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Astros vs Santos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 82-57
25-19 25-13 7-13 25-12
Position#2
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game80.4
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Santos
Mexico
Position#10
Record4-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.3
MexicoLNBPRound 8· Arena Astros
Other2026-27
Meetings · Astros v Santos
12 Aug 2026
ASTR82
SANT57
11 Aug 2026
ASTR103
SANT82
05 Oct 2024
ASTR74
SANT64
04 Oct 2024
ASTR93
SANT89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 90
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Gambusinos
#11
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
A25/07
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A26/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
93-86
93
86
+7
no box
H28/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
94-74
94
74
+20
94avg 90
H29/07
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
W
73-64
73
64
+9
75avg 90
H01/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
60avg 90
H02/08
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
103-90
103
90
+13
103avg 90
A06/08
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
95-83
95
83
+12
95avg 90
A07/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
103-82
103
82
+21
112avg 90
H12/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
24-18
17-12
18-22
23-24
22-15
14-32
12-15
23-18
25-18
21-16
19-28
19-19
29-25
24-29
21-13
24-17
33-14
17-20
20-23
20-14
20-28
16-6
17-16
10-22
20-19
18-14
23-24
30-28
29-21
21-17
23-24
22-16
26-22
26-21
21-24
27-28
38-26
20-19
18-9
166.7Avg total
86.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.980.4168.3+7.478%
Season at home (5)86.877.0163.8+9.880%
Season away (4)89.284.8174.0+4.575%
Last 10 (10)86.680.1166.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)89.079.6168.6+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)93.378.2171.5+15.073%
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSantos
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
57-89
57
89
-32
no box
H28/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
62avg 68
A03/10
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
86-109
86
109
-23
73avg 68
A04/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
87-86
87
86
+1
no box
H24/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H25/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
91-78
91
78
+13
82avg 68
A01/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
58-93
58
93
-35
41avg 68
A02/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
84-89
84
89
-5
76avg 68
H06/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
80avg 68
H07/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
82-103
82
103
-21
64avg 68
A12/08
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-28
14-27
18-18
13-16
23-17
16-29
23-25
15-20
20-28
21-36
21-22
24-23
24-27
24-17
25-20
14-22
25-14
26-24
32-19
12-23
20-23
25-16
26-18
20-21
9-22
17-24
21-27
11-20
14-20
24-25
24-23
22-21
21-13
25-20
18-19
18-23
28-27
26-38
19-20
9-18
169.2Avg total
79.9Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.786.3169.0-3.657%
Season at home (4)87.082.5169.5+4.575%
Season away (3)77.091.3168.3-14.333%
Last 10 (10)79.989.3169.2-9.440%
Last 5 (5)79.487.6167.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.292.2170.4-14.120%
vs Similar (6)85.783.3169.0+2.350%
vs Weaker (4)78.577.8156.2+0.875%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.9-4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.9-4.9
AstrosSantos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/03
Champions League Americas
Gambusinos
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/07
LNBP
Gambusinos
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A26/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H28/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H29/07
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/08
LNBP
Lobos Plateados
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H02/08
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A06/08
LNBP
Abejas
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A07/08
LNBP
Santos
#10
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H12/08
LNBP
89.7Avg total
48.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.139.087.1+9.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.140.585.6+4.753%-
Last 30 away (15)51.037.588.5+13.587%-
Last 10 (10)48.041.789.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)48.444.893.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)48.139.087.1+9.170%-
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dorados
#6
L
26-55
26
55
-29
H28/09
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A03/10
LNBP
Mineros
#5
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A04/10
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H24/07
LNBP
Mineros
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H25/07
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A01/08
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A02/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H06/08
LNBP
El Calor de Cancun
#12
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/08
LNBP
Astros
#2
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A12/08
LNBP
88.9Avg total
41.4Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.646.487.0-5.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.845.588.2-2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)38.247.485.6-9.221%-
Last 10 (10)41.447.588.9-6.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.687.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.848.388.0-8.525%-
vs Similar (6)46.546.092.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)36.237.573.8-1.275%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 97.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.426.4
62.3%
54.1%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.1
38.4%
34.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.814.4
69.2%
71.7%14.4
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santos: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.1 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.6
53.5%
54.1%37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.6
33.9%
34.8%31.7
🏀 Free throws15.310.3
67.3%
71.7%10.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 13 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWLWWWWLL
Santos
LWLLWWWLLL
#2
League position
#10
+28.6
Net rating
-14.2
109.3
Offensive rating
94.6
80.7
Defensive rating
108.7
60.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.4%
3-point %
33.9%
64.7%
Assist %
47.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 94.6Defence80.7 · 108.7Shooting60.5% · 52.3%3-point %38.4% · 33.9%Ball care15.5% · 16.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Astros   ■ Santos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astros wins
1
Santos wins
DateGameScore
12/08/26Astros v Santos103-82
23/08/25Santos v Astros71-94
22/08/25Santos v Astros79-93
06/10/24Astros v Santos74-64
05/10/24Astros v Santos93-89 OT
19/09/23Santos v Astros73-90
18/09/23Santos v Astros104-87
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/08/26HSantos103-82
07/08/26AAbejas95-83
06/08/26AAbejas103-90
02/08/26HLobos Plateados71-79
01/08/26HLobos Plateados73-64
29/07/26HCorrecaminos94-74
28/07/26HCorrecaminos93-86
26/07/26AGambusinos88-80
25/07/26AGambusinos71-86
14/03/26HFlamengo75-77
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/08/26AAstros82-103
07/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun82-75
06/08/26HEl Calor de Cancun84-89
02/08/26ACorrecaminos58-93
01/08/26ACorrecaminos91-78
25/07/26HMineros95-80
24/07/26HMineros87-86
04/10/25AMineros86-109
03/10/25AMineros77-91
28/09/25HDorados57-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game87.986.889.2
Allowed / game80.477.084.8
Point differential+7.4+9.8+4.5
Avg total168.3163.8174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Santos
LNBP 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game82.787.077.0
Allowed / game86.382.591.3
Point differential-3.6+4.5-14.3
Avg total169.0169.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dorados87188%86.878.4+8.4
2 Astros97278%87.980.4+7.4
3 Soles75271%79.673.3+6.3
4 Mineros85362%88.481.9+6.5
5 Fuerza Regia85362%85.086.4-1.4
6 Panteras74357%88.182.7+5.4
7 Santos74357%82.786.3-3.6
8 Abejas73443%86.987.3-0.4
9 Lobos Plateados73443%77.782.4-4.7
10 Diablos Rojos83538%83.482.8+0.6
11 Freseros83538%85.691.2-5.6
12 Gambusinos82625%74.580.1-5.6
13 El Calor de Cancun82625%77.683.4-5.8
14 Correcaminos102820%84.290.7-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros252572582
Santos1913131257
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