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Austin Peay vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 60-65
25-36 35-29
Position#275
Record4-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#270
Record4-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#97
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Union Bulldogs
#409
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A08/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
68-103
68
103
-35
A17/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A26/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H27/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A30/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
47-72
47
72
-25
A08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
52-58
51-37
44-38
39-34
29-32
37-31
30-30
29-52
39-51
26-30
32-33
32-26
30-24
32-30
26-38
28-35
29-44
22-26
25-46
140.2Avg total
67.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)64.470.8135.2-6.344%
Season at home (3)73.368.0141.3+5.367%
Season away (6)60.072.2132.2-12.233%
Last 10 (10)67.173.1140.2-6.040%
Last 5 (5)56.466.4122.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.076.4138.4-14.440%
vs Similar ◀ (20)75.576.7152.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (4)86.273.2159.5+13.0100%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#47
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H04/11
NCAA
Missouri S&T
#416
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H09/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A15/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H19/11
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
68-93
68
93
-25
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H26/11
NCAA
Florida Tech
#417
W
81-54
81
54
+27
A27/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
60-83
60
83
-23
H04/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-45
38-45
38-33
48-31
37-38
41-47
34-23
35-21
25-46
43-47
31-27
39-43
22-48
50-29
33-25
48-29
33-50
27-33
37-34
36-36
149.1Avg total
74.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.674.5149.1+0.140%
Season at home (6)73.371.3144.7+2.050%
Season away (4)76.579.2155.8-2.825%
Last 10 (10)74.674.5149.1+0.140%
Last 5 (5)73.073.8146.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.078.8150.8-6.822%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.474.9144.2-5.525%
vs Weaker (12)71.965.1137.0+6.883%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +4.4+4.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +4.4+4.4
Austin PeaySouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#97
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Union Bulldogs
#409
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A17/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A26/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H27/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A30/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A08/12
NCAA
67.2Avg total
33.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.770.1+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.435.473.8+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)32.934.166.9-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)33.533.767.2-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)28.029.457.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.435.265.6-4.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)35.034.569.6+0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)40.034.074.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#47
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H04/11
NCAA
Missouri S&T
#416
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A15/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H19/11
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A25/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
L
22-48
22
48
-26
H26/11
NCAA
Florida Tech
#417
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A27/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H04/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H07/12
NCAA
70.1Avg total
33.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.867.1-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.634.469.0+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)31.633.064.6-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)33.236.970.1-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.236.868.0-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.138.970.0-7.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.433.067.4+1.450%-
vs Weaker (12)33.830.664.4+3.358%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Austin Peay wins
1
Southern Illinois wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ASamford47-72
30/11/24AEast Tennessee St57-79
27/11/24HUT Arlington58-68
26/11/24AGeorgia State62-50
21/11/24AMorehead State58-63
17/11/24ATennessee68-103
12/11/24HChattanooga Mocs67-61
08/11/24AButler68-66
05/11/24HUnion Bulldogs95-75
10/03/24AStetson91-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HSouthern Indiana73-70
04/12/24HBradley60-83
27/11/24AFlorida Tech81-54
26/11/24HEastern Kentucky72-77
25/11/24ALouisiana Tech79-85 OT
23/11/24AFlorida68-93
19/11/24HNorth Dakota St69-44
15/11/24AOklahoma State78-85
09/11/24HMissouri S&T86-64
04/11/24HCharleston80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%67%33%
Points / game64.473.360.0
Allowed / game70.868.072.2
Point differential-6.3+5.3-12.2
Avg total135.2141.3132.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game74.673.376.5
Allowed / game74.571.379.2
Point differential+0.1+2.0-2.8
Avg total149.1144.7155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Alabama117464%78.371.4+6.9
2 North Florida106460%88.582.0+6.5
3 Lipscomb106460%74.067.9+6.1
4 Queens Royals116555%75.573.5+1.9
5 Eastern Kentucky105550%76.374.3+2.0
6 Austin Peay94544%64.470.8-6.3
7 Florida Gulf Coast103730%65.468.3-2.9
8 Bellarmine113827%76.078.7-2.7
9 Central Arkansas102820%70.777.4-6.7
10 Stetson101910%73.282.3-9.1
11 West Georgia111109%65.479.4-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake990100%75.055.2+19.8
2 Bradley108280%82.667.9+14.7
3 Belmont108280%83.276.9+6.3
4 Murray State96367%79.365.1+14.2
5 Northern Iowa106460%76.464.4+12.0
6 Illinois (Chi.)106460%82.174.5+7.6
7 Indiana State106460%82.876.8+6.0
8 Valparaiso95456%78.870.6+8.2
9 Illinois State95456%79.972.6+7.3
10 Southern Illinois104640%74.674.5+0.1
11 Evansville103730%69.073.2-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay253560
Southern Illinois362965
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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