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Auburn vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:50
Final 83-63
41-31 42-32
Position#12
Record28-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game69.6
Auburn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#156
Record20-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Auburn v Alabama State
13 Dec 2026
AUBU v ALAB
upcoming
20 Mar 2025
AUBU83
ALAB63
22 Dec 2023
AUBU82
ALAB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A12/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H20/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H27/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A01/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A05/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
46-36
42-33
52-52
33-27
34-33
29-24
53-46
50-40
56-36
49-34
45-44
34-40
38-43
42-45
37-34
29-22
33-35
33-32
32-38
155.3Avg total
81.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.869.6153.5+14.285%
Season at home (19)84.766.7151.4+18.184%
Season away (14)82.673.6156.2+9.186%
Last 10 (10)81.374.0155.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)76.876.2153.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
vs Similar (5)73.272.0145.2+1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.570.2156.7+16.392%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
79-56
79
56
+23
A18/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
94-52
94
52
+42
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A08/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A13/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A16/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H18/03
NCAA
1H
2H
46-30
33-26
23-23
37-36
33-31
35-39
37-23
57-29
35-32
31-33
22-24
37-23
41-29
43-50
33-36
31-26
25-26
35-30
34-39
36-29
131.8Avg total
70.4Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)73.372.1145.5+1.257%
Season at home (15)80.071.0151.0+9.073%
Season away (20)68.373.0141.3-4.645%
Last 10 (10)70.461.4131.8+9.090%
Last 5 (5)67.462.4129.8+5.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.082.0150.0-14.029%
vs Similar (12)71.170.6141.7+0.567%
vs Weaker (11)74.666.4141.0+8.364%
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +5.4+5.4
AuburnAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H20/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A01/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A05/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H15/03
NCAA
70.4Avg total
37.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.832.472.3+7.480%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.132.672.8+7.582%-
Last 30 away (13)39.532.271.6+7.377%-
Last 10 (10)37.532.970.4+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.672.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (5)34.236.470.6-2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.231.272.3+10.088%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A18/02
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A13/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A16/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/03
NCAA
62.2Avg total
32.9Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.567.7-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.633.267.8+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)32.035.667.6-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)32.929.362.2+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.030.861.8+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.142.775.9-9.629%-
vs Similar (12)33.032.265.2+0.833%-
vs Weaker (11)33.331.865.1+1.555%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Auburn wins
0
Alabama State wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Auburn v Alabama State82-62
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HTennessee65-70
14/03/25HOle Miss62-57
08/03/25HAlabama91-93 OT
05/03/25ATexas A&M72-83
01/03/25AKentucky94-78
27/02/25HOle Miss106-76
22/02/25HGeorgia82-70
20/02/25HArkansas67-60
15/02/25AAlabama94-85
12/02/25AVanderbilt80-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/25HSt. Francis (PA)70-68
16/03/25AJackson State60-56
14/03/25HGrambling St.64-62
13/03/25ATexas Southern84-79
08/03/25AGrambling St.59-47
07/03/25ASouthern Univ.66-65
01/03/25HAlabama A&M Bulldogs94-52
25/02/25HBethune-Cookman68-70
22/02/25HFlorida A&M60-59
18/02/25AMiss. Valley St.79-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL85%
HomeWWLWL84%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %85%84%86%
Points / game83.884.782.6
Allowed / game69.666.773.6
Point differential+14.2+18.1+9.1
Avg total153.5151.4156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%63%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)60% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351520
Win %57%73%45%
Points / game73.380.068.3
Allowed / game72.171.073.0
Point differential+1.2+9.0-4.6
Avg total145.5151.0141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (16)75% (8)75% (8)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3430488%85.469.2+16.2
2 Auburn3328585%83.869.6+14.2
3 Tennessee3427779%74.763.0+11.7
4 Alabama3325876%91.181.4+9.7
5 Texas A&M32221069%74.367.9+6.4
6 Missouri33221167%84.573.8+10.6
7 Kentucky33221167%85.377.9+7.4
8 Ole Miss33221167%77.271.7+5.5
9 Mississippi St.33211264%79.874.2+5.6
10 Georgia32201262%75.669.3+6.2
11 Vanderbilt32201262%79.674.8+4.8
12 Arkansas33201361%76.671.2+5.5
13 Oklahoma33201361%78.874.8+4.0
14 Texas35191654%78.572.6+5.9
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Univ.32201262%74.868.2+6.5
2 Alabama State35201557%73.372.1+1.2
3 Bethune-Cookman33171652%68.672.2-3.5
4 Jackson State34161847%71.474.6-3.1
5 Texas Southern32151747%72.772.1+0.6
6 Florida A&M31141745%72.175.3-3.2
7 Grambling St.34122235%66.867.7-0.9
8 Alcorn State32112134%65.072.1-7.1
9 Alabama A&M Bulldogs32102231%73.078.8-5.8
10 Arkansas-Pine Bluff3162519%72.383.9-11.6
11 Prairie View A&M3252716%71.482.4-11.0
12 Miss. Valley St.3132810%54.180.8-26.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Auburn414283
Alabama State313263
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