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Astros vs Santos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 74-64
21-27 18-12 13-17 22-8
Position#3
Record20-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game79.6
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#11
Record12-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.8
MexicoLNBP· Arena Astros
Other2024-25
Meetings · Astros v Santos
12 Aug 2026
ASTR82
SANT57
11 Aug 2026
ASTR103
SANT82
05 Oct 2024
ASTR74
SANT64
04 Oct 2024
ASTR93
SANT89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H08/09
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A14/09
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
103-79
103
79
+24
A15/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H18/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
H19/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A22/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A23/09
LNBP
Freseros
#12
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H28/09
LNBP
Freseros
#12
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H29/09
LNBP
Santos
#11
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
H05/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
16-13
13-15
17-16
19-26
26-22
26-10
21-23
28-13
30-19
29-21
16-26
21-23
20-22
18-16
21-18
19-15
12-22
15-21
17-31
24-18
16-17
24-13
20-23
28-22
26-16
23-33
18-27
22-19
36-16
20-19
16-35
27-19
18-17
32-16
23-34
28-22
27-19
15-22
12-19
169.8Avg total
87.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.079.6164.6+5.474%
Season at home (15)83.978.3162.3+5.680%
Season away (12)86.381.2167.5+5.267%
Last 10 (10)87.482.4169.8+5.080%
Last 5 (5)93.286.6179.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)82.178.8160.9+3.469%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.685.0174.6+4.664%
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#6
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H07/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A13/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A14/09
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
107-62
107
62
+45
H18/09
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H19/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A21/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A22/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H27/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H28/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
A05/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
12-26
15-28
27-17
14-22
27-12
24-18
18-26
25-19
27-19
22-27
14-21
28-20
33-21
24-8
22-13
27-20
11-22
21-24
28-16
15-20
18-28
26-25
18-17
13-27
24-13
16-24
14-24
22-24
20-32
14-24
27-16
23-25
18-26
23-25
17-16
22-28
19-27
22-15
19-12
169.8Avg total
84.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.785.8170.5-1.144%
Season at home (14)87.485.6173.0+1.750%
Season away (13)81.886.0167.8-4.238%
Last 10 (10)84.085.8169.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)79.491.8171.2-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)81.187.5168.5-6.424%
vs Similar (9)86.786.6173.2+0.156%
vs Weaker (4)94.577.2171.8+17.2100%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
AstrosSantos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/09
LNBP
Mineros
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A14/09
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A15/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H18/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H19/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A22/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A23/09
LNBP
Freseros
#12
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H28/09
LNBP
Freseros
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H29/09
LNBP
Santos
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H05/10
LNBP
84.6Avg total
46.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.684.5+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.539.982.4+2.669%-
Last 30 away (14)45.641.487.0+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)46.737.984.6+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)50.437.087.4+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)42.240.482.6+1.869%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.940.886.7+5.164%-
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panteras
#6
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H07/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A13/09
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#16
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A14/09
LNBP
Mineros
#13
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H18/09
LNBP
Mineros
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A21/09
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A22/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H27/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H28/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A05/10
LNBP
87.3Avg total
42.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.444.687.0-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.645.691.1+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)38.743.582.2-4.821%-
Last 10 (10)42.245.187.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.850.088.8-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.545.985.4-6.412%-
vs Similar (9)45.342.988.2+2.467%-
vs Weaker (4)48.043.091.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.425.8
52.2%
53.5%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.7
34.7%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.6
72.2%
72.1%15.6
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santostheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Astros wins
1
Santos wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Astros v Santos93-89 OT
19/09/23Santos v Astros73-90
18/09/23Santos v Astros104-87
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HSantos93-89 OT
29/09/24HFreseros100-86
28/09/24HFreseros94-89
23/09/24AHalcones Rojos95-98
22/09/24AHalcones Rojos84-71
19/09/24HFuerza Regia63-89
18/09/24HFuerza Regia80-79
15/09/24AMineros103-79
14/09/24AMineros92-81
08/09/24HLobos Plateados70-63
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24AAstros89-93 OT
28/09/24HHalcones Rojos81-92
27/09/24HHalcones Rojos83-96
22/09/24AFuerza Regia67-88
21/09/24AFuerza Regia77-90
19/09/24HMineros87-82
18/09/24HMineros107-62
14/09/24ALobos Plateados88-86
13/09/24ALobos Plateados83-78
07/09/24HPanteras78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %74%80%67%
Points / game85.083.986.3
Allowed / game79.678.381.2
Point differential+5.4+5.6+5.2
Avg total164.6162.3167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%27%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Santos
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game84.787.481.8
Allowed / game85.885.686.0
Point differential-1.1+1.7-4.2
Avg total170.5173.0167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (2)50% (8)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuerza Regia2821775%85.877.5+8.3
2 Astros2720774%85.079.6+5.4
3 Halcones de Xalapa2719870%88.683.3+5.4
4 Diablos Rojos2819968%90.483.5+6.9
5 Panteras28171161%87.785.3+2.4
6 Dorados27161159%85.385.4-0.0
7 Plateros27151256%83.381.1+2.1
8 Soles28151354%83.884.8-1.0
9 Halcones Rojos28141450%84.586.3-1.8
10 El Calor de Cancun28131546%82.780.2+2.5
11 Santos27121544%84.785.8-1.1
12 Freseros27101737%86.389.7-3.4
13 Mineros27101737%80.084.7-4.7
14 Lobos Plateados2872125%85.190.5-5.4
15 Correcaminos2762122%79.489.8-10.4
16 Abejas2862221%84.890.2-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros2118132274
Santos271217864
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