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Astros vs Correcaminos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 93-86
19-19 29-25 24-29 21-13
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game83.0
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Correcaminos
Mexico
Position#14
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game98.0
MexicoLNBPRound 11· Arena Astros
Other2026-27
Meetings · Astros v Correcaminos
28 Jul 2026
ASTR94
CORR74
27 Jul 2026
ASTR93
CORR86
24 Jul 2022
ASTR99
CORR53
23 Jul 2022
ASTR106
CORR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Correcaminos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
123-70
123
70
+53
111avg 90
A29/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
87-59
87
59
+28
84avg 90
A30/01
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
131-69
131
69
+62
136avg 90
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
100-92
100
92
+8
90avg 90
H03/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
125-72
125
72
+53
129avg 90
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
140-69
140
69
+71
156avg 90
H13/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
L
99-101
99
101
-2
90avg 90
A06/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 90
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Gambusinos
#11
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A26/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-16
29-13
29-23
30-18
16-9
29-18
18-14
24-18
28-13
38-20
36-13
29-23
32-24
17-20
28-27
23-21
31-17
26-23
30-18
38-14
24-24
39-19
36-9
41-17
19-33
26-23
21-22
33-23
16-25
24-18
17-12
18-22
23-24
22-15
14-32
12-15
23-18
25-18
21-16
19-28
181.4Avg total
103.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)103.977.5181.4+26.470%
Last 5 (5)94.682.6177.2+12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)99.097.5196.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)92.877.3170.1+15.575%
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCorrecaminos
Date
Competition
Gambusinos
#11
W
96-91 OT
96
91
+5
no box
H14/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
no box
H15/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
80-105
80
105
-25
no box
A20/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
84-114
84
114
-30
no box
A21/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
86-113
86
113
-27
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
82-101
82
101
-19
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
61avg 68
A03/10
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
90-110
90
110
-20
76avg 68
A04/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
no box
A24/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
89-101
89
101
-12
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
31-15
20-33
15-17
27-13
30-26
13-28
25-18
27-27
11-26
24-33
18-19
23-21
14-37
20-26
27-30
23-33
22-28
17-30
24-22
18-24
22-27
18-20
24-30
14-15
29-25
19-25
13-24
20-29
23-22
15-30
32-29
26-23
16-27
26-22
20-23
23-26
23-27
19-22
24-26
186.9Avg total
86.5Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.598.0186.5-9.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)88.598.0186.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)86.5100.4186.9-13.920%
Last 5 (5)84.899.2184.0-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)83.395.9179.2-12.518%
vs Similar (6)89.583.2172.7+6.383%
vs Weaker (2)94.085.5179.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +8.8+8.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +8.8+8.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: +6.8+6.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
AstrosCorrecaminos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
64-29
64
29
+35
A29/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A30/01
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
66-33
66
33
+33
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H03/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H13/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A06/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Gambusinos
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/07
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A26/07
LNBP
91.2Avg total
52.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.238.385.5+8.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.139.885.9+6.457%-
Last 30 away (16)48.137.185.1+11.069%-
Last 10 (10)52.239.091.2+13.280%-
Last 5 (5)48.243.491.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)55.548.0103.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.637.684.2+8.964%-
This opponent (Correcaminos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CorrecaminosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gambusinos
#11
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H14/09
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H15/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A20/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A21/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A27/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A27/09
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A03/10
LNBP
Panteras
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/10
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A24/07
LNBP
Abejas
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A25/07
LNBP
93.8Avg total
44.4Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.346.989.2-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.842.184.8+0.758%-
Last 30 away (18)41.950.292.1-8.217%-
Last 10 (10)44.449.493.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.849.091.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.649.088.6-9.518%-
vs Similar (6)49.341.590.8+7.867%-
vs Weaker (2)50.540.090.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.025.3
58.8%
54.1%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.7
38.1%
34.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.813.2
70.2%
71.7%13.2
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Correcaminostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Correcaminos: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.519.5
39.4%
54.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
34.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.018.0
75.0%
71.7%18.0
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 28 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WLLLWWWWWW
Correcaminos
LLLLLLLLWW
#2
League position
#14
+33.8
Net rating
-22.1
113.4
Offensive rating
96.9
79.5
Defensive rating
119.0
58.1%
Effective FG%
42.9%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
12.5%
Turnover %
13.2%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.1%
3-point %
33.3%
62.7%
Assist %
56.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 96.9Defence79.5 · 119.0Shooting58.1% · 42.9%3-point %38.1% · 33.3%Ball care12.5% · 13.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Astros   ■ Correcaminos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Astros wins
1
Correcaminos wins
DateGameScore
30/07/25Correcaminos v Astros69-91
29/07/25Correcaminos v Astros80-90
11/08/24Correcaminos v Astros80-92
10/08/24Correcaminos v Astros75-73
14/10/23Correcaminos v Astros91-106
13/10/23Correcaminos v Astros75-99
22/09/22Correcaminos v Astros80-108
21/09/22Correcaminos v Astros118-124
24/07/22Astros v Correcaminos99-53
23/07/22Astros v Correcaminos106-72
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/26AGambusinos88-80
25/07/26AGambusinos71-86
14/03/26HFlamengo75-77
06/03/26AFlamengo99-101
13/02/26HCaimanes del Llano140-69
11/02/26HPaisas125-72
03/02/26HPaisas100-92
02/02/26ACaimanes del Llano131-69
30/01/26APaisas87-59
29/01/26ACaimanes del Llano123-70
Correcaminoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/07/26AAbejas89-101
24/07/26AAbejas88-95
04/10/25APanteras90-110
03/10/25APanteras75-89
27/09/25AFuerza Regia82-101
27/09/25AFuerza Regia86-113
21/09/25ADiablos Rojos84-114
20/09/25ADiablos Rojos80-105
15/09/25HGambusinos95-85
14/09/25HGambusinos96-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game79.5-79.5
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential-3.5--3.5
Avg total162.5-162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Correcaminos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game88.5-88.5
Allowed / game98.0-98.0
Point differential-9.5--9.5
Avg total186.5-186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lobos Plateados220100%88.078.0+10.0
2 Abejas220100%98.088.5+9.5
3 Santos220100%91.083.0+8.0
4 Dorados220100%86.579.5+7.0
5 Fuerza Regia220100%94.590.0+4.5
6 Panteras21150%89.585.5+4.0
7 Gambusinos21150%83.079.5+3.5
8 Astros21150%79.583.0-3.5
9 Diablos Rojos21150%85.589.5-4.0
10 Soles2020%90.094.5-4.5
11 Freseros2020%79.586.5-7.0
12 Mineros2020%83.091.0-8.0
13 Correcaminos2020%88.598.0-9.5
14 El Calor de Cancun2020%78.088.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1929242193
Correcaminos1925291386
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