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Louisville vs Creighton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 75-89
34-49 41-40
Position#26
Record27-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game68.9
vs
Position#59
Record24-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Creighton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H01/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H06/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
68-48
68
48
+20
H08/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H13/03
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H15/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-27
50-39
35-28
40-32
45-31
44-50
34-26
37-40
39-33
40-35
41-26
44-42
33-18
35-30
30-33
45-40
33-28
43-45
38-33
24-40
144.7Avg total
77.1Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.668.9147.5+9.779%
Season at home (20)77.069.0146.1+8.080%
Season away (14)80.868.7149.5+12.179%
Last 10 (10)77.167.6144.7+9.590%
Last 5 (5)73.267.0140.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.574.5138.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.075.6155.6+4.475%
vs Weaker (20)79.066.9145.9+12.190%
This opponent (Creighton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#63
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H12/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H23/02
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A01/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A05/03
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H08/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H15/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
29-41
39-40
34-39
44-42
36-27
36-32
39-33
27-42
34-41
35-22
44-39
52-44
35-30
21-36
41-26
46-35
25-27
28-25
38-57
146.9Avg total
74.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)75.269.5144.8+5.771%
Season at home (21)77.867.8145.5+10.081%
Season away (13)71.272.4143.5-1.254%
Last 10 (10)74.372.6146.9+1.760%
Last 5 (5)77.672.0149.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.372.3137.7-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)70.372.4142.7-2.150%
vs Weaker (11)80.566.7147.2+13.7100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.6+8.61st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -0.5-0.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.6+8.61st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -0.5-0.5
LouisvilleCreighton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC State
#293
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H06/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H15/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A16/03
NCAA
65.2Avg total
36.9Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.731.068.8+6.780%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.031.769.7+6.375%-
Last 30 away (14)37.430.367.7+7.186%-
Last 10 (10)36.928.365.2+8.690%-
Last 5 (5)35.027.662.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.533.070.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.434.272.6+4.175%-
vs Weaker (20)37.529.667.0+7.980%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#63
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A16/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/02
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A05/03
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H13/03
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H15/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A15/03
NCAA
71.2Avg total
36.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.469.1+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.033.870.8+3.276%-
Last 30 away (13)33.932.866.8+1.146%-
Last 10 (10)36.534.771.2+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.468.8+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.031.062.0+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.934.369.2+0.656%-
vs Weaker (11)38.032.770.7+5.382%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
0
Creighton wins
No previous meetings.
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25ADuke62-73
15/03/25HClemson76-73
13/03/25HStanford75-73
08/03/25HStanford68-48
06/03/25HCalifornia85-68
01/03/25HPittsburgh79-68
26/02/25AVirginia Tech71-66
22/02/25HFlorida State89-81
17/02/25ANotre Dame75-60
13/02/25ANC State91-66
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)66-82
15/03/25HUconn71-62
13/03/25HDePaul85-81 OT
08/03/25HButler87-74
05/03/25ASeton Hall79-61
01/03/25AXavier61-83
27/02/25HDePaul75-65
23/02/25HGeorgetown80-69
16/02/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)73-79
12/02/25HUconn66-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWWL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342014
Win %79%80%79%
Points / game78.677.080.8
Allowed / game68.969.068.7
Point differential+9.7+8.0+12.1
Avg total147.5146.1149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%55%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Creighton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342113
Win %71%81%54%
Points / game75.277.871.2
Allowed / game69.567.872.4
Point differential+5.7+10.0-1.2
Avg total144.8145.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3431391%82.761.9+20.8
2 Clemson3327682%76.365.7+10.7
3 Louisville3427779%78.668.9+9.7
4 SMU Mustangs33231070%80.071.1+8.9
5 Wake Forest32211166%70.268.0+2.2
6 North Carolina36231364%81.274.8+6.4
7 Stanford33201361%73.070.6+2.4
8 Pittsburgh32171553%75.970.8+5.0
9 Florida State32171553%74.572.5+2.0
10 Georgia Tech33171652%73.472.4+0.9
11 Virginia32151747%64.866.8-2.0
12 Notre Dame33151845%72.672.5+0.2
13 California33141942%75.676.8-1.2
14 Syracuse33141942%74.777.8-3.1
15 Virginia Tech32131941%69.273.2-4.0
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. John's (N.Y.)3430488%78.765.9+12.8
2 Creighton34241071%75.269.5+5.7
3 Uconn33231070%77.468.0+9.4
4 Marquette33231070%76.968.5+8.3
5 Xavier34231168%77.870.7+7.1
6 Villanova33191458%73.467.5+5.9
7 Georgetown32171553%71.768.8+2.8
8 Butler33141942%73.873.8+0.0
9 DePaul33141942%72.874.2-1.4
10 Providence32122038%71.372.5-1.2
11 Seton Hall3272522%61.670.2-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville344175
Creighton494089
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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