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Aktobe vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 72-93
14-15 13-28 19-25 26-25
Position#7
Record3-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#8
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game87.3
KazakhstanNational League· SP Qonys
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aktobe v Pavlodar
18 Jan 2026
AKTO112
PAVL52
09 Dec 2024
AKTO63
PAVL67
08 Dec 2024
AKTO72
PAVL93
13 Feb 2024
AKTO96
PAVL77
12 Feb 2024
AKTO81
PAVL67
25 Mar 2019
AKTO85
PAVL66
28 Feb 2019
AKTO80
PAVL56
01 Feb 2019
AKTO92
PAVL66
02 Nov 2018
AKTO96
PAVL98
20 Apr 2018
AKTO89
PAVL86
18 Apr 2018
AKTO77
PAVL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
H07/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
62-75
62
75
-13
54avg 78
H08/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
76avg 78
H19/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
101-94
101
94
+7
97avg 78
H20/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
81-109
81
109
-28
77avg 78
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
71avg 78
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
95avg 78
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
71-92
71
92
-21
59avg 78
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 78
A04/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
19-12
18-27
12-20
16-18
20-20
11-17
15-20
20-19
22-25
15-27
27-18
32-21
17-30
26-21
26-22
15-28
30-23
23-29
13-29
26-21
16-23
20-22
20-19
26-15
18-22
19-22
13-22
17-15
20-21
30-16
27-16
18-22
10-17
18-26
25-27
20-18
16-16
16-24
18-25
165.6Avg total
80.2Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.285.4165.6-5.230%
Season at home (6)83.080.8163.8+2.250%
Season away (4)76.092.2168.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)80.285.4165.6-5.230%
Last 5 (5)78.681.8160.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.284.3164.5-4.133%
vs Similar (10)86.082.6168.6+3.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.074.6164.6+15.480%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
L
68-89
68
89
-21
54avg 59
H08/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
69-82
69
82
-13
57avg 59
H09/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
74-107
74
107
-33
71avg 59
H22/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
72-111
72
111
-39
55avg 59
H23/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
58avg 59
A01/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
61avg 59
A02/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
57-66
57
66
-9
57avg 59
H05/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
50avg 59
H06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
53avg 59
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
62-71
62
71
-9
49avg 59
H02/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
17-17
19-32
20-21
15-19
17-17
16-28
21-18
24-33
20-24
22-21
8-29
11-38
26-31
21-23
14-19
18-30
18-14
19-17
10-19
16-18
16-20
20-26
14-16
11-13
14-18
13-20
19-15
9-23
15-25
15-31
17-19
15-20
19-22
18-30
14-17
14-23
10-13
18-10
20-25
152.8Avg total
65.5Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)65.587.3152.8-21.80%
Season at home (8)65.589.1154.6-23.60%
Season away (2)65.580.0145.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)65.587.3152.8-21.80%
Last 5 (5)61.480.8142.2-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)70.292.6162.9-22.44%
vs Similar (2)78.586.0164.5-7.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
AktobePavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H07/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H08/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H19/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H20/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
National League
81.5Avg total
41.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.982.9+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.841.182.9+0.853%-
Last 30 away (13)42.440.683.0+1.846%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.581.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.075.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.841.782.5-0.933%-
vs Similar (10)41.242.183.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.635.883.4+11.8100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H08/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H09/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H22/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
37-69
37
69
-32
H23/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A01/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H05/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
24-48
24
48
-24
H06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H02/12
National League
75.4Avg total
31.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.447.382.7-11.97%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.348.483.7-13.16%-
Last 30 away (12)35.645.781.2-10.18%-
Last 10 (10)31.743.775.4-12.00%-
Last 5 (5)27.839.066.8-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)35.148.083.1-12.94%-
vs Similar (2)40.037.077.0+3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Aktobe wins
1
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
13/02/24Aktobe v Pavlodar96-77
12/02/24Aktobe v Pavlodar81-67
15/12/23Pavlodar v Aktobe76-104
14/12/23Pavlodar v Aktobe71-87
25/03/19Aktobe v Pavlodar85-66
28/02/19Aktobe v Pavlodar80-56
01/02/19Aktobe v Pavlodar92-66
07/12/18Pavlodar v Aktobe65-72
02/11/18Aktobe v Pavlodar96-98
20/04/18Aktobe v Pavlodar89-86
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24AKaspiy Aktau70-83
03/12/24AKaspiy Aktau71-92
10/11/24HAstana 294-68
09/11/24HAstana 276-81
06/11/24ATobol Kostanay82-85
05/11/24ATobol Kostanay81-109
20/10/24HAtyrau101-94
19/10/24HAtyrau84-89
08/10/24HIrbis Almaty62-75
07/10/24HIrbis Almaty81-78
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24HAstana 262-71
01/12/24HAstana 266-89
06/11/24HAtyrau56-98
05/11/24HAtyrau57-66
02/11/24AAtyrau66-80
01/11/24AAtyrau65-80
23/10/24HTobol Kostanay72-111
22/10/24HTobol Kostanay74-107
09/10/24HAlmaty69-82
08/10/24HAlmaty68-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
National League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL30%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%50%0%
Points / game80.283.076.0
Allowed / game85.480.892.2
Point differential-5.2+2.2-16.2
Avg total165.6163.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
National League 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game65.565.565.5
Allowed / game87.389.180.0
Point differential-21.8-23.6-14.5
Avg total152.8154.6145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau1210283%83.774.1+9.6
2 Tobol Kostanay86275%90.477.9+12.5
3 Irbis Almaty75271%74.767.7+7.0
4 Almaty95456%78.277.1+1.1
5 Kaspiy Aktau126650%74.373.4+0.9
6 Astana 2104640%75.677.1-1.5
7 Aktobe103730%80.285.4-5.2
8 Pavlodar100100%65.587.3-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe1413192672
Pavlodar1528252593
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