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Eskilstuna vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-77
23-21 23-20 17-15 22-21
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#13
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game80.9
SwedenSuperettan· Volvo CE Arena
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eskilstuna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EskilstunaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEskilstuna
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#10
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
H27/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
A03/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
101-94
101
94
+7
no box
H07/04
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 76
H20/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 76
A25/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
62avg 76
A04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
61avg 76
H08/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
92-81
92
81
+11
86avg 76
H19/10
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 76
A30/10
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
70-75
70
75
-5
54avg 76
H09/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
15-16
27-19
16-26
15-19
22-23
23-7
24-20
28-19
21-24
30-20
22-31
22-14
18-25
25-23
30-26
23-31
20-24
22-18
24-23
12-16
15-22
23-13
29-22
17-28
23-15
28-27
7-20
14-9
27-21
29-28
22-23
30-20
21-21
27-22
20-19
14-21
18-23
22-18
16-13
169.5Avg total
85.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.483.6169.0+1.957%
Season at home (4)83.083.5166.5-0.550%
Season away (3)88.783.7172.3+5.067%
Last 10 (10)85.983.6169.5+2.360%
Last 5 (5)82.880.2163.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)81.088.1169.1-7.227%
vs Similar (7)80.475.6156.0+4.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)98.082.0180.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#4
L
71-80
71
80
-9
60avg 71
H12/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
70-94
70
94
-24
56avg 71
A21/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 71
H25/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 71
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
69-107
69
107
-38
64avg 71
A05/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
70-83
70
83
-13
63avg 71
A11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 71
A25/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
73-96
73
96
-23
67avg 71
A26/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
92-60
92
60
+32
90avg 71
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
49avg 71
H02/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
14-22
23-15
19-25
12-25
18-27
22-20
18-22
19-25
17-17
22-20
21-10
19-12
12-13
19-26
26-15
13-26
26-34
16-24
14-23
17-27
20-15
18-20
15-21
17-18
17-20
21-21
18-21
12-29
22-18
20-27
19-22
15-18
32-16
23-9
22-17
14-30
6-12
21-11
23-21
154.9Avg total
73.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.980.9154.7-7.029%
Season at home (2)78.067.0145.0+11.050%
Season away (5)72.286.4158.6-14.220%
Last 10 (10)73.781.2154.9-7.530%
Last 5 (5)74.478.6153.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.284.9161.1-8.733%
vs Similar (13)77.275.8153.1+1.454%
vs Weaker (8)81.481.4162.8+0.062%
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
EskilstunaAros Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EskilstunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A03/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H07/04
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H20/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A25/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A04/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H08/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/10
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A30/10
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/11
Superettan
81.1Avg total
39.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.382.1-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.942.283.1-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.381.2-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.881.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.044.884.7-4.832%-
vs Similar (7)38.034.672.6+3.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)51.041.092.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H12/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H25/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A05/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A25/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
20-42
20
42
-22
H02/11
Superettan
75.9Avg total
33.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.979.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.437.778.1+2.850%-
Last 30 away (18)37.943.080.9-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)33.742.275.9-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.675.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.744.482.1-6.811%-
vs Similar (13)36.838.575.3-1.654%-
vs Weaker (8)43.640.884.4+2.950%-
This opponent (Eskilstuna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Eskilstunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Eskilstuna: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.9
52.4%
50.7%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
30.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.114.2
64.3%
67.0%14.2
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.0
51.4%
50.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.36.2
24.5%
30.9%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
67.0%14.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Eskilstuna
LWWLWLWWWL
Aros Basket
LWLLLLWWLL
#8
League position
#13
+3.7
Net rating
-9.5
100.7
Offensive rating
92.5
97.1
Defensive rating
102.0
49.7%
Effective FG%
45.6%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
20.7%
Turnover %
21.3%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.4%
3-point %
24.5%
57.0%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 92.5Defence97.1 · 102.0Shooting49.7% · 45.6%3-point %30.4% · 24.5%Ball care20.7% · 21.3%Off. rebounds32.6% · 28.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Eskilstuna   ■ Aros Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Eskilstuna wins
0
Aros Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Eskilstunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HAlvik70-75
30/10/25ABlackeberg98-82
19/10/25HAIK Basket92-81
08/10/25HFryshuset Basket75-90
04/10/25AAIK Basket79-73
25/09/25AFryshuset Basket89-96
20/09/25HMalbas95-88
07/04/24HDjurgarden101-94
03/04/24AAIK Basket84-69
27/03/24HOckelbo76-88
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HWetterbygden Stars64-74
31/10/25HOckelbo92-60
26/10/25AIK Eos73-96
25/10/25AMalbas73-80
11/10/25ASollentuna70-83
05/10/25AFryshuset Basket69-107
27/09/25AWetterbygden Stars76-66
25/04/25HKFUM Fryshuset79-72
21/04/25AKFUM Fryshuset70-94
12/04/25HOckelbo71-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eskilstuna
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game85.483.088.7
Allowed / game83.683.583.7
Point differential+1.9-0.5+5.0
Avg total169.0166.5172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game73.978.072.2
Allowed / game80.967.086.4
Point differential-7.0+11.0-14.2
Avg total154.7145.0158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket87188%89.077.0+12.0
2 Malbas43175%89.877.2+12.5
3 Sollentuna85362%77.570.4+7.1
4 Alvik85362%77.076.1+0.9
5 IK Eos74357%78.370.3+8.0
6 Djurgarden74357%84.978.0+6.9
7 Eskilstuna74357%85.483.6+1.9
8 Wetterbygden Stars74357%75.677.6-2.0
9 Ockelbo73443%73.178.7-5.6
10 Trelleborg73443%76.482.9-6.4
11 Huddinge62433%82.386.0-3.7
12 AIK Basket72529%74.679.6-5.0
13 Aros Basket72529%73.980.9-7.0
14 Blackeberg81712%72.688.0-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Eskilstuna2323172285
Aros Basket2120152177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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