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Astana vs Nizhny Novgorod Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-84 (OT)
16-26 22-20 20-17 22-17 2-4
Position#12
Record1-32
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.6
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#7
Record14-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.5
RussiaVTB United League· Saryarka Velodrome
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Astana v Nizhny Novgorod
04 Mar 2025
AST82
NNO84
22 Sep 2024
AST62
NNO90
03 Mar 2024
AST64
NNO82
15 Dec 2023
AST92
NNO61
23 Oct 2022
AST60
NNO80
03 Apr 2022
AST49
NNO69
05 Dec 2020
AST69
NNO79
07 Dec 2019
AST79
NNO84
10 Nov 2018
AST83
NNO89
06 Jan 2018
AST73
NNO85
08 Jan 2017
AST93
NNO84
17 Jan 2016
AST101
NNO79
08 Mar 2015
AST72
NNO79
01 May 2014
AST58
NNO71
24 Feb 2012
AST63
NNO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nizhny Novgorod winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#6
L
64-106
64
106
-42
A12/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
57-104
57
104
-47
A15/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H21/01
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A26/01
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H29/01
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
61-87
61
87
-26
H01/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
58-99
58
99
-41
A06/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
70-99
70
99
-29
H09/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-118
77
118
-41
A13/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A01/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
16-26
20-26
15-23
16-27
12-29
12-22
17-26
20-14
22-19
6-22
15-23
16-16
10-22
17-13
19-15
16-24
24-15
17-15
18-13
13-23
10-19
24-20
14-25
13-26
16-31
17-23
12-19
24-27
14-28
15-19
17-25
11-37
18-27
20-28
28-26
19-17
15-28
14-21
15-20
156.0Avg total
65.0Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)62.689.8152.4-27.23%
Season at home (16)59.884.9144.7-25.16%
Season away (17)65.294.4159.6-29.20%
Last 10 (10)65.091.0156.0-26.010%
Last 5 (5)65.897.8163.6-32.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)61.988.4150.3-26.53%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny NovgorodRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A15/01
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H18/01
VTB United League
Temp Sumz Revda
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H22/01
Russian Cup
Astana
#12
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H26/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A29/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
67-87
67
87
-20
H02/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A06/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H09/02
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H12/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H28/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
17-30
13-21
19-20
18-25
15-15
15-21
26-18
9-23
21-21
29-15
20-10
16-16
22-10
13-17
15-19
25-22
24-25
19-23
20-16
18-23
21-26
17-22
11-16
20-21
14-28
22-25
16-17
21-28
27-18
17-24
21-24
11-14
16-29
21-15
11-19
22-26
19-18
18-17
29-20
157.8Avg total
75.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.681.5160.1-2.842%
Season at home (17)76.676.1152.8+0.553%
Season away (16)80.887.2167.9-6.431%
Last 10 (10)75.882.0157.8-6.240%
Last 5 (5)74.486.0160.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.689.9165.5-14.38%
vs Similar (13)80.179.5159.5+0.654%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.272.5156.8+11.8100%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -8.7-8.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.1-8.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -8.7-8.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
AstanaNizhny Novgorod
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saratov
#6
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A12/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
28-56
28
56
-28
A15/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/01
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A26/01
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/01
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H01/02
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A06/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
H09/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
29-64
29
64
-35
A13/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/03
VTB United League
80.4Avg total
31.8Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.644.874.4-15.17%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.942.671.5-13.713%-
Last 30 away (15)30.446.977.3-16.50%-
Last 10 (10)31.848.680.4-16.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.652.683.2-22.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)29.644.874.4-15.17%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A15/01
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H18/01
VTB United League
Temp Sumz Revda
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H22/01
Russian Cup
Astana
#12
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H26/01
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A29/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H02/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#6
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A06/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H09/02
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H12/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/02
VTB United League
82.7Avg total
38.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.445.284.6-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.141.078.1-3.936%-
Last 30 away (16)41.348.990.2-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)38.644.182.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.846.284.0-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.547.987.4-8.515%-
vs Similar (13)38.644.983.5-6.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.537.579.0+4.075%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.5
45.1%
-33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.3
30.4%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws14.610.2
69.9%
-10.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nizhny Novgorodtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nizhny Novgorod: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.115.5
49.8%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws16.413.1
79.9%
-13.1
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astana
LLLLLWLLLL
Nizhny Novgorod
WLLLLWWWLL
#12
League position
#7
-30.7
Net rating
-5.0
86.3
Offensive rating
104.9
117.0
Defensive rating
109.9
45.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
59.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
24.2%
Turnover %
21.5%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.4%
3-point %
36.8%
62.1%
Assist %
76.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Astana   ■ Nizhny Novgorod
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Astana wins
8
Nizhny Novgorod wins
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AZenit Petersburg63-86
13/02/25ACSKA Moscow77-118
09/02/25HLokomotiv Kuban70-99
06/02/25AUralmash Ekaterinburg58-99
01/02/25HMBA Moscow61-87
29/01/25HSamara75-67
26/01/25ANizhny Novgorod62-66
21/01/25HEnisey63-78
15/01/25AUnics Kazan57-104
12/01/25ASaratov64-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HParma Perm88-81
12/02/25HMBA Moscow59-77
09/02/25HCSKA Moscow86-94
06/02/25ASaratov72-91
02/02/25HUnics Kazan67-87
29/01/25ALokomotiv Kuban88-86
26/01/25HAstana66-62
22/01/25HTemp Sumz Revda79-69
18/01/25HUralmash Ekaterinburg74-79
15/01/25AZenit Petersburg79-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
VTB United League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL3%
HomeLLWLL6%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %3%6%0%
Points / game62.659.865.2
Allowed / game89.884.994.4
Point differential-27.2-25.1-29.2
Avg total152.4144.7159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nizhny Novgorod
VTB United League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWLLLW53%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %42%53%31%
Points / game78.676.680.8
Allowed / game81.576.187.2
Point differential-2.8+0.5-6.4
Avg total160.1152.8167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3328585%91.671.5+20.1
2 Zenit Petersburg3328585%87.772.8+14.9
3 Unics Kazan3427779%86.871.7+15.1
4 Lokomotiv Kuban3426876%88.677.7+10.9
5 Uralmash Ekaterinburg33181555%79.176.6+2.5
6 Saratov33141942%76.579.3-2.8
7 Nizhny Novgorod33141942%78.681.5-2.8
8 Parma Perm33132039%76.182.7-6.6
9 MBA Moscow33122136%72.879.9-7.1
10 Enisey35112431%73.880.6-6.8
11 Samara3382524%73.083.5-10.6
12 Astana331323%62.689.8-27.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Astana16222022282
Nizhny Novgorod26201717484
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