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Flamengo vs Astros Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:10
Final 101-99
33-19 23-26 22-21 23-33
Position#7
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#3
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.7
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - Quarter-finals· Maracanãzinho
Other2025-26Neutral venue
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
102-66
102
66
+36
no box
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
no box
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Mogi
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
77avg 79
H22/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
53-84
53
84
-31
36avg 79
A05/02
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
64avg 79
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
67avg 79
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
79-70
79
70
+9
66avg 79
H13/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
77avg 79
A16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 79
H19/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 79
H21/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-11
33-13
16-17
24-25
22-34
17-25
14-14
23-22
14-16
29-22
19-18
19-19
22-17
14-25
7-25
10-17
27-21
18-24
24-33
10-11
11-16
19-25
26-16
19-28
31-17
19-21
14-16
15-16
21-26
24-25
13-13
20-14
30-22
23-18
15-29
23-20
13-23
21-24
29-20
16-25
164.0Avg total
80.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.881.7161.5-1.833%
Season at home (3)87.380.3167.7+7.067%
Season away (3)72.383.0155.3-10.70%
Last 10 (10)80.283.8164.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)82.285.8168.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.786.3159.0-13.70%
vs Similar (10)87.281.0168.2+6.270%
vs Weaker (17)85.476.2161.5+9.276%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
97avg 87
A27/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
69-68
69
68
+1
62avg 87
A28/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 87
H31/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
63-83
63
83
-20
46avg 87
H01/11
LNBP
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
123-70
123
70
+53
111avg 87
A29/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
87-59
87
59
+28
84avg 87
A30/01
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
131-69
131
69
+62
136avg 87
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
100-92
100
92
+8
90avg 87
H03/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
125-72
125
72
+53
129avg 87
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
140-69
140
69
+71
156avg 87
H13/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
29-27
23-12
22-21
21-23
12-13
22-19
14-13
7-29
16-12
16-19
27-17
18-14
18-27
12-19
15-23
35-16
29-13
29-23
30-18
16-9
29-18
18-14
24-18
28-13
38-20
36-13
29-23
32-24
17-20
28-27
23-21
31-17
26-23
30-18
38-14
24-24
39-19
36-9
41-17
174.2Avg total
100.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)117.771.8189.5+45.8100%
Season at home (3)121.777.7199.3+44.0100%
Season away (3)113.766.0179.7+47.7100%
Last 10 (10)100.373.9174.2+26.480%
Last 5 (5)116.672.2188.8+44.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)99.097.5196.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)93.675.4169.0+18.286%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +7.8+7.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +7.8+7.8
FlamengoAstros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
62-24
62
24
+38
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Mogi
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A05/02
NBB
Nacional
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H13/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H19/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/02
NBB
86.2Avg total
43.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.382.1+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.038.484.4+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)41.938.280.1+3.756%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.586.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.744.782.3-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)46.037.883.8+8.270%-
vs Weaker (17)43.637.581.1+6.176%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A28/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H31/10
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/11
LNBP
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
64-29
64
29
+35
A29/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A30/01
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
66-33
66
33
+33
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H03/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#8
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Caimanes del Llano
#12
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H13/02
Champions League Americas
87.1Avg total
49.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.437.284.6+10.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.838.985.7+7.960%-
Last 30 away (15)48.035.583.5+12.573%-
Last 10 (10)49.038.187.1+10.970%-
Last 5 (5)56.037.493.4+18.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)55.548.0103.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.836.483.2+10.468%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.2
54.8%
54.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.7
32.6%
32.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.913.5
67.8%
69.7%13.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 97.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
48%
36%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.625.1
57.6%
54.0%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.5
40.2%
32.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.513.2
75.4%
69.7%13.2
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 46%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
LWLWLLLWLW
Astros
WWWWWWLLWW
#7
League position
#3
-5.4
Net rating
+37.7
92.1
Offensive rating
117.8
97.5
Defensive rating
80.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
58.7%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.6%
3-point %
40.2%
52.0%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 117.8Defence97.5 · 80.1Shooting51.8% · 58.7%3-point %32.6% · 40.2%Ball care15.6% · 13.2%Off. rebounds- · 33.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Flamengo   ■ Astros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Flamengo wins
0
Astros wins
No previous meetings.
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HBauru79-92
19/02/26HFranca91-89
16/02/26ARio Claro87-93 OT
13/02/26HSao Jose79-70
09/02/26AObras Sanitarias75-85
08/02/26ANacional79-89
05/02/26APato53-84
22/01/26HMogi81-75
19/01/26HNacional76-95
17/01/26HObras Sanitarias102-66
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HCaimanes del Llano140-69
11/02/26HPaisas125-72
03/02/26HPaisas100-92
02/02/26ACaimanes del Llano131-69
30/01/26APaisas87-59
29/01/26ACaimanes del Llano123-70
01/11/25HDiablos Rojos63-83
31/10/25HDiablos Rojos66-77
28/10/25ADiablos Rojos69-68
27/10/25ADiablos Rojos99-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game79.887.372.3
Allowed / game81.780.383.0
Point differential-1.8+7.0-10.7
Avg total161.5167.7155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astros
Champions League Americas 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game117.7121.7113.7
Allowed / game71.877.766.0
Point differential+45.8+44.0+47.7
Avg total189.5199.3179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros660100%117.771.8+45.8
2 Nacional660100%83.572.7+10.8
3 Franca64267%95.377.0+18.3
4 Boca Juniors64267%83.872.8+11.0
5 Minas64267%81.773.5+8.2
6 Instituto de Cordoba64267%84.387.3-3.0
7 Paisas63350%89.590.0-0.5
8 Flamengo62433%79.881.7-1.8
9 Obras Sanitarias61517%74.883.8-9.0
10 U. De Concepcion61517%76.291.5-15.3
11 Aguada61517%70.789.8-19.2
12 Caimanes del Llano6060%72.7118.0-45.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo33232223101
Astros1926213399
← all games of the day
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