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.318.4
72.7%
73.9%18.4
They take 77.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.6
49.1%
56.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.89.5
29.9%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.916.2
77.5%
73.9%16.2
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
LLLLWWWWLW
Hottur
LWLWLLLLLL
#7
League position
#8
-1.0
Net rating
-12.6
94.9
Offensive rating
99.5
95.9
Defensive rating
112.1
49.5%
Effective FG%
47.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.2%
3-point %
29.9%
61.0%
Assist %
53.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 99.5Defence95.9 · 112.1Shooting49.5% · 47.1%3-point %32.2% · 29.9%Ball care13.0% · 15.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Stjarnan wins
2
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
13/02/25Hottur v Stjarnan83-86
14/11/24Stjarnan v Hottur87-80
07/03/24Stjarnan v Hottur92-82
23/11/23Hottur v Stjarnan89-72
17/02/23Stjarnan v Hottur75-89 OT
21/11/22Hottur v Stjarnan89-92 OT
07/03/21Hottur v Stjarnan93-94
14/01/21Stjarnan v Hottur97-70
04/01/18Stjarnan v Hottur102-69
05/10/17Hottur v Stjarnan66-92
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26AValur77-90
06/05/26ATindastoll91-100
03/05/26HTindastoll97-103
29/04/26ATindastoll88-103
25/04/26HTindastoll105-103 OT
21/04/26ATindastoll96-95
14/04/26AKR Basket118-115 OT
10/04/26HKR Basket104-80
06/04/26AKR Basket82-91
01/04/26HKR Basket97-86
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26AAlftanes77-111
27/03/25HAlftanes99-95
14/03/25AIR Reykjavik83-84
06/03/25HThorl103-95
01/03/25AKR Basket75-97
13/02/25HStjarnan83-86
07/02/25AValur58-92
30/01/25HTindastoll85-97
23/01/25ANjardvik101-110
16/01/25HGrindavik63-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game77.0-77.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Hottur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game77.0-77.0
Allowed / game111.0-111.0
Point differential-34.0--34.0
Avg total188.0-188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alftanes220100%115.082.5+32.5
2 Keflavik220100%107.090.0+17.0
3 Tindastoll220100%97.081.5+15.5
4 Valur110100%90.077.0+13.0
5 KR Basket220100%87.576.5+11.0
6 IR Reykjavik21150%92.5105.0-12.5
7 Njardvik2020%75.084.5-9.5
8 Grindavik1010%80.091.0-11.0
9 Sindri2020%90.5101.5-11.0
10 Stjarnan1010%77.090.0-13.0
11 Armann2020%88.0108.5-20.5
12 Hottur1010%77.0111.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan1828203298
Hottur23273122103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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