Astana vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 67-76

15-17 13-23 21-21 18-15

Position#6

Record3-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.5

Allowed / game86.2

Astana

Khimki M. 🏆

Position#3

Record5-0

FormLWLWW

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game68.4

VTB United League

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Astana v Khimki M.

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Khimki M. winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

102-53

102

+49

H10/10

National League

Minsk

#14

93-86

A13/10

VTB United League

Atyrau

85-62

+23

A16/10

National League

Atyrau

92-58

+34

A17/10

National League

Zenit Petersburg

93-91

H21/10

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

80-45

+35

H23/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

78-72

H24/10

National League

Zielona Gora

#13

91-82

A29/10

VTB United League

Kokshetay

107-60

107

+47

A01/11

National League

Kokshetay

98-53

+45

A02/11

National League

33-13

25-13

22-10

22-17

17-17

27-20

17-23

32-26

30-13

18-18

20-20

17-11

17-18

26-19

30-14

19-7

24-20

13-28

29-22

27-21

21-9

18-12

18-18

23-6

25-19

16-17

16-12

21-24

23-14

20-21

26-18

22-29

27-17

28-12

33-24

19-7

23-18

23-12

31-18

21-5

158.1Avg total

91.9Scored

66.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	84.5	86.2	170.8	-1.8	75%
Season at home (2)	77.0	88.5	165.5	-11.5	50%
Season away (2)	92.0	84.0	176.0	+8.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.9	66.2	158.1	+25.7	100%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	62.4	153.2	+28.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	78.2	85.0	163.2	-6.8	40%
vs Similar (6)	81.2	82.5	163.7	-1.3	33%
vs Weaker (19)	91.4	63.6	155.1	+27.8	95%

This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Khimki M.

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

#10

96-67

+29

A05/10

VTB United League

Enisey

99-67

+32

A08/10

VTB United League

Olympiacos

66-87

-21

H12/10

Euroleague

BC Kalev/Cramo

80-73

H14/10

VTB United League

Fenerbahce

85-93

-8

A17/10

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

84-85

-1

H19/10

Euroleague

Parma Perm

#12

80-70

+10

A22/10

VTB United League

Olimpia Milano

#11

80-81

-1

A25/10

Euroleague

Unics Kazan

78-65

+13

H28/10

VTB United League

Gran Canaria

#14

87-72

+15

H02/11

Euroleague

26-16

26-10

26-19

18-22

28-23

17-17

32-18

22-9

22-20

12-24

20-19

12-24

22-12

15-15

17-18

26-28

21-28

22-26

20-12

22-27

21-18

16-27

18-22

29-18

14-17

26-20

14-11

26-22

20-23

25-16

17-27

18-15

15-12

17-17

27-14

19-22

25-21

24-12

28-20

10-19

159.5Avg total

83.5Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	86.6	68.4	155.0	+18.2	100%
Season at home (2)	79.0	69.0	148.0	+10.0	100%
Season away (3)	91.7	68.0	159.7	+23.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	76.0	159.5	+7.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	74.6	156.4	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	80.2	82.9	163.1	-2.8	31%
vs Similar (3)	80.0	77.3	157.3	+2.7	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	88.7	78.3	167.0	+10.5	91%

This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaKhimki M.

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	17.5	41.6	+6.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	15.8	39.8	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	15.4	39.2	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	80%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.8	16.9	40.7	+6.9	61%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.9	45.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	44%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.5	17.2	38.7	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	17.3	40.3	+5.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	14.8	35.8	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.2	22.8	40.0	-5.6	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.8	15.5	39.3	+8.3	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	21.1	39.7	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	18.7	41.7	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.3	18.1	40.4	+4.2	64%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

58-26

+32

H10/10

National League

Minsk

#14

44-37

A13/10

VTB United League

Atyrau

48-31

+17

A16/10

National League

Atyrau

43-37

A17/10

National League

Zenit Petersburg

37-48

-11

H21/10

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

39-21

+18

H23/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

41-36

H24/10

National League

Zielona Gora

#13

43-35

A29/10

VTB United League

Kokshetay

55-29

+26

A01/11

National League

Kokshetay

46-30

+16

A02/11

National League

78.4Avg total

45.4Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.1	35.3	79.4	+8.8	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	34.6	78.6	+9.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.2	36.0	80.2	+8.2	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	33.0	78.4	+12.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	30.2	75.0	+14.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	38.6	41.2	79.8	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.5	39.2	77.7	-0.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (18)	47.6	32.4	79.9	+15.2	94%	-

This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

#10

52-26

+26

A05/10

VTB United League

Enisey

45-40

A08/10

VTB United League

Olympiacos

34-44

-10

H12/10

Euroleague

BC Kalev/Cramo

37-27

+10

H14/10

VTB United League

Fenerbahce

43-54

-11

A17/10

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

37-45

-8

H19/10

Euroleague

Parma Perm

#12

40-37

A22/10

VTB United League

Olimpia Milano

#11

45-39

A25/10

Euroleague

Unics Kazan

32-29

H28/10

VTB United League

Gran Canaria

#14

49-33

+16

H02/11

Euroleague

78.8Avg total

41.4Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.2	83.9	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	42.2	81.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.2	42.3	86.5	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.4	78.8	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.6	77.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.2	44.6	83.8	-5.3	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.7	40.7	81.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	45.5	39.3	84.7	+6.2	73%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.1	19.1	41.3	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.9	41.1	+3.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	19.3	41.5	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	17.9	42.1	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.0	42.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.9	17.9	40.8	+5.0	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.0	39.6	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.9	39.7	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.1	39.5	+1.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.0	39.9	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.4	56%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.5	17.9	39.4	+3.5	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	17.8	38.1	+2.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	15.7	36.0	+4.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	15.3	37.6	+7.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	14.2	35.4	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	23.0	45.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.4	14.9	35.3	+5.4	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.5	40.4	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.7	39.5	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	17.0	34.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.8	21.1	42.9	+0.7	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.5	36.9	79.4	+5.6	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	38.9	81.5	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.4	35.1	77.5	+7.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	33.2	79.7	+13.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	32.2	78.2	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	39.6	43.8	83.4	-4.2	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.7	43.3	86.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	43.3	32.8	76.1	+10.4	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	38.4	80.1	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	37.6	79.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	39.3	80.9	+2.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	38.6	80.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	38.0	79.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	40.9	38.4	79.3	+2.6	62%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	36.7	76.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.3	39.0	82.3	+4.3	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 82.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀44%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	29.1	16.3	56.0%	-	32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.9	12.1	37.9%	-	36.3
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.1	74.4%	-	13.1

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	18.5	53.8%	-	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.4	38.5%	-	28.2
🏀 Free throws	24.1	19.3	80.1%	-	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.4	16.7	53.3%	-	33.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	11.0	37.2%	-	33.0
🏀 Free throws	16.2	12.2	75.2%	-	12.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	17.3	51.0%	-	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.7	8.9	37.5%	-	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.6	17.6	77.9%	-	17.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Khimki M. wins

Date	Game	Score
11/03/18	Astana v Khimki M.	84-79
30/10/17	Khimki M. v Astana	72-71
17/04/17	Astana v Khimki M.	87-90
15/01/17	Khimki M. v Astana	83-66
14/02/16	Khimki M. v Astana	128-87
11/01/16	Astana v Khimki M.	74-108
29/03/15	Khimki M. v Astana	93-64
13/12/14	Astana v Khimki M.	88-93
08/02/14	Astana v Khimki M.	69-91
07/12/13	Khimki M. v Astana	96-75

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/18	A	Kokshetay	98-53
01/11/18	A	Kokshetay	107-60
29/10/18	A	Zielona Gora	91-82
24/10/18	H	Tobol Kostanay	78-72
23/10/18	H	Tobol Kostanay	80-45
21/10/18	H	Zenit Petersburg	93-91
17/10/18	A	Atyrau	92-58
16/10/18	A	Atyrau	85-62
13/10/18	A	Minsk	93-86
10/10/18	H	Atyrau 2	102-53

Khimki M.last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/18	H	Gran Canaria	87-72
28/10/18	H	Unics Kazan	78-65
25/10/18	A	Olimpia Milano	80-81
22/10/18	A	Parma Perm	80-70
19/10/18	H	Anadolu Efes	84-85
17/10/18	A	Fenerbahce	85-93
14/10/18	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	80-73
12/10/18	H	Olympiacos	66-87
08/10/18	A	Enisey	99-67
05/10/18	A	VEF Riga	96-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

VTB United League 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWW	75%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	50%	100%
Points / game	84.5	77.0	92.0
Allowed / game	86.2	88.5	84.0
Point differential	-1.8	-11.5	+8.0
Avg total	170.8	165.5	176.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Khimki M.

VTB United League 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	86.6	79.0	91.7
Allowed / game	68.4	69.0	68.0
Point differential	+18.2	+10.0	+23.7
Avg total	155.0	148.0	159.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	CSKA Moscow	6	6	0	100%	96.8	73.3	+23.5
2	Khimki M.	5	5	0	100%	86.6	68.4	+18.2
3	Unics Kazan	5	4	1	80%	79.0	71.2	+7.8
4	Astana	4	3	1	75%	84.5	86.2	-1.8
5	Lokomotiv Kuban	5	3	2	60%	86.2	73.2	+13.0
6	Zenit Petersburg	4	2	2	50%	89.2	86.8	+2.5
7	Zielona Gora	4	2	2	50%	79.0	80.0	-1.0
8	Saratov	4	2	2	50%	89.5	94.8	-5.2
9	Parma Perm	5	2	3	40%	80.8	86.0	-5.2
10	BC Kalev/Cramo	6	2	4	33%	81.8	87.5	-5.7
11	Enisey	6	2	4	33%	80.5	93.8	-13.3
12	Nizhny Novgorod	5	1	4	20%	76.0	82.4	-6.4
13	VEF Riga	6	1	5	17%	73.2	86.2	-13.0
14	Minsk	5	0	5	0%	78.2	91.0	-12.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana	15	13	21	18	67
Khimki M.	17	23	21	15	76

← all games of the day

Astana vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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