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Astana 2 vs Irbis Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 101-83
33-14 28-13 13-25 27-31
Position#3
Record17-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#1
Record22-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game71.9
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Final· Sports hall Astana Academy
Other2024-25
Meetings · Astana 2 v Irbis Almaty
05 May 2025
ASTA101
IRBI83
08 Jan 2025
ASTA99
IRBI82
07 Jan 2025
ASTA73
IRBI79
10 Dec 2023
ASTA55
IRBI71
09 Dec 2023
ASTA70
IRBI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Irbis Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
82avg 72
A02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
56avg 72
H11/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 72
H12/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
77-55
77
55
+22
85avg 72
A14/04
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
100-66
100
66
+34
106avg 72
H15/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
93-70
93
70
+23
97avg 72
A19/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
97-76
97
76
+21
107avg 72
A20/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
84-65
84
65
+19
83avg 72
H23/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
85-62
85
62
+23
79avg 72
A01/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
75-67
75
67
+8
71avg 72
A02/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
16-26
18-27
14-14
18-10
16-25
8-15
21-13
20-15
25-15
22-21
15-17
18-17
19-11
22-14
18-13
22-20
23-25
28-13
27-8
26-14
23-17
24-21
20-18
25-24
28-21
20-18
24-13
22-20
21-17
25-12
16-16
21-14
19-23
20-16
25-9
26-15
11-18
23-20
15-14
152.7Avg total
83.8Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.377.2154.5+0.152%
Season at home (14)81.971.4153.4+10.564%
Season away (19)73.981.5155.4-7.542%
Last 10 (10)83.868.9152.7+14.980%
Last 5 (5)86.868.0154.8+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.481.4157.8-5.046%
vs Similar (11)78.073.5151.5+4.555%
vs Weaker (6)76.272.7148.8+3.567%
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Irbis AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
W
88-70
88
70
+18
93avg 74
H09/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 74
H10/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
61avg 74
A10/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
69-83
69
83
-14
60avg 74
A16/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
85-84
85
84
+1
81avg 74
A17/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 74
H18/04
National League
Almaty
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
H19/04
National League
Almaty
#4
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 74
A24/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
62-85
62
85
-23
45avg 74
H01/05
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
55avg 74
H02/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
24-15
15-25
26-11
19-16
23-21
31-14
11-24
14-25
17-18
19-21
28-13
20-21
18-14
11-20
20-28
31-26
15-15
22-30
17-13
17-22
23-23
21-18
33-22
23-19
14-25
21-5
24-20
25-10
10-21
21-22
22-16
14-21
23-19
16-20
9-25
15-26
18-11
20-23
14-15
155.9Avg total
78.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.371.9152.2+8.476%
Season at home (14)81.068.6149.6+12.479%
Season away (15)79.774.9154.7+4.873%
Last 10 (10)78.777.2155.9+1.570%
Last 5 (5)76.676.6153.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)77.083.5160.5-6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)80.771.0151.8+9.779%
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
Astana 2Irbis Almaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H11/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A14/04
National League
Atyrau
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H15/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A19/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A20/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A01/05
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/05
National League
80.0Avg total
43.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.478.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.036.379.3+6.758%-
Last 30 away (18)36.141.477.6-5.339%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.080.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.681.0+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.942.381.2-3.446%-
vs Similar (11)39.138.978.0+0.245%-
vs Weaker (6)38.334.072.3+4.350%-
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H09/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A10/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A17/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/04
National League
Almaty
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H19/04
National League
Almaty
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A24/04
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H01/05
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H02/05
National League
77.3Avg total
38.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.877.3+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.934.974.8+4.950%-
Last 30 away (16)41.238.479.6+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.777.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.475.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)40.536.777.1+3.857%-
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Astana 2 wins
7
Irbis Almaty wins
Astana 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/25AIrbis Almaty75-67
01/05/25AIrbis Almaty85-62
23/04/25HTobol Kostanay84-65
20/04/25ATobol Kostanay97-76
19/04/25ATobol Kostanay93-70
15/04/25HAtyrau100-66
14/04/25AAtyrau77-55
12/03/25HPavlodar82-68
11/03/25HPavlodar66-70 OT
02/03/25AAtyrau79-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/25HAstana 267-75
01/05/25HAstana 262-85
24/04/25AAlmaty78-69
19/04/25HAlmaty82-69
18/04/25HAlmaty94-85
17/03/25ATobol Kostanay85-84
16/03/25ATobol Kostanay69-83
10/03/25AAlmaty78-77
10/03/25HAlmaty84-75
09/03/25HAlmaty88-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana 2
National League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayWWWWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331419
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game77.381.973.9
Allowed / game77.271.481.5
Point differential+0.1+10.5-7.5
Avg total154.5153.4155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Irbis Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL76%
HomeWWWLL79%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %76%79%73%
Points / game80.381.079.7
Allowed / game71.968.674.9
Point differential+8.4+12.4+4.8
Avg total152.2149.6154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty2922776%80.371.9+8.4
2 Tobol Kostanay3123874%84.576.5+8.0
3 Almaty32171553%75.273.4+1.8
4 Astana 233171652%77.377.2+0.1
5 Atyrau28141450%78.577.2+1.3
6 Kaspiy Aktau29131645%74.175.7-1.6
7 Aktobe1631319%67.575.6-8.1
8 Pavlodar2842414%71.886.6-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana 233281327101
Irbis Almaty1413253183
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