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Atomeromu Paks vs Alba Fehervar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 97-80
Projected total 177.3
Final 102-91
18-24 29-17 30-29 25-21
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.6
Allowed / game76.9
Atomeromu Paks 🏆
Hungary
Vs
92%
■ ATOM 92%■ AFE 8%
Pythia win probability
Alba Fehervar
Hungary
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game80.8
HungaryNB I ARound 10· ASE Sportcsarnok
Other2026-27
Meetings · Atomeromu Paks v Alba Fehervar
14 Nov 2026
ATOM102
AFE91
24 Apr 2026
ATOM116
AFE78
18 Apr 2026
ATOM95
AFE83
12 Oct 2025
ATOM94
AFE87
18 Jan 2025
ATOM115
AFE72
04 Oct 2024
ATOM92
AFE85
25 Nov 2023
ATOM80
AFE87
30 Sep 2022
ATOM93
AFE84
22 Sep 2021
ATOM104
AFE106
06 Mar 2021
ATOM90
AFE77
11 Jan 2020
ATOM109
AFE80
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Atomeromu Paks host Alba Fehervar on 14 November 2026 in the NB I A, and the Pythia model names the home side the clear favourite, giving them a 93% chance of victory largely because of their perfect 8-0 record, 103.9 points per game and 77.2 allowed per game, the best in the league, and a 5-0 home record with 108.6 points per game. Alba Fehervar finish the season 6-2, averaging 89.6 points and conceding 80.0, and their road form is 1-2 with 81.0 points per game and 86.0 allowed, but they have won four of their last five games, including a 93-74 home win over DEAC on 6 November. The teams have met ten times, with Paks winning seven; the last encounter on 24 April saw Paks triumph 116-78. Pythia projects a 98-81 score, a total of 179.9 points, and gives the home team a 93% win probability versus 7% for Alba. The model also estimates a 93% chance that Paks will cover the spread and a 93% probability of the over, with only a 2% chance of overtime. The next game will see Paks extend their unbeaten run.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atomeromu Paks winWon
92.3%fair 1.08
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Fehervar winLost
7.7%fair 13.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atomeromu PaksHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaks
Date
Competition
Kaposvari
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
60avg 89
A25/05
NB I A
NKA Pecs
#14
W
102-77
102
77
+25
95avg 89
H26/09
NB I A
Kormend
#10
W
95-84
95
84
+11
87avg 89
A03/10
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
W
109-80
109
80
+29
105avg 89
H10/10
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#5
W
112-81
112
81
+31
113avg 89
H17/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#6
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 89
A24/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#7
W
108-85
108
85
+23
107avg 89
H28/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#9
W
98-69
98
69
+29
97avg 89
A31/10
NB I A
KTE-Duna
#13
W
112-66
112
66
+46
no box
H07/11
NB I A
DEAC
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A11/11
NB I A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
22-18
17-20
15-17
29-12
28-26
25-18
20-21
19-27
24-15
27-24
25-18
32-27
29-19
23-10
25-24
30-14
31-20
24-27
27-20
24-16
22-18
29-20
20-22
25-23
30-16
26-33
27-13
18-17
27-11
35-20
18-21
33-18
36-19
22-18
21-11
23-14
16-20
22-23
22-17
174.5Avg total
98.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)101.676.9178.4+24.7100%
Season at home (5)108.677.8186.4+30.8100%
Season away (4)92.875.8168.5+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)98.076.5174.5+21.590%
Last 5 (5)99.274.0173.2+25.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.575.8156.2+4.825%
vs Similar (7)82.681.9164.4+0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)100.277.2177.4+23.1100%
This opponent (Alba Fehervar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba FehervarHungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFehervar
Date
Competition
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
87avg 85
H15/05
NB I A
Kormend
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 85
H25/09
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
W
98-82
98
82
+16
94avg 85
H30/09
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#5
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 85
A11/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 85
H17/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#7
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 85
A24/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#9
W
93-64
93
64
+29
90avg 85
H28/10
NB I A
KTE-Duna
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 85
A31/10
NB I A
DEAC
#12
W
93-74
93
74
+19
no box
H06/11
NB I A
Szombathely
#2
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A11/11
NB I A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
25-28
17-29
20-24
23-20
20-17
24-18
29-22
29-14
16-24
29-22
24-22
27-20
20-13
23-31
18-31
21-29
32-16
23-22
18-18
19-25
19-18
17-12
12-24
23-25
22-10
27-16
21-13
25-19
23-20
12-19
28-26
23-10
23-23
19-23
28-18
14-27
24-17
11-23
27-20
170.8Avg total
88.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.180.8168.9+7.367%
Season at home (5)94.876.4171.2+18.4100%
Season away (4)79.886.2166.0-6.525%
Last 10 (10)88.382.5170.8+5.860%
Last 5 (5)83.477.6161.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.092.6172.6-12.629%
vs Similar (6)90.584.8175.3+5.750%
vs Weaker (17)92.884.1176.9+8.665%
This opponent (Atomeromu Paks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 164.5Actual: Over 164.5
Over 164.5
78.4%
Under 164.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5Actual: Over 169.5
Over 169.5
68.3%
Under 169.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174.5Actual: Over 174.5
Over 174.5
56.6%
Under 174.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Atomeromu Paks total 84Actual: Atomeromu Paks over 84
Over 84
91.0%
Under 84
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atomeromu Paks total 88Actual: Atomeromu Paks over 88
Over 88
82.5%
Under 88
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atomeromu Paks total 92Actual: Atomeromu Paks over 92
Over 92
69.8%
Under 92
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alba Fehervar total 77.5Actual: Alba Fehervar over 77.5
Over 77.5
60.9%
Under 77.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alba Fehervar total 81.5Actual: Alba Fehervar over 81.5
Over 81.5
45.1%
Under 81.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alba Fehervar total 85.5Actual: Alba Fehervar over 85.5
Over 85.5
30.2%
Under 85.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Atomeromu Paks -3Actual: Atomeromu Paks -3
ATOM -3
89.3%
AFE +3
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
ATOM
No market prices yet.
AFE
No market prices yet.
Spread Atomeromu Paks 0Actual: Atomeromu Paks 0
ATOM 0
92.3%
AFE 0
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
ATOM
No market prices yet.
AFE
No market prices yet.
Spread Atomeromu Paks +3Actual: Atomeromu Paks +3
ATOM +3
95.0%
AFE -3
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
ATOM
No market prices yet.
AFE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +8.3+8.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +8.3+8.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
Atomeromu PaksAlba Fehervar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atomeromu PaksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaposvari
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/05
NB I A
NKA Pecs
#14
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H26/09
NB I A
Kormend
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A03/10
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H10/10
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#5
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H17/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A24/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#7
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H28/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A31/10
NB I A
KTE-Duna
#13
W
69-37
69
37
+32
H07/11
NB I A
DEAC
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A11/11
NB I A
87.8Avg total
51.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.939.288.1+9.780%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.940.895.7+14.187%-
Last 30 away (15)42.937.680.5+5.373%-
Last 10 (10)51.036.887.8+14.290%-
Last 5 (5)50.834.485.2+16.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.538.882.2+4.875%-
vs Similar (7)43.341.184.4+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)52.138.690.7+13.589%-
This opponent (Alba Fehervar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba FehervarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Budapesti Honved Se
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H15/05
NB I A
Kormend
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H25/09
NB I A
Soproni KC
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/09
NB I A
Budapesti Honved Se
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A11/10
NB I A
Kaposvari
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H17/10
NB I A
Phoenix-MT Fot
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A24/10
NB I A
Szedeak
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/10
NB I A
KTE-Duna
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A31/10
NB I A
DEAC
#12
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H06/11
NB I A
Szombathely
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A11/11
NB I A
84.8Avg total
45.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.243.289.4+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.740.587.2+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)45.646.492.0-0.757%-
Last 10 (10)45.639.284.8+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.881.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.148.991.0-6.743%-
vs Similar (6)47.544.391.8+3.267%-
vs Weaker (17)47.440.587.9+6.971%-
This opponent (Atomeromu Paks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atomeromu Pakstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atomeromu Paks: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
50%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.0
55.3%
55.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.8
36.5%
32.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.315.9
78.3%
73.6%15.9
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Fehervartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Fehervar: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
50%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.0
55.4%
55.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.5
34.1%
32.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
73.6%16.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atomeromu Paks
WWWWWWWWWL
Alba Fehervar
LWWWLWLWWL
#1
League position
#4
+19.1
Net rating
+6.0
106.6
Offensive rating
101.3
87.5
Defensive rating
95.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.5%
3-point %
34.1%
61.5%
Assist %
64.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 101.3Defence87.5 · 95.3Shooting55.1% · 53.6%3-point %36.5% · 34.1%Ball care12.9% · 13.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Atomeromu Paks   ■ Alba Fehervar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Atomeromu Paks wins
3
Alba Fehervar wins
DateGameScore
24/04/26Atomeromu Paks v Alba Fehervar116-78
21/04/26Alba Fehervar v Atomeromu Paks73-107
18/04/26Atomeromu Paks v Alba Fehervar95-83
10/01/26Alba Fehervar v Atomeromu Paks94-84
12/10/25Atomeromu Paks v Alba Fehervar94-87
18/01/25Atomeromu Paks v Alba Fehervar115-72
04/01/25Alba Fehervar v Atomeromu Paks75-82
04/10/24Atomeromu Paks v Alba Fehervar92-85
02/03/24Alba Fehervar v Atomeromu Paks105-76
25/11/23Atomeromu Paks v Alba Fehervar80-87
Atomeromu Pakslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ADEAC83-74
07/11/26HKTE-Duna112-66
31/10/26ASzedeak98-69
28/10/26HPhoenix-MT Fot108-85
24/10/26AKaposvari95-76
17/10/26HBudapesti Honved Se112-81
10/10/26HSoproni KC109-80
03/10/26AKormend95-84
26/09/26HNKA Pecs102-77
25/05/26AKaposvari66-73
Alba Fehervarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ASzombathely76-87
06/11/26HDEAC93-74
31/10/26AKTE-Duna88-84
28/10/26HSzedeak93-64
24/10/26APhoenix-MT Fot67-79
17/10/26HKaposvari94-85
11/10/26ABudapesti Honved Se88-95
30/09/26HSoproni KC98-82
25/09/26HKormend96-77
15/05/26HBudapesti Honved Se90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atomeromu Paks
NB I A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.6108.692.8
Allowed / game76.977.875.8
Point differential+24.7+30.8+17.0
Avg total178.4186.4168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Fehervar
NB I A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game88.194.879.8
Allowed / game80.876.486.2
Point differential+7.3+18.4-6.5
Avg total168.9171.2166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atomeromu Paks990100%101.676.9+24.7
2 Szombathely880100%94.171.0+23.1
3 Szolnoki Olaj86275%87.279.5+7.8
4 Alba Fehervar96367%88.180.8+7.3
5 Kaposvari96367%91.993.0-1.1
6 Phoenix-MT Fot95456%80.478.4+2.0
7 Budapesti Honved Se95456%90.290.4-0.2
8 Soproni KC94544%79.281.1-1.9
9 Szedeak94544%78.983.9-5.0
10 OSE Lions93633%84.291.0-6.8
11 Kormend93633%83.992.0-8.1
12 DEAC81712%82.189.9-7.8
13 NKA Pecs91811%80.092.8-12.8
14 KTE-Duna8080%70.091.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atomeromu Paks18293025102
Alba Fehervar2417292191
← all games of the day
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