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Atyrau vs Aktobe Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record11-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#7
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game83.6
KazakhstanNational League· AiRom Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Atyrau v Aktobe
15 Feb 2025
ATYR v AKTO
upcoming
14 Feb 2025
ATYR v AKTO
upcoming
14 Jan 2024
ATYR75
AKTO76
13 Jan 2024
ATYR91
AKTO85
16 Mar 2023
ATYR84
AKTO78
15 Mar 2023
ATYR78
AKTO57
24 Dec 2022
ATYR72
AKTO66
23 Dec 2022
ATYR70
AKTO54
26 Apr 2022
ATYR70
AKTO64
25 Apr 2022
ATYR76
AKTO64
08 Nov 2021
ATYR82
AKTO74
07 Nov 2021
ATYR78
AKTO68
25 Feb 2021
ATYR102
AKTO79
24 Feb 2021
ATYR102
AKTO89
09 Dec 2020
ATYR85
AKTO78
08 Dec 2020
ATYR96
AKTO75
11 Oct 2019
ATYR91
AKTO64
10 Oct 2019
ATYR92
AKTO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
W
80-78
80
78
+2
80avg 78
H01/12
National League
Almaty
#4
W
105-85
105
85
+20
112avg 78
H02/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
76avg 78
A14/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
76-78
76
78
-2
76avg 78
A15/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
96-105
96
105
-9
86avg 78
A18/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 78
A19/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 78
A22/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
68-71
68
71
-3
56avg 78
A23/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
60-69
60
69
-9
48avg 78
A02/02
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
60-79
60
79
-19
53avg 78
A03/02
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
19-24
26-20
15-17
25-30
20-21
30-11
30-23
20-21
20-17
19-21
19-21
17-15
18-20
26-23
15-20
26-25
21-23
28-25
21-32
17-16
22-16
13-26
16-23
27-17
20-24
18-11
12-19
21-16
16-20
15-18
16-17
17-21
19-19
13-13
11-16
9-20
12-16
16-21
23-22
156.5Avg total
76.8Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.376.2155.5+3.255%
Season at home (6)82.373.7156.0+8.783%
Season away (14)78.177.2155.3+0.943%
Last 10 (10)76.879.7156.5-2.930%
Last 5 (5)66.674.2140.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.177.1150.2-4.030%
vs Similar (13)79.679.9159.5-0.354%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.170.7155.9+14.486%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
81-109
81
109
-28
77avg 76
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
71avg 76
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
95avg 76
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
71-92
71
92
-21
59avg 76
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 76
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 76
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
63-67
63
67
-4
60avg 76
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 76
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 76
H24/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
30-23
23-29
13-29
26-21
16-23
20-22
20-19
26-15
18-22
19-22
13-22
17-15
20-21
30-16
27-16
18-22
10-17
18-26
25-27
20-18
16-16
16-24
18-25
14-15
13-28
19-25
26-25
19-8
23-16
14-24
7-19
16-26
19-16
20-16
15-20
18-16
18-25
15-15
22-22
158.6Avg total
75.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.183.6160.7-6.421%
Season at home (10)77.680.1157.7-2.530%
Season away (4)76.092.2168.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)75.283.4158.6-8.210%
Last 5 (5)69.679.8149.4-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.283.5162.7-4.429%
vs Similar (10)86.082.6168.6+3.470%
vs Weaker (3)74.772.7147.3+2.033%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
AtyrauAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H02/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/01
National League
Almaty
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A22/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A23/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/02
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A03/02
National League
78.4Avg total
38.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.979.0+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.140.980.0-1.836%-
Last 30 away (19)40.737.778.4+3.168%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.878.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.073.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.240.579.7-1.350%-
vs Similar (13)39.540.279.7-0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.734.076.7+8.7100%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/12
National League
76.3Avg total
37.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.881.3-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.740.780.3-1.039%-
Last 30 away (12)41.841.082.8+0.842%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.176.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.241.781.9-1.529%-
vs Similar (10)41.242.183.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker (3)40.031.371.3+8.767%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Atyrau wins
3
Aktobe wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Aktobe v Atyrau101-94
19/10/24Aktobe v Atyrau84-89
14/01/24Atyrau v Aktobe75-76
13/01/24Atyrau v Aktobe91-85
21/11/23Aktobe v Atyrau98-97 OT
20/11/23Aktobe v Atyrau89-96
16/03/23Atyrau v Aktobe84-78
15/03/23Atyrau v Aktobe78-57
24/12/22Atyrau v Aktobe72-66
23/12/22Atyrau v Aktobe70-54
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/25AAstana 260-79
02/02/25AAstana 260-69
23/01/25AIrbis Almaty68-71
22/01/25AIrbis Almaty77-71
19/01/25AAlmaty68-81
18/01/25AAlmaty96-105
15/12/24ATobol Kostanay76-78
14/12/24ATobol Kostanay78-80
02/12/24HAlmaty105-85
01/12/24HAlmaty80-78
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24HTobol Kostanay73-78
23/12/24HTobol Kostanay70-78
09/12/24HPavlodar63-67
08/12/24HPavlodar72-93
04/12/24AKaspiy Aktau70-83
03/12/24AKaspiy Aktau71-92
10/11/24HAstana 294-68
09/11/24HAstana 276-81
06/11/24ATobol Kostanay82-85
05/11/24ATobol Kostanay81-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau
National League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20614
Win %55%83%43%
Points / game79.382.378.1
Allowed / game76.273.777.2
Point differential+3.2+8.7+0.9
Avg total155.5156.0155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
National League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %21%30%0%
Points / game77.177.676.0
Allowed / game83.680.192.2
Point differential-6.4-2.5-16.2
Avg total160.7157.7168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay1816289%88.173.6+14.4
2 Irbis Almaty1713476%80.968.9+12.0
3 Almaty1712571%82.678.2+4.5
4 Atyrau2011955%79.376.2+3.2
5 Astana 22291341%75.080.2-5.2
6 Kaspiy Aktau2081240%72.175.1-3.0
7 Aktobe1431121%77.183.6-6.4
8 Pavlodar2231914%70.485.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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