Auburn vs Creighton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025

Tip-off: 23:10

Final 82-70

35-37 47-33

Position#12

Record29-5

FormLLWLW

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game69.4

Auburn 🏆

Creighton

Position#59

Record25-10

FormWWWLW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game69.7

NCAA

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Creighton winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Auburn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alabama

#34

94-85

A15/02

NCAA

Arkansas

#118

67-60

H20/02

NCAA

Georgia

#120

82-70

+12

H22/02

NCAA

Ole Miss

#73

106-76

106

+30

H27/02

NCAA

Kentucky

#71

94-78

+16

A01/03

NCAA

Texas A&M

#70

72-83

-11

A05/03

NCAA

Alabama

#34

91-93 OT

-2

H08/03

NCAA

Ole Miss

#73

62-57

H14/03

NCAA

Tennessee

#23

65-70

-5

H15/03

NCAA

Alabama State

#156

83-63

+20

H20/03

NCAA

42-33

52-52

33-27

34-33

29-24

53-46

50-40

56-36

49-34

45-44

34-40

38-43

42-45

37-34

29-22

33-35

33-32

32-38

41-31

42-32

155.1Avg total

81.6Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	83.8	69.4	153.2	+14.4	85%
Season at home (20)	84.7	66.5	151.2	+18.2	85%
Season away (14)	82.6	73.6	156.2	+9.1	86%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	73.5	155.1	+8.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	73.2	147.8	+1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	78.0	84.0	162.0	-6.0	0%
vs Similar (5)	73.2	72.0	145.2	+1.2	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	85.7	70.0	155.7	+15.8	92%

This opponent (Creighton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Creighton

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

St. John's (N.Y.)

#10

73-79

-6

A16/02

NCAA

Georgetown

#176

80-69

+11

H23/02

NCAA

DePaul

#269

75-65

+10

H27/02

NCAA

Xavier

#82

61-83

-22

A01/03

NCAA

Seton Hall

#349

79-61

+18

A05/03

NCAA

Butler

#266

87-74

+13

H08/03

NCAA

DePaul

#269

85-81 OT

H13/03

NCAA

Uconn

#63

71-62

H15/03

NCAA

St. John's (N.Y.)

#10

66-82

-16

A15/03

NCAA

Louisville

#26

89-75

+14

A20/03

NCAA

39-40

34-39

44-42

36-27

36-32

39-33

27-42

34-41

35-22

44-39

52-44

35-30

21-36

41-26

46-35

25-27

28-25

38-57

49-34

40-41

149.7Avg total

76.6Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	75.6	69.7	145.3	+5.9	71%
Season at home (21)	77.8	67.8	145.5	+10.0	81%
Season away (14)	72.4	72.6	145.0	-0.1	57%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	73.1	149.7	+3.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	74.8	154.4	+4.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	65.3	72.3	137.7	-7.0	33%
vs Similar (16)	71.9	72.4	144.4	-0.5	56%
vs Weaker (11)	80.5	66.7	147.2	+13.7	100%

This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

AuburnCreighton

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alabama

#34

42-33

A15/02

NCAA

Arkansas

#118

33-27

H20/02

NCAA

Georgia

#120

29-24

H22/02

NCAA

Ole Miss

#73

50-40

+10

H27/02

NCAA

Kentucky

#71

49-34

+15

A01/03

NCAA

Texas A&M

#70

34-40

-6

A05/03

NCAA

Alabama

#34

42-45

-3

H08/03

NCAA

Ole Miss

#73

29-22

H14/03

NCAA

Tennessee

#23

33-32

H15/03

NCAA

Alabama State

#156

41-31

+10

H20/03

NCAA

71.0Avg total

38.2Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	32.2	71.8	+7.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.6	32.3	71.9	+7.3	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.5	32.2	71.6	+7.3	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	32.8	71.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	34.0	69.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.2	36.4	70.6	-2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	40.8	30.9	71.7	+9.9	88%	-

This opponent (Creighton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

St. John's (N.Y.)

#10

39-40

-1

A16/02

NCAA

Georgetown

#176

44-42

H23/02

NCAA

DePaul

#269

36-32

H27/02

NCAA

Xavier

#82

27-42

-15

A01/03

NCAA

Seton Hall

#349

35-22

+13

A05/03

NCAA

Butler

#266

52-44

H08/03

NCAA

DePaul

#269

21-36

-15

H13/03

NCAA

Uconn

#63

46-35

+11

H15/03

NCAA

St. John's (N.Y.)

#10

28-25

A15/03

NCAA

Louisville

#26

49-34

+15

A20/03

NCAA

72.9Avg total

37.7Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	33.4	69.9	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	33.8	71.6	+4.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.0	32.9	67.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	35.2	72.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	34.8	74.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	31.0	31.0	62.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	36.5	34.2	70.8	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	38.0	32.7	70.7	+5.3	82%	-

This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	38.1	81.5	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.1	35.2	78.4	+7.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.8	41.8	85.6	+2.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	39.3	81.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	36.4	72.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.0	35.6	74.6	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	44.4	38.5	82.9	+6.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	36.3	73.5	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.9	33.4	70.3	+3.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	39.6	77.1	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	36.0	72.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	36.2	72.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	34.3	41.3	75.7	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	35.4	38.2	73.6	-2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.4	32.3	72.6	+8.1	91%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Auburn wins

Creighton wins

No previous meetings.

Auburnlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/03/25	H	Alabama State	83-63
15/03/25	H	Tennessee	65-70
14/03/25	H	Ole Miss	62-57
08/03/25	H	Alabama	91-93 OT
05/03/25	A	Texas A&M	72-83
01/03/25	A	Kentucky	94-78
27/02/25	H	Ole Miss	106-76
22/02/25	H	Georgia	82-70
20/02/25	H	Arkansas	67-60
15/02/25	A	Alabama	94-85

Creightonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/03/25	A	Louisville	89-75
15/03/25	A	St. John's (N.Y.)	66-82
15/03/25	H	Uconn	71-62
13/03/25	H	DePaul	85-81 OT
08/03/25	H	Butler	87-74
05/03/25	A	Seton Hall	79-61
01/03/25	A	Xavier	61-83
27/02/25	H	DePaul	75-65
23/02/25	H	Georgetown	80-69
16/02/25	A	St. John's (N.Y.)	73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	85%
Home	WLWLW	85%
Away	WWWWL	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	20	14
Win %	85%	85%	86%
Points / game	83.8	84.7	82.6
Allowed / game	69.4	66.5	73.6
Point differential	+14.4	+18.1	+9.1
Avg total	153.2	151.2	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	65%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	60% (5)	100% (4)
Overtime %	3%	5%	0%

Creighton

NCAA 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	71%
Home	WWWWW	81%
Away	LLWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	21	14
Win %	71%	81%	57%
Points / game	75.6	77.8	72.4
Allowed / game	69.7	67.8	72.6
Point differential	+5.9	+10.0	-0.1
Avg total	145.3	145.5	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	57%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	50% (4)	100% (4)
Overtime %	3%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Florida	35	31	4	89%	85.7	69.2	+16.5
2	Auburn	34	29	5	85%	83.8	69.4	+14.4
3	Tennessee	35	28	7	80%	74.8	63.0	+11.8
4	Alabama	34	26	8	76%	91.1	81.4	+9.7
5	Kentucky	34	23	11	68%	85.0	77.3	+7.8
6	Texas A&M	34	23	11	68%	74.6	68.7	+5.9
7	Ole Miss	34	23	11	68%	77.0	71.5	+5.5
8	Missouri	34	22	12	65%	83.6	73.6	+10.0
9	Arkansas	35	22	13	63%	76.6	71.0	+5.6
10	Mississippi St.	34	21	13	62%	79.5	74.2	+5.4
11	Georgia	33	20	13	61%	75.3	69.9	+5.4
12	Vanderbilt	33	20	13	61%	78.9	74.3	+4.6
13	Oklahoma	34	20	14	59%	78.3	74.6	+3.6
14	Texas	35	19	16	54%	78.5	72.6	+5.9
15	LSU	32	14	18	44%	73.8	73.6	+0.2
16	South Carolina	32	12	20	38%	69.8	71.4	-1.7

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Big East conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	St. John's (N.Y.)	36	31	5	86%	78.5	65.8	+12.7
2	Creighton	35	25	10	71%	75.6	69.7	+5.9
3	Uconn	34	24	10	71%	77.1	67.8	+9.3
4	Marquette	34	23	11	68%	76.6	68.7	+7.8
5	Xavier	35	23	12	66%	77.7	71.1	+6.5
6	Villanova	33	19	14	58%	73.4	67.5	+5.9
7	Georgetown	32	17	15	53%	71.7	68.8	+2.8
8	Butler	33	14	19	42%	73.8	73.8	+0.0
9	DePaul	33	14	19	42%	72.8	74.2	-1.4
10	Providence	32	12	20	38%	71.3	72.5	-1.2
11	Seton Hall	32	7	25	22%	61.6	70.2	-8.6