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Aros Basket vs Trelleborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 84-68
16-18 29-11 14-21 25-18
Position#13
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#10
Record9-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game84.5
SwedenSuperettan· Kristiansborgshallen
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aros Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trelleborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 72
A15/11
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
99-86
99
86
+13
95avg 72
A22/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
90avg 72
H29/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 72
H06/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
97-110 OT
97
110
-13
91avg 72
H13/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 72
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 72
H24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 72
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 72
H07/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
20-23
15-17
21-22
29-28
27-16
20-24
23-18
12-26
34-26
16-26
29-18
18-20
22-17
10-26
30-24
18-23
25-28
25-18
24-23
15-20
21-28
29-24
18-25
24-15
21-27
12-20
18-22
18-18
18-27
22-24
18-22
25-30
16-18
19-21
18-19
21-24
23-20
19-17
14-24
174.2Avg total
83.3Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.486.8166.2-7.418%
Season at home (8)81.986.4168.2-4.512%
Season away (9)77.287.1164.3-9.922%
Last 10 (10)83.390.9174.2-7.610%
Last 5 (5)77.889.0166.8-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.288.2167.4-8.919%
vs Similar (9)76.975.0151.9+1.956%
vs Weaker (5)87.086.0173.0+1.060%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrelleborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrelleborg
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#6
W
98-72
98
72
+26
90avg 77
A26/11
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
79-94
79
94
-15
65avg 77
A29/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
67avg 77
H06/12
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 77
H20/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
H17/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
109-104
109
104
+5
97avg 77
A24/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
63avg 77
A25/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
99-61
99
61
+38
97avg 77
H31/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
102-101
102
101
+1
100avg 77
H07/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 77
A14/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
28-22
19-15
20-15
12-24
18-24
17-22
32-24
18-27
26-25
22-16
14-25
14-26
17-25
23-19
25-24
26-27
17-12
21-19
23-11
27-31
26-30
28-17
28-26
17-27
23-16
21-21
20-27
22-22
25-10
20-16
32-13
35-31
19-20
32-29
16-21
19-31
17-24
25-20
15-15
175.9Avg total
89.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.084.5168.5-0.547%
Season at home (10)87.982.3170.2+5.660%
Season away (9)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)89.086.9175.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)93.489.4182.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.890.0165.8-14.220%
vs Similar (12)84.981.6166.5+3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)95.782.8178.5+12.977%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
Aros BasketTrelleborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eskilstuna
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A22/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H29/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H13/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/02
Superettan
88.5Avg total
42.8Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.483.0-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.642.982.5-3.221%-
Last 30 away (16)39.543.983.4-4.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.788.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.485.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.845.183.9-6.412%-
vs Similar (9)37.439.777.1-2.256%-
vs Weaker (5)46.044.890.8+1.240%-
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrelleborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#6
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A26/11
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A29/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H06/12
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H20/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A24/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H31/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H07/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A14/02
Superettan
91.1Avg total
43.7Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.686.4+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.340.987.2+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)41.044.585.5-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)43.747.491.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.494.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.880.8-6.840%-
vs Similar (12)42.942.285.1+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.342.589.8+4.869%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.6
54.3%
50.7%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.46.6
26.0%
30.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.512.6
68.1%
67.0%12.6
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trelleborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trelleborg: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.4
55.1%
50.7%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.4
35.5%
30.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.514.1
65.6%
67.0%14.1
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aros Basket
LLLLLLLLWL
Trelleborg
LWWLWWLLLW
#13
League position
#10
-8.9
Net rating
+2.0
94.4
Offensive rating
103.8
103.3
Defensive rating
101.8
48.8%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.0%
3-point %
35.5%
63.8%
Assist %
58.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 103.8Defence103.3 · 101.8Shooting48.8% · 54.3%3-point %26.0% · 35.5%Ball care18.1% · 14.3%Off. rebounds28.6% · 27.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Aros Basket   ■ Trelleborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aros Basket wins
0
Trelleborg wins
No previous meetings.
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HDjurgarden77-85
01/02/26HMalbas78-88
24/01/26HAIK Basket76-91
17/01/26AOckelbo75-84
20/12/25AHuddinge83-97
13/12/25HHuddinge97-110 OT
06/12/25HAlvik80-87
29/11/25HFryshuset Basket91-96
22/11/25ABlackeberg99-86
15/11/25AEskilstuna77-85
Trelleborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AEskilstuna76-90
07/02/26HEskilstuna102-101
31/01/26HAlvik99-61
25/01/26AAlvik81-91
24/01/26ABlackeberg109-104
17/01/26HIK Eos87-69
20/12/25HMalbas79-94
06/12/25HHuddinge80-93
29/11/25AOckelbo79-94
26/11/25AIK Eos98-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%12%22%
Points / game79.481.977.2
Allowed / game86.886.487.1
Point differential-7.4-4.5-9.9
Avg total166.2168.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
Trelleborg
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game84.087.979.7
Allowed / game84.582.387.0
Point differential-0.5+5.6-7.3
Avg total168.5170.2166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket2016480%87.881.2+6.7
2 Malbas1914574%87.775.8+11.9
3 Wetterbygden Stars1912763%78.578.8-0.3
4 Djurgarden1911858%82.578.1+4.5
5 Huddinge1911858%87.986.8+1.1
6 Alvik1810856%78.180.7-2.6
7 Eskilstuna189950%86.185.3+0.8
8 IK Eos1991047%82.980.4+2.5
9 Trelleborg1991047%84.084.5-0.5
10 Sollentuna178947%78.177.4+0.7
11 Ockelbo1981142%76.779.4-2.6
12 AIK Basket1771041%78.577.2+1.3
13 Aros Basket1731418%79.486.8-7.4
14 Blackeberg2031715%75.791.8-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aros Basket1629142584
Trelleborg1811211868
← all games of the day
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