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ASA vs Poitiers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-80
24-27 25-22 19-16 15-15
Position#5
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game81.8
ASA 🏆
France
vs
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game83.0
FrancePro BRound 5· Espace Sport La Forêt
Other2024-25
Meetings · ASA v Poitiers
05 Feb 2027
ASA v POI
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
ASA80
POI86
04 Oct 2024
ASA83
POI80
08 Mar 2024
ASA86
POI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ASA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poitiers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ASAFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormASA
Date
Competition
Evreux
#17
W
76-65
76
65
+11
94avg 88
H03/05
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
90-89
90
89
+1
102avg 88
A10/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
54-68
54
68
-14
61avg 88
A16/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
80-73
80
73
+7
98avg 88
H19/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
54-75
54
75
-21
56avg 88
A22/05
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
99-94
99
94
+5
123avg 88
H13/09
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
72-73
72
73
-1
79avg 88
A20/09
Pro B
Charleville Mezieres
#58
W
82-60
82
60
+22
87avg 88
A24/09
French Cup
Evreux
#18
L
79-80
79
80
-1
90avg 88
A27/09
Pro B
Vichy
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
102avg 88
H01/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
18-12
22-20
20-17
27-28
25-29
18-23
20-9
12-19
19-22
10-13
13-14
20-27
22-16
19-18
19-12
20-26
8-16
12-16
14-17
20-26
22-29
27-23
30-16
11-20
23-13
15-21
23-19
33-25
16-15
29-20
4-0
25-24
20-19
19-12
15-25
15-18
20-19
31-24
21-19
153.0Avg total
77.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.281.8166.0+2.550%
Season at home (2)93.087.0180.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)75.576.5152.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)77.375.7153.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)83.877.4161.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.074.0142.0-6.040%
vs Similar ◀ (22)80.878.3159.0+2.559%
vs Weaker (2)79.579.5159.0+0.050%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
La Rochelle
#1
L
64-89
64
89
-25
71avg 87
A09/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
W
80-69
80
69
+11
94avg 87
H12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
85avg 87
A26/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
85avg 87
H03/05
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
64-76
64
76
-12
65avg 87
A10/05
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
99avg 87
A13/09
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
86-74
86
74
+12
99avg 87
H20/09
Pro B
Fougeres
#54
W
82-63
82
63
+19
81avg 87
A24/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
87-79
87
79
+8
106avg 87
A27/09
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
74-84
74
84
-10
87avg 87
H01/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
9-22
10-25
21-12
16-22
15-24
23-8
26-15
21-16
17-29
14-25
22-19
16-18
16-19
18-23
28-20
12-21
20-21
21-13
11-21
22-23
17-12
21-29
24-20
26-15
24-22
21-13
15-24
27-14
22-21
13-13
20-15
18-25
20-14
21-9
28-31
19-14
20-20
19-23
16-27
157.8Avg total
78.0Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.583.0167.5+1.550%
Season at home (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
Season away (2)89.087.0176.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.079.8157.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)84.079.0163.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.782.0158.7-5.343%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.980.7162.6+1.253%
vs Weaker (5)84.881.6166.4+3.260%
This opponent (ASA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
ASAPoitiers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ASALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#17
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H03/05
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A10/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A16/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H19/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A22/05
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H13/09
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A20/09
Pro B
Charleville Mezieres
#58
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A24/09
French Cup
Evreux
#18
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A27/09
Pro B
Vichy
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/10
Pro B
81.1Avg total
39.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.879.3-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.239.878.0-1.629%-
Last 30 away (16)38.841.780.4-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.981.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.682.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.840.875.6-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.340.678.9-2.436%-
vs Weaker (2)45.043.088.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Rochelle
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A09/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A26/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H03/05
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A10/05
Pro B
Caen
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A13/09
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H20/09
Pro B
Fougeres
#54
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A24/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/09
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H01/10
Pro B
78.3Avg total
38.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.378.0-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.339.180.4+2.243%-
Last 30 away (16)36.439.575.9-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.278.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.079.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.941.377.1-5.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.239.877.9-1.635%-
vs Weaker (5)42.435.878.2+6.680%-
This opponent (ASA) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ASAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ASA: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.0
50.1%
52.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.216.5
74.3%
73.2%16.5
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.3
49.7%
52.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.0
32.6%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.217.8
73.6%
73.2%17.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ASA
WLWLWLWLWW
Poitiers
LWWWLLLLWL
#5
League position
#9
+2.2
Net rating
-2.5
106.4
Offensive rating
101.7
104.2
Defensive rating
104.2
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.3%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
20.6%
Turnover %
20.6%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.6%
3-point %
32.6%
68.2%
Assist %
70.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 101.7Defence104.2 · 104.2Shooting50.8% · 49.3%3-point %34.6% · 32.6%Ball care20.6% · 20.6%Off. rebounds33.8% · 28.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ ASA   ■ Poitiers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
ASA wins
1
Poitiers wins
DateGameScore
08/03/24ASA v Poitiers86-78
08/12/23Poitiers v ASA86-81
ASAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/24HVichy87-80
27/09/24AEvreux79-80
24/09/24ACharleville Mezieres82-60
20/09/24AAntibes72-73
13/09/24HSt. Chamond99-94
22/05/24ALa Rochelle54-75
19/05/24HLa Rochelle80-73
16/05/24ALa Rochelle54-68
10/05/24ADenain-Voltaire90-89
03/05/24HEvreux76-65
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/24HChalons-Reims74-84
27/09/24AHyeres-Toulon87-79
24/09/24AFougeres82-63
20/09/24HEvreux86-74
13/09/24ACaen91-95 OT
10/05/24AEvreux64-76
03/05/24HPau-Orthez78-80
26/04/24AVichy74-89
12/04/24HAntibes80-69
09/04/24ALa Rochelle64-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ASA
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game84.293.075.5
Allowed / game81.887.076.5
Point differential+2.5+6.0-1.0
Avg total166.0180.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poitiers
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.580.089.0
Allowed / game83.079.087.0
Point differential+1.5+1.0+2.0
Avg total167.5159.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois440100%89.871.2+18.5
2 Roanne440100%90.274.5+15.8
3 Boulazac440100%77.866.8+11.0
4 Pau-Orthez54180%81.277.4+3.8
5 Orleans43175%84.083.5+0.5
6 Aix Maurienne53260%84.879.2+5.6
7 Denain-Voltaire53260%77.075.8+1.2
8 Caen53260%74.676.6-2.0
9 St. Chamond42250%91.082.8+8.2
10 ASA42250%84.281.8+2.5
11 Poitiers42250%84.583.0+1.5
12 Antibes42250%80.881.5-0.8
13 Fos-sur-Mer42250%72.577.0-4.5
14 Chalons-Reims52340%78.281.4-3.2
15 Rouen41325%78.079.5-1.5
16 Evreux41325%77.583.2-5.8
17 Vichy51420%73.678.6-5.0
18 Nantes51420%79.286.2-7.0
19 Hyeres-Toulon4040%71.584.2-12.8
20 Chartres5050%73.893.4-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ASA2425191583
Poitiers2722161580
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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