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Almaty vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 105-96
25-26 23-21 25-28 32-21
Position#4
Record10-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.7
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#5
Record10-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game74.8
KazakhstanNational League· SC Champ
Other2024-25
Meetings · Almaty v Atyrau
24 May 2026
ALMA85
ATYR76
23 May 2026
ALMA68
ATYR85
15 Mar 2026
ALMA74
ATYR72
14 Mar 2026
ALMA72
ATYR69
14 Dec 2025
ALMA73
ATYR83
13 Dec 2025
ALMA88
ATYR92
19 Jan 2025
ALMA81
ATYR68
18 Jan 2025
ALMA105
ATYR96
30 Jan 2024
ALMA83
ATYR89
29 Jan 2024
ALMA0
ATYR20
20 Dec 2020
ALMA72
ATYR84
19 Dec 2020
ALMA81
ATYR85
18 May 2019
ALMA67
ATYR78
24 Jan 2019
ALMA82
ATYR89
23 Jan 2019
ALMA89
ATYR70
25 Mar 2016
ALMA60
ATYR91
24 Mar 2016
ALMA70
ATYR82
14 Nov 2015
ALMA83
ATYR84
15 Feb 2014
ALMA62
ATYR94
03 Nov 2013
ALMA46
ATYR92
02 Nov 2013
ALMA47
ATYR108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
70-68
70
68
+2
64avg 81
H27/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
60-83
60
83
-23
50avg 81
H06/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
76avg 81
A01/12
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
85-105
85
105
-20
82avg 81
A02/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
85-72
85
72
+13
81avg 81
H14/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 81
H15/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 81
A05/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 81
A06/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
85avg 81
H11/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
102-89
102
89
+13
89avg 81
H12/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
18-12
25-14
14-21
18-23
13-21
17-21
12-18
17-20
24-19
20-26
17-15
30-25
21-20
11-30
23-30
22-19
23-8
11-13
29-32
28-20
25-17
17-23
26-17
16-24
18-15
19-17
21-16
17-22
16-29
18-20
17-20
20-18
22-17
21-15
27-20
31-27
29-21
25-21
17-20
161.5Avg total
80.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.377.7158.9+3.667%
Season at home (7)82.773.9156.6+8.986%
Season away (8)80.081.0161.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)80.880.7161.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)86.079.8165.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.193.1173.3-13.014%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.678.6158.2+1.060%
vs Weaker (6)96.377.2173.5+19.2100%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
80avg 80
H01/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
80-66
80
66
+14
84avg 80
H02/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
66-57
66
57
+9
61avg 80
A05/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
98-56
98
56
+42
108avg 80
A06/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 80
A11/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
78-76
78
76
+2
84avg 80
A12/11
National League
Almaty
#4
W
80-78
80
78
+2
80avg 80
H01/12
National League
Almaty
#4
W
105-85
105
85
+20
112avg 80
H02/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
76avg 80
A14/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
76-78
76
78
-2
76avg 80
A15/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
14-18
17-19
19-10
18-16
20-16
26-20
16-14
13-11
18-14
20-13
15-19
23-9
25-15
31-15
19-17
17-15
23-17
20-15
25-26
16-20
28-15
24-15
10-26
20-17
19-24
26-20
15-17
25-30
20-21
30-11
30-23
20-21
20-17
19-21
19-21
17-15
18-20
26-23
15-20
154.0Avg total
82.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.774.8157.5+7.971%
Season at home (6)82.373.7156.0+8.783%
Season away (8)83.075.6158.6+7.462%
Last 10 (10)82.671.4154.0+11.280%
Last 5 (5)83.479.4162.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.278.6151.9-5.425%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.277.6158.8+3.573%
vs Weaker (11)86.168.7154.8+17.491%
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
AlmatyAtyrau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H27/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/12
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A02/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H14/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H15/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A05/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A06/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H12/01
National League
81.9Avg total
42.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.243.187.3+1.155%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.040.685.6+4.464%-
Last 30 away (18)43.744.788.4-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.881.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.086.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)45.050.995.9-5.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.936.777.6+4.270%-
vs Weaker (6)48.037.085.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H01/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A05/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A06/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A11/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A12/11
National League
Almaty
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H02/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/12
National League
75.3Avg total
40.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.878.9+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.338.378.6+2.053%-
Last 30 away (13)42.137.279.2+4.977%-
Last 10 (10)40.434.975.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.080.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.541.079.5-2.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.139.981.0+1.255%-
vs Weaker (11)42.933.476.3+9.591%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Almaty wins
10
Atyrau wins
DateGameScore
02/12/24Atyrau v Almaty105-85
01/12/24Atyrau v Almaty80-78
30/01/24Almaty v Atyrau83-89
29/01/24Almaty v Atyrau0-20
06/12/23Atyrau v Almaty87-61
05/12/23Atyrau v Almaty80-77
23/03/21Atyrau v Almaty117-67
22/03/21Atyrau v Almaty122-60
20/12/20Almaty v Atyrau72-84
19/12/20Almaty v Atyrau81-85
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HPavlodar102-89
11/01/25HPavlodar90-70
06/01/25AKaspiy Aktau68-91
05/01/25AKaspiy Aktau74-72
15/12/24HAstana 296-77
14/12/24HAstana 285-72
02/12/24AAtyrau85-105
01/12/24AAtyrau78-80
06/11/24HIrbis Almaty60-83
27/10/24HKaspiy Aktau70-68
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ATobol Kostanay76-78
14/12/24ATobol Kostanay78-80
02/12/24HAlmaty105-85
01/12/24HAlmaty80-78
12/11/24AKaspiy Aktau78-76
11/11/24AKaspiy Aktau85-73
06/11/24APavlodar98-56
05/11/24APavlodar66-57
02/11/24HPavlodar80-66
01/11/24HPavlodar80-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game81.382.780.0
Allowed / game77.773.981.0
Point differential+3.6+8.9-1.0
Avg total158.9156.6161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atyrau
National League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %71%83%62%
Points / game82.782.383.0
Allowed / game74.873.775.6
Point differential+7.9+8.7+7.4
Avg total157.5156.0158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay1614288%84.973.9+11.1
2 Irbis Almaty1512380%82.268.4+13.8
3 Atyrau1410471%82.774.8+7.9
4 Almaty1510567%81.377.7+3.6
5 Kaspiy Aktau2081240%72.175.1-3.0
6 Astana 21871139%75.578.8-3.3
7 Aktobe1431121%77.183.6-6.4
8 Pavlodar2231914%70.485.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty25232532105
Atyrau2621282196
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