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Thorl vs Armann Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 74-79
14-21 28-22 23-16 9-20
Position#11
Record5-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game98.2
vs
Position#10
Record4-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game101.4
IcelandPremier leagueRound 20· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Armann winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 79
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
94-106
94
106
-12
87avg 79
H18/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
105-75
105
75
+30
107avg 79
H03/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
58avg 79
A09/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
123-126 OT
123
126
-3
no box
H15/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
71-80 OT
71
80
-9
58avg 79
A22/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
78-98
78
98
-20
68avg 79
H30/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
65avg 79
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
95-98
95
98
-3
89avg 79
H19/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
68-127
68
127
-59
52avg 79
A06/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-33
26-18
20-19
20-22
23-19
28-26
24-26
19-35
26-20
32-21
23-19
24-15
22-28
23-15
15-24
15-30
30-31
35-27
29-20
17-33
19-18
16-12
13-23
17-12
29-24
22-18
12-23
15-33
19-20
24-14
19-23
16-18
30-16
19-27
20-31
26-24
22-32
17-37
23-27
6-31
185.4Avg total
88.0Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.598.2186.7-9.726%
Season at home (9)97.9100.7198.6-2.833%
Season away (10)80.196.0176.1-15.920%
Last 10 (10)88.097.4185.4-9.430%
Last 5 (5)78.095.6173.6-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)89.798.0187.7-8.329%
vs Similar (5)99.6105.4205.0-5.80%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)95.596.5192.0-1.050%
This opponent (Armann) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArmannIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArmann
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 73
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Akranes IA
#12
W
102-83
102
83
+19
98avg 73
H19/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
75-110
75
110
-35
56avg 73
H03/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
93-102
93
102
-9
79avg 73
A08/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
94-77
94
77
+17
no box
H15/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
102-93
102
93
+9
95avg 73
A22/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
74-109
74
109
-35
56avg 73
H29/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
76-113
76
113
-37
62avg 73
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
88-90
88
90
-2
77avg 73
H20/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
87-104
87
104
-17
76avg 73
H06/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
20-24
21-15
19-22
27-15
28-22
25-26
22-20
13-18
18-27
23-27
21-38
37-24
21-28
19-29
16-21
31-16
19-18
18-16
26-27
28-19
27-24
24-28
23-22
15-35
19-15
23-32
17-27
24-24
30-30
14-27
8-32
26-24
18-25
26-16
18-25
26-26
20-29
17-22
24-27
183.5Avg total
86.8Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.5101.4187.9-14.921%
Season at home (10)89.099.0188.0-10.030%
Season away (9)83.8104.1187.9-20.311%
Last 10 (10)86.896.7183.5-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.4101.8187.2-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)85.7102.4188.1-16.817%
vs Similar (1)102.083.0185.0+19.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Thorl) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -7.8-7.8Q4: -6.7-6.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -7.8-7.8Q4: -6.7-6.7
ThorlArmann
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H03/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A09/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H15/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A22/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A12/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H19/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
39-69
39
69
-30
A06/03
Premier league
94.5Avg total
48.9Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.748.095.7-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.145.894.9+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)46.550.096.5-3.544%-
Last 10 (10)48.945.694.5+3.390%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.687.0-0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)45.646.391.9-0.752%-
vs Similar (5)51.653.6105.2-2.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)53.850.2104.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Armann) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArmannLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Akranes IA
#12
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H19/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H03/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A08/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A22/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H29/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H20/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H06/03
Premier league
93.2Avg total
46.4Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)45.551.096.5-5.532%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.949.092.9-5.127%-
Last 30 away (11)47.153.1100.2-6.036%-
Last 10 (10)46.446.893.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.650.296.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)46.051.997.9-5.933%-
vs Similar (1)55.037.092.0+18.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Thorl) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.8
51.6%
54.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.112.5
32.8%
34.0%37.5
🏀 Free throws15.110.7
70.9%
74.2%10.7
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Armanntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Armann: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.9
53.9%
54.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.0
30.1%
34.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.115.9
68.8%
74.2%15.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
LLWLLLLWLW
Armann
LLLLWWLLWL
#11
League position
#10
-12.4
Net rating
-16.2
93.3
Offensive rating
97.0
105.7
Defensive rating
113.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
61.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
13.1%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.8%
3-point %
30.1%
60.4%
Assist %
55.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 97.0Defence105.7 · 113.2Shooting50.3% · 49.8%3-point %32.8% · 30.1%Ball care15.7% · 13.1%Off. rebounds22.8% · 23.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Thorl   ■ Armann
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Thorl wins
1
Armann wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Armann v Thorl110-85
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AStjarnan68-127
19/02/26HTindastoll95-98
12/02/26AIR Reykjavik78-75
30/01/26HKeflavik78-98
22/01/26AValur71-80 OT
15/01/26HKR Basket123-126 OT
09/01/26AAlftanes75-97
03/01/26HAkranes IA105-75
18/12/25HGrindavik94-106
12/12/25ANjardvik93-92
Armannlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HNjardvik87-104
20/02/26HStjarnan88-90
13/02/26ATindastoll76-113
29/01/26HIR Reykjavik74-109
22/01/26AKeflavik102-93
15/01/26HValur94-77
08/01/26AKR Basket93-102
03/01/26HAlftanes75-110
19/12/25HAkranes IA102-83
14/12/25AGrindavik77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%33%20%
Points / game88.597.980.1
Allowed / game98.2100.796.0
Point differential-9.7-2.8-15.9
Avg total186.7198.6176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %16%22%10%
Armann
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%30%11%
Points / game86.589.083.8
Allowed / game101.499.0104.1
Point differential-14.9-10.0-20.3
Avg total187.9188.0187.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1916384%93.488.3+5.1
2 Stjarnan1914574%105.293.1+12.1
3 Tindastoll1914574%101.191.0+10.1
4 Valur1913668%91.889.0+2.8
5 KR Basket1911858%99.494.5+4.9
6 Keflavik1911858%95.291.6+3.6
7 IR Reykjavik1981142%90.491.3-0.8
8 Alftanes1971237%90.890.9-0.1
9 Njardvik1971237%96.497.6-1.2
10 Thorl1951426%88.598.2-9.7
11 Akranes IA1941521%87.399.2-11.9
12 Armann1941521%86.5101.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl142823974
Armann2122162079
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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