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Poitiers vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-80
16-18 16-19 18-23 28-20
Position#11
Record16-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#7
Record16-16
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game79.0
FrancePro BRound 33· Salle Saint-Éloi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Poitiers v Pau-Orthez
15 Jun 2026
POI72
POR81
30 Apr 2026
POI90
POR97
20 Dec 2024
POI77
POR72
03 May 2024
POI78
POR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poitiers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Rouen
#5
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
A05/03
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
78-86
78
86
-8
90avg 86
A08/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
108-77
108
77
+31
127avg 86
H15/03
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
no box
A22/03
Pro B
Nantes
#13
W
81-74
81
74
+7
92avg 86
H26/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
74-83 OT
74
83
-9
83avg 86
A30/03
Pro B
Lille
#10
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
80avg 86
H05/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
64-89
64
89
-25
71avg 86
A09/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
W
80-69
80
69
+11
94avg 86
H12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
85avg 86
A26/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
25-14
19-19
23-23
13-20
24-21
19-17
22-28
24-10
35-21
24-17
25-29
14-23
21-26
25-22
26-15
23-20
18-25
18-17
22-12
15-22
18-20
17-14
19-13
14-20
22-22
22-19
22-19
24-30
9-22
10-25
21-12
16-22
15-24
23-8
26-15
21-16
17-29
14-25
22-19
169.9Avg total
84.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.181.8162.9-0.850%
Season at home (16)83.480.1163.6+3.362%
Season away (16)78.783.5162.2-4.838%
Last 10 (10)84.385.6169.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)76.685.2161.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.782.0158.7-5.343%
vs Similar ◀ (21)82.280.3162.6+1.957%
vs Weaker (2)83.587.5171.0-4.050%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
100avg 84
H13/03
Pro B
Dijon
#1
L
58-90
58
90
-32
54avg 84
A16/03
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
L
62-70
62
70
-8
71avg 84
A22/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
98avg 84
A26/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
99avg 84
H29/03
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
88avg 84
A05/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
98avg 84
H09/04
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
79-76
79
76
+3
93avg 84
A12/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
105avg 84
H19/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
67-85
67
85
-18
80avg 84
A28/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
27-22
18-20
31-21
17-21
12-20
8-26
21-23
13-19
19-10
10-25
20-16
19-29
20-18
26-21
23-23
19-28
27-17
17-16
15-17
18-28
18-21
19-26
27-18
18-21
28-18
18-16
20-25
21-18
16-18
22-18
20-22
18-18
28-16
23-17
18-20
21-33
22-20
13-18
11-14
163.0Avg total
79.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.779.0158.7+0.750%
Season at home (16)81.877.2159.0+4.669%
Season away (16)77.680.8158.4-3.231%
Last 10 (10)79.283.8163.0-4.640%
Last 5 (5)79.881.0160.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.389.0158.3-19.70%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.476.7155.1+1.755%
vs Weaker (7)86.381.1167.4+5.157%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
PoitiersPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rouen
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/03
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H15/03
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A22/03
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/03
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A30/03
Pro B
Lille
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H05/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A09/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A26/04
Pro B
81.8Avg total
38.4Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.078.0-1.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.938.879.7+2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)35.541.076.5-5.525%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.481.8-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.245.479.6-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.941.377.1-5.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)38.339.277.5-1.033%-
vs Weaker (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H13/03
Pro B
Dijon
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A22/03
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/03
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A05/04
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/04
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A28/04
Pro B
81.9Avg total
39.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.679.3+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.638.379.9+3.362%-
Last 30 away (17)38.240.678.9-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.081.9-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.283.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.344.778.0-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.838.578.3+1.260%-
vs Weaker (7)42.140.682.7+1.643%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.2
51.7%
51.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.1
34.5%
33.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.114.7
69.7%
72.2%14.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.2
48.9%
51.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.1
33.5%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.417.5
71.7%
72.2%17.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poitiers
LWLLLWWWLL
Pau-Orthez
LWWWLLLLLW
#11
League position
#7
-0.8
Net rating
-7.6
102.6
Offensive rating
103.6
103.4
Defensive rating
111.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.7%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.5%
3-point %
33.5%
72.9%
Assist %
63.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 103.6Defence103.4 · 111.1Shooting51.7% · 49.4%3-point %34.5% · 33.5%Ball care19.3% · 19.7%Off. rebounds26.4% · 30.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Poitiers   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poitiers wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Pau-Orthez v Poitiers77-78
19/09/23Pau-Orthez v Poitiers81-69
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24AVichy74-89
12/04/24HAntibes80-69
09/04/24ALa Rochelle64-89
05/04/24HLille91-96 OT
30/03/24ABoulazac74-83 OT
26/03/24HNantes81-74
22/03/24AFos-sur-Mer98-96 OT
15/03/24HSt. Chamond108-77
08/03/24AASA78-86
05/03/24ARouen95-97 OT
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24AASA67-85
19/04/24HFos-sur-Mer87-71
12/04/24ALille79-76
09/04/24HBoulazac84-80
05/04/24AVichy82-93
29/03/24HAix Maurienne91-94 OT
26/03/24ARouen88-91
22/03/24ASt. Chamond62-70
16/03/24ADijon58-90
13/03/24HDenain-Voltaire94-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poitiers
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game81.183.478.7
Allowed / game81.880.183.5
Point differential-0.8+3.3-4.8
Avg total162.9163.6162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)40% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %12%6%19%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%69%31%
Points / game79.781.877.6
Allowed / game79.077.280.8
Point differential+0.7+4.6-3.2
Avg total158.7159.0158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)50% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle3227584%79.370.3+9.0
2 Vichy3224875%84.477.5+6.9
3 Boulazac32211166%78.174.6+3.5
4 Orleans32201262%82.681.6+1.1
5 Rouen32191359%82.981.0+1.9
6 Chalons-Reims32181456%80.777.2+3.4
7 Pau-Orthez32161650%79.779.0+0.7
8 Poitiers32161650%81.181.8-0.8
9 ASA32151747%78.878.8-0.0
10 Antibes32151747%81.282.8-1.7
11 Lille32141844%75.275.8-0.6
12 St. Chamond32141844%81.882.9-1.1
13 Nantes32131941%81.783.5-1.8
14 Denain-Voltaire32131941%76.880.2-3.4
15 Aix Maurienne32131941%81.384.9-3.6
16 Fos-sur-Mer32102231%77.479.3-2.0
17 Evreux32102231%79.484.1-4.7
18 Angers32102231%79.286.1-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poitiers1616182878
Pau-Orthez1819232080
← all games of the day
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