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Aulnoye AS W vs USBD Alencon W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 62-60 (OT)
12-19 13-16 18-9 15-14 4-2
Position#9
Record4-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game73.3
Aulnoye AS W 🏆
France
vs
USBD Alencon W
France
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game56.4
Allowed / game58.1
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 11· Salle Nelson Mandela
Women2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aulnoye AS W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USBD Alencon W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aulnoye AS WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
72avg 69
H05/10
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
70-65
70
65
+5
70avg 69
A12/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
72-64
72
64
+8
71avg 69
H19/10
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
76-61
76
61
+15
75avg 69
A02/11
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
W
85-80
85
80
+5
90avg 69
H16/11
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
57avg 69
A23/11
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 69
H30/11
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
66avg 69
A07/12
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
L
59-61
59
61
-2
50avg 69
H11/12
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
55-84
55
84
-29
43avg 69
A21/12
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
18-18
15-23
22-19
13-15
26-16
12-18
19-16
18-14
18-16
13-23
23-11
21-25
15-9
19-12
21-15
20-19
19-24
28-23
18-14
14-14
14-26
15-23
22-18
23-20
11-22
23-20
19-17
20-22
17-24
20-13
11-17
21-16
14-13
12-10
12-22
14-22
18-20
8-20
15-22
143.2Avg total
69.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.973.3143.2-3.440%
Season at home (5)73.073.2146.2-0.240%
Season away (5)66.873.4140.2-6.640%
Last 10 (10)69.973.3143.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)64.676.2140.8-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.277.7145.8-9.517%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.170.9146.0+4.262%
vs Weaker (15)72.662.5135.1+10.187%
This opponent (USBD Alencon W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USBD Alencon WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Nice W
#8
L
57-61
57
61
-4
40avg 46
A12/10
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
W
55-52
55
52
+3
53avg 46
H19/10
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#9
L
47-61
47
61
-14
36avg 46
H26/10
French Cup Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
48-70
48
70
-22
42avg 46
A02/11
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
L
56-71
56
71
-15
48avg 46
H16/11
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
62avg 46
A23/11
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
57-41
57
41
+16
46avg 46
H30/11
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
63-61
63
61
+2
48avg 46
A07/12
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
48-60
48
60
-12
39avg 46
H14/12
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
41avg 46
A21/12
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
13-18
14-11
15-14
12-17
16-13
10-11
17-11
17-8
8-18
16-22
6-13
11-13
9-24
14-18
14-15
14-15
17-14
19-23
6-19
22-20
12-18
19-20
14-6
16-6
13-11
17-17
11-7
13-14
17-14
19-13
14-20
17-18
11-14
11-10
9-18
11-6
11-16
14-8
13-12
113.0Avg total
54.7Scored
58.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)56.458.1114.5-1.760%
Season at home (5)56.056.6112.6-0.660%
Season away (5)56.859.6116.4-2.860%
Last 10 (10)54.758.3113.0-3.650%
Last 5 (5)56.853.6110.4+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)54.760.5115.2-5.850%
vs Similar ◀ (4)56.559.5116.0-3.050%
vs Weaker (1)57.041.098.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Aulnoye AS W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
Aulnoye AS WUSBD Alencon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aulnoye AS WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feytiat W
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/10
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A12/10
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/10
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A02/11
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A23/11
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H30/11
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A07/12
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H11/12
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/12
Ligue 2 Women
72.9Avg total
35.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.270.1+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.732.969.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)35.335.470.7-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.772.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.873.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.840.073.8-6.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.034.672.6+3.462%-
vs Weaker (15)36.130.967.0+5.173%-
This opponent (USBD Alencon W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USBD Alencon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nice W
#8
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A12/10
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#11
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H19/10
Ligue 2 Women
Chartres W
#9
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H26/10
French Cup Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A02/11
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#4
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H16/11
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#10
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/11
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H30/11
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A07/12
Ligue 2 Women
Toulouse W
#1
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H14/12
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#3
D
22-22
22
22
+0
A21/12
Ligue 2 Women
57.0Avg total
27.5Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)28.430.058.4-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (6)28.827.055.8+1.850%-
Last 30 away (6)28.033.061.0-5.017%-
Last 10 (10)27.529.557.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)28.627.456.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.229.356.5-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)28.832.561.2-3.80%-
vs Weaker (1)29.017.046.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Aulnoye AS W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aulnoye AS Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aulnoye AS W: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.321.4
49.4%
44.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.95.0
29.6%
28.2%15.0
🏀 Free throws15.811.1
70.3%
70.7%11.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USBD Alencon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USBD Alencon W: 55.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.4 points a game
56%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.815.3
38.4%
44.5%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.65.1
29.0%
28.2%15.3
🏀 Free throws13.89.2
66.7%
70.7%9.2
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aulnoye AS W
LLLLLWWWWL
USBD Alencon W
WLWWWLLLWL
#9
League position
#7
-5.7
Net rating
-3.8
93.3
Offensive rating
76.7
98.9
Defensive rating
80.5
48.0%
Effective FG%
40.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.0%
24.4%
Turnover %
27.1%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.6%
3-point %
29.0%
76.9%
Assist %
61.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 76.7Defence98.9 · 80.5Shooting48.0% · 40.0%3-point %29.6% · 29.0%Ball care24.4% · 27.1%Off. rebounds31.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Aulnoye AS W   ■ USBD Alencon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aulnoye AS W wins
0
USBD Alencon W wins
No previous meetings.
Aulnoye AS Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AToulouse W55-84
11/12/24HCentre Federal BB W59-61
07/12/24APays Voironnais W68-76
30/11/24HTronche Meylan W76-79
23/11/24AMondeville W65-81
16/11/24HLe Havre W85-80
02/11/24ANice W76-61
19/10/24HMontbrison W72-64
12/10/24AUnion Hainaut W70-65
05/10/24HFeytiat W73-82
USBD Alencon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24APays Voironnais W49-42
14/12/24HToulouse W48-60
07/12/24ATronche Meylan W63-61
30/11/24HCentre Federal BB W57-41
23/11/24AUnion Hainaut W67-64
16/11/24HFeytiat W56-71
02/11/24AMondeville W48-70
26/10/24HChartres W47-61
19/10/24HLe Havre W55-52
12/10/24ANice W57-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aulnoye AS W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game69.973.066.8
Allowed / game73.373.273.4
Point differential-3.4-0.2-6.6
Avg total143.2146.2140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
USBD Alencon W
Ligue 2 Women 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game56.456.056.8
Allowed / game58.156.659.6
Point differential-1.7-0.6-2.8
Avg total114.5112.6116.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toulouse W109190%67.656.3+11.3
2 Mondeville W97278%74.764.7+10.0
3 Montbrison W107370%64.758.7+6.0
4 Feytiat W96367%69.063.1+5.9
5 Pays Voironnais W106460%68.365.0+3.3
6 USBD Alencon W106460%56.458.1-1.7
7 Tronche Meylan W105550%71.970.0+1.9
8 Nice W104640%65.468.3-2.9
9 Aulnoye AS W104640%69.973.3-3.4
10 Le Havre W102820%62.968.7-5.8
11 Union Hainaut W102820%59.265.6-6.4
12 Centre Federal BB W101910%51.468.0-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Aulnoye AS W12131815462
USBD Alencon W1916914260
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