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Astros vs Panteras Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 84-76
19-15 18-27 23-18 24-16
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game73.5
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#7
Record1-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game100.7
MexicoLNBP· Arena Astros
Other2025-26
Meetings · Astros v Panteras
24 Jul 2025
ASTR84
PANT76
23 Jul 2025
ASTR91
PANT64
03 Oct 2021
ASTR80
PANT82
02 Oct 2021
ASTR89
PANT77
04 Oct 2020
ASTR89
PANT77
03 Oct 2020
ASTR93
PANT88
30 Nov 2019
ASTR96
PANT88
28 Nov 2019
ASTR80
PANT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panteras winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
93-88
93
88
+5
94avg 86
H22/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
75-91
75
91
-16
64avg 86
A25/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 86
A26/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
69-64
69
64
+5
62avg 86
A28/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 86
H01/07
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
84avg 86
H02/07
CIBACOPA
Soles
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
no box
A11/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
H19/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
H20/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H24/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
18-17
27-18
22-30
11-22
26-14
22-32
16-23
15-24
18-17
23-18
22-26
20-16
14-14
16-13
19-21
13-19
19-18
22-17
15-16
19-19
26-14
21-25
24-19
15-22
15-20
20-21
21-12
30-26
16-13
21-19
23-14
19-19
28-23
23-15
20-26
27-10
15-22
22-16
27-16
158.5Avg total
81.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.573.5159.0+12.075%
Season at home (3)90.373.0163.3+17.3100%
Season away (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)81.676.9158.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)86.474.2160.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)89.179.2168.3+9.979%
This opponent (Panteras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanterasMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanteras
Date
Competition
Marinos
#4
L
65-87
65
87
-22
50avg 65
H03/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#7
L
81-107
81
107
-26
69avg 65
A06/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#7
L
66-89
66
89
-23
47avg 65
A07/05
Superliga
Mineros
#5
L
103-105
103
105
-2
no box
H04/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
87-114
87
114
-27
no box
H05/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
L
98-103
98
103
-5
no box
A11/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
114-97
114
97
+17
no box
A12/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
93-106
93
106
-13
no box
H18/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H19/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
64-91
64
91
-27
no box
A24/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
15-15
20-26
10-18
22-26
21-29
17-27
21-25
25-26
14-26
20-16
7-21
32-23
21-33
24-29
26-20
25-32
17-17
28-31
17-34
27-30
29-22
18-22
24-29
34-19
25-30
28-23
27-25
24-31
27-22
20-27
22-26
29-21
22-24
9-16
24-28
10-27
22-15
16-22
16-27
184.3Avg total
85.5Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.9100.7192.6-8.914%
Season at home (4)91.8103.5195.2-11.80%
Season away (3)92.097.0189.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)85.598.8184.3-13.310%
Last 5 (5)90.697.2187.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)78.286.0164.1-7.827%
vs Similar (2)95.0109.5204.5-14.50%
vs Weaker (2)106.0100.0206.0+6.050%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -5.9-5.9
AstrosPanteras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H22/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A25/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A26/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H01/07
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H02/07
CIBACOPA
Soles
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A11/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/07
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H20/07
LNBP
Panteras
#7
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H24/07
LNBP
76.2Avg total
39.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.278.5+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.536.979.4+5.678%-
Last 30 away (12)41.835.277.1+6.675%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.276.2+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.679.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)30.042.072.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)42.736.078.7+6.679%-
This opponent (Panteras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanterasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marinos
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H03/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#7
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A06/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#7
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A07/05
Superliga
Mineros
#5
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H04/07
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A11/07
LNBP
Abejas
#13
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A12/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H18/07
LNBP
Soles
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H19/07
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A24/07
LNBP
95.7Avg total
46.1Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.885.3-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.945.389.2-1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.080.9-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)46.149.695.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)49.848.298.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.942.682.5-2.750%-
vs Similar (2)47.552.5100.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker (2)57.550.5108.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.0
50.8%
50.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.3
36.7%
36.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
74.6%12.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panterastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panteras: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
47%
37%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.022.9
46.7%
50.3%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.7
32.4%
36.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.514.1
62.7%
74.6%14.1
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWLWLWLLW
Panteras
LLLWLLLLLL
#2
League position
#7
+4.2
Net rating
-9.2
108.5
Offensive rating
101.8
104.3
Defensive rating
111.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
47.3%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.7%
3-point %
32.4%
56.0%
Assist %
47.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 101.8Defence104.3 · 111.0Shooting52.3% · 47.3%3-point %36.7% · 32.4%Ball care15.3% · 18.6%Off. rebounds26.4% · 35.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Astros   ■ Panteras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Astros wins
5
Panteras wins
DateGameScore
24/07/25Astros v Panteras91-64
24/08/24Panteras v Astros86-81
23/08/24Panteras v Astros86-76
14/09/23Panteras v Astros93-103
13/09/23Panteras v Astros81-77
03/10/21Astros v Panteras80-82
02/10/21Astros v Panteras89-77
04/09/21Panteras v Astros66-85
03/09/21Panteras v Astros89-85
04/10/20Astros v Panteras89-77
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/07/25HPanteras91-64
20/07/25HHalcones de Xalapa90-83
19/07/25HHalcones de Xalapa90-72
11/07/25ASoles71-75
02/07/25HZonkeys de Tijuana90-77
01/07/25HZonkeys de Tijuana69-70
28/06/25AZonkeys de Tijuana69-64
26/06/25AZonkeys de Tijuana78-85
25/06/25AZonkeys de Tijuana75-91
22/06/25HZonkeys de Tijuana93-88
Panteraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/07/25AAstros64-91
19/07/25HSoles84-89
18/07/25HSoles93-106
12/07/25AAbejas114-97
11/07/25AAbejas98-103
05/07/25HMineros87-114
04/07/25HMineros103-105
07/05/25AGladiadores66-89
06/05/25AGladiadores81-107
03/05/25HMarinos65-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game85.590.371.0
Allowed / game73.573.075.0
Point differential+12.0+17.3-4.0
Avg total159.0163.3146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panteras
LNBP 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%0%33%
Points / game91.991.892.0
Allowed / game100.7103.597.0
Point differential-8.9-11.8-5.0
Avg total192.6195.2189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Soles770100%93.078.0+15.0
2 Diablos Rojos76186%103.483.4+20.0
3 Astros43175%85.573.5+12.0
4 Mineros86275%94.083.1+10.9
5 Fuerza Regia75271%89.475.4+14.0
6 Dorados74357%83.780.6+3.1
7 Gambusinos84450%82.585.0-2.5
8 Halcones de Xalapa83538%80.082.8-2.8
9 El Calor de Cancun83538%80.585.8-5.2
10 Correcaminos83538%83.091.6-8.6
11 Freseros83538%74.096.5-22.5
12 Abejas61517%84.294.5-10.3
13 Santos71614%81.387.4-6.1
14 Panteras71614%91.9100.7-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1918232484
Panteras1527181676
← all games of the day
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