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Austin Peay vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 58-68
32-30 26-38
Position#275
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#277
Record2-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#342
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H02/03
NCAA
North Florida
#201
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
H06/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Union Bulldogs
#409
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A08/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
68-103
68
103
-35
A17/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-35
40-43
33-34
54-53
42-44
35-27
39-36
52-58
51-37
44-38
39-34
29-32
37-31
30-30
29-52
39-51
26-30
32-33
32-26
30-24
154.5Avg total
77.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.769.7139.3+0.067%
Season at home (2)81.068.0149.0+13.0100%
Season away (4)64.070.5134.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)77.776.8154.5+0.970%
Last 5 (5)64.668.6133.2-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.777.0145.7-8.367%
vs Similar ◀ (22)74.574.9149.4-0.455%
vs Weaker (4)86.273.2159.5+13.0100%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
109-78
109
78
+31
H15/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A16/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A17/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#213
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H04/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#215
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A14/11
NCAA
Texas College
#446
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A20/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
34-28
48-27
61-51
39-41
48-43
32-36
42-53
48-25
42-30
37-51
40-41
42-51
53-47
50-27
45-42
37-34
31-44
30-44
36-35
161.1Avg total
83.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.878.5160.3+3.333%
Season at home (3)87.372.0159.3+15.367%
Season away (3)76.385.0161.3-8.70%
Last 10 (10)83.277.9161.1+5.350%
Last 5 (5)80.283.2163.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.782.7153.3-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.675.3150.9+0.244%
vs Weaker (8)84.971.6156.5+13.288%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
Austin PeayUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bellarmine
#342
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/03
NCAA
North Florida
#201
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H06/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Union Bulldogs
#409
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A17/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A26/11
NCAA
72.5Avg total
36.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.070.6+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.135.173.2+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)33.434.968.4-1.544%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.972.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.667.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.038.372.3-4.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)34.434.669.0-0.345%-
vs Weaker (4)40.034.074.0+6.075%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#217
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H15/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A16/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A17/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#213
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H04/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#215
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/11
NCAA
Texas College
#446
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A20/11
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A26/11
NCAA
76.5Avg total
40.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.633.870.4+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.831.270.0+7.569%-
Last 30 away (17)34.935.870.7-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.576.5+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.739.073.7-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.734.068.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (8)40.032.272.2+7.862%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Austin Peay wins
0
UT Arlington wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24AGeorgia State62-50
21/11/24AMorehead State58-63
17/11/24ATennessee68-103
12/11/24HChattanooga Mocs67-61
08/11/24AButler68-66
05/11/24HUnion Bulldogs95-75
10/03/24AStetson91-94
08/03/24HNorth Alabama77-71
06/03/24HNorth Florida101-98 OT
02/03/24HBellarmine90-87 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24AMurray State66-79
20/11/24AMissouri State68-78
16/11/24HTexas College95-69
14/11/24AUSC95-98
09/11/24HLouisiana Tech77-92
04/11/24HNorth Texas-Dallas90-55
17/03/24AGrand Canyon74-89
16/03/24ATarleton87-84
15/03/24HStephen F. Austin109-78
08/03/24HCalifornia Baptist71-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game69.781.064.0
Allowed / game69.768.070.5
Point differential+0.0+13.0-6.5
Avg total139.3149.0134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game81.887.376.3
Allowed / game78.572.085.0
Point differential+3.3+15.3-8.7
Avg total160.3159.3161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Florida64267%88.278.0+10.2
2 Austin Peay64267%69.769.7+0.0
3 North Alabama85362%81.473.1+8.2
4 Eastern Kentucky74357%76.471.6+4.9
5 Lipscomb73443%71.473.3-1.9
6 Queens Royals73443%70.772.7-2.0
7 Central Arkansas62433%74.576.3-1.8
8 Florida Gulf Coast72529%61.464.1-2.7
9 Bellarmine72529%73.777.4-3.7
10 Stetson71614%72.182.7-10.6
11 West Georgia8080%63.078.5-15.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State54180%81.268.6+12.6
2 Southern Utah86275%78.971.0+7.9
3 Abilene Christian74357%79.373.0+6.3
4 California Baptist74357%79.176.4+2.7
5 UT Arlington62433%81.878.5+3.3
6 Utah Tech82625%68.174.5-6.4
7 Tarleton61517%59.082.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay322658
UT Arlington303868
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