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Astros vs Halcones de Xalapa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 93-71
22-13 22-16 34-23 15-19
Position#2
Record26-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game77.5
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Halcones de Xalapa
Mexico
Position#8
Record15-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game79.8
MexicoLNBPLNBP - Quarter-finals· Arena Astros
Other2025-26
Meetings · Astros v Halcones de Xalapa
10 Oct 2025
ASTR93
HALC71
09 Oct 2025
ASTR79
HALC74
19 Jul 2025
ASTR90
HALC83
18 Jul 2025
ASTR90
HALC72
27 Oct 2023
ASTR89
HALC78
26 Oct 2023
ASTR102
HALC77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Xalapa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Gambusinos
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H05/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
A09/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
A10/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
98-107
98
107
-9
no box
H14/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
100-88
100
88
+12
no box
H14/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
78-66
78
66
+12
no box
A19/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A20/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
105-91
105
91
+14
no box
A27/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
101-83
101
83
+18
no box
A28/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
68avg 86
H10/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
26-14
10-21
18-20
25-23
14-17
24-20
26-20
15-21
20-18
21-19
25-21
23-25
30-32
25-26
20-24
27-18
31-21
15-20
27-29
20-19
17-19
20-13
21-15
17-18
29-13
28-28
23-24
31-21
30-24
22-27
22-19
33-12
24-22
22-22
22-27
19-19
18-19
25-14
17-22
173.7Avg total
91.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)90.077.5167.4+12.590%
Season at home (15)90.577.5167.9+13.093%
Season away (14)89.477.5166.9+11.986%
Last 10 (10)91.282.5173.7+8.790%
Last 5 (5)92.079.4171.4+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)86.887.8174.5-1.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.575.9166.3+14.6100%
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de XalapaMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXalapa
Date
Competition
Abejas
#13
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H14/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
H15/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
no box
A20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A21/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
no box
H27/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
no box
H28/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
83-52
83
52
+31
92avg 69
H03/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 69
H04/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
71-65
71
65
+6
57avg 69
A07/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 69
A10/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
11-20
28-15
33-21
24-15
15-27
14-18
33-28
27-17
19-19
21-20
23-17
19-24
21-21
18-21
26-10
16-25
19-19
13-12
22-22
19-19
15-24
15-16
14-16
26-8
25-11
14-17
18-16
14-10
20-18
21-19
14-23
14-18
15-18
20-16
22-13
19-19
19-18
14-25
22-17
150.7Avg total
78.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.679.8160.3+0.847%
Season at home (16)79.677.2156.8+2.444%
Season away (16)81.682.3163.9-0.750%
Last 10 (10)78.272.5150.7+5.750%
Last 5 (5)72.068.2140.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.883.7161.5-5.927%
vs Similar (9)77.772.4150.1+5.256%
vs Weaker (10)87.879.4167.2+8.470%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
AstrosHalcones de Xalapa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gambusinos
#11
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H05/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/09
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H14/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#3
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H14/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A19/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A20/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
61-45
61
45
+16
A27/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A28/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/10
LNBP
87.3Avg total
47.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.938.083.9+7.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.138.785.8+8.469%-
Last 30 away (14)44.637.381.9+7.371%-
Last 10 (10)47.939.487.3+8.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.284.8+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)45.543.589.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.037.283.2+8.873%-
This opponent (Halcones de Xalapa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de XalapaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abejas
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H14/09
LNBP
Abejas
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H15/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A20/09
LNBP
Dorados
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A21/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/09
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H28/09
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H03/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H04/10
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#9
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A07/10
LNBP
Astros
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A10/10
LNBP
74.0Avg total
37.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.882.7+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.337.980.2+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)41.544.085.5-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.374.0+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.232.669.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.842.684.5-0.836%-
vs Similar (9)41.138.679.7+2.656%-
vs Weaker (10)42.840.783.5+2.150%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.0
51.3%
50.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.0
33.8%
36.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
74.6%12.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Xalapatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Xalapa: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.7
53.3%
50.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.7
37.4%
36.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.813.8
73.4%
74.6%13.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWWWWLWWW
Halcones de Xalapa
LWLWLLWWLW
#2
League position
#8
+3.1
Net rating
+10.4
106.5
Offensive rating
112.4
103.4
Defensive rating
102.0
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.7%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.8%
3-point %
37.4%
56.2%
Assist %
67.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 112.4Defence103.4 · 102.0Shooting51.1% · 54.7%3-point %33.8% · 37.4%Ball care14.9% · 15.6%Off. rebounds26.3% · 26.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Astros   ■ Halcones de Xalapa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Astros wins
0
Halcones de Xalapa wins
DateGameScore
10/10/25Astros v Halcones de Xalapa79-74
20/07/25Astros v Halcones de Xalapa90-83
19/07/25Astros v Halcones de Xalapa90-72
19/07/24Halcones de Xalapa v Astros79-80
19/07/24Halcones de Xalapa v Astros80-84
28/10/23Astros v Halcones de Xalapa89-78
27/10/23Astros v Halcones de Xalapa102-77
11/09/22Halcones de Xalapa v Astros74-86
10/09/22Halcones de Xalapa v Astros96-98 OT
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HHalcones de Xalapa79-74
28/09/25AAbejas101-83
27/09/25AAbejas105-91
20/09/25AMineros97-83
19/09/25AMineros78-66
14/09/25HFuerza Regia100-88
14/09/25HFuerza Regia98-107
10/09/25ADiablos Rojos81-79
09/09/25ADiablos Rojos89-80
05/09/25HGambusinos84-74
Halcones de Xalapalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25AAstros74-79
07/10/25AEl Calor de Cancun71-65
04/10/25HEl Calor de Cancun69-70
03/10/25HEl Calor de Cancun83-52
28/09/25HSoles63-75
27/09/25HSoles70-78
21/09/25ADorados84-76
20/09/25ADorados90-73
15/09/25HAbejas86-88
14/09/25HAbejas92-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %90%93%86%
Points / game90.090.589.4
Allowed / game77.577.577.5
Point differential+12.5+13.0+11.9
Avg total167.4167.9166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%60%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Halcones de Xalapa
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeLLLWL44%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game80.679.681.6
Allowed / game79.877.282.3
Point differential+0.8+2.4-0.7
Avg total160.3156.8163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2926390%90.077.5+12.5
2 Soles2925486%88.377.2+11.1
3 Diablos Rojos2921872%92.481.2+11.2
4 Fuerza Regia2921872%93.282.2+11.0
5 Mineros31191261%85.082.1+3.0
6 Dorados31181358%86.281.3+4.9
7 Panteras31151648%87.886.7+1.1
8 Halcones de Xalapa32151747%80.679.8+0.8
9 El Calor de Cancun31121939%79.782.7-2.9
10 Correcaminos30111937%84.392.8-8.5
11 Gambusinos30102033%84.289.9-5.7
12 Santos3072323%79.488.8-9.4
13 Abejas2852318%78.490.8-12.4
14 Freseros2842414%74.691.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros2222341593
Halcones de Xalapa1316231971
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