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Samford vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-47
26-22 46-25
Position#61
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game77.9
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#275
Record4-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H05/11
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A08/11
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
108-52
108
52
+56
H13/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
A16/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H17/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H28/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H29/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-20
59-38
39-50
47-38
59-26
49-26
56-37
32-51
51-32
46-50
28-38
47-45
50-44
35-41
38-43
46-33
37-32
49-33
54-46
34-35
170.3Avg total
92.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.477.9170.3+14.580%
Season at home (6)96.371.8168.2+24.5100%
Season away (4)86.587.0173.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)92.477.9170.3+14.580%
Last 5 (5)87.280.6167.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)87.081.9168.9+5.175%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.373.5159.8+12.782%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#236
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Union Bulldogs
#409
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A08/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
68-103
68
103
-35
A17/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A26/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H27/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-44
35-27
39-36
52-58
51-37
44-38
39-34
29-32
37-31
30-30
29-52
39-51
26-30
32-33
32-26
30-24
32-30
26-38
28-35
29-44
143.1Avg total
70.1Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)66.670.6137.2-4.050%
Season at home (3)73.368.0141.3+5.367%
Season away (5)62.672.2134.8-9.640%
Last 10 (10)70.173.0143.1-2.950%
Last 5 (5)60.672.6133.2-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.877.5143.2-11.850%
vs Similar (21)75.076.1151.1-1.248%
vs Weaker (4)86.273.2159.5+13.0100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: -2.9-2.9
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: -2.9-2.9
SamfordAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi Coll.
#558
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H05/11
NCAA
Cornell
#113
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#630
W
59-26
59
26
+33
H13/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A16/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H17/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H27/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H28/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H29/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A06/12
NCAA
82.1Avg total
45.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.035.077.1+7.077%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.832.976.8+10.994%-
Last 30 away (13)39.737.877.5+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)45.336.882.1+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.682.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)42.539.582.0+3.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.933.475.3+8.582%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#236
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Union Bulldogs
#409
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A17/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A26/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H27/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A30/11
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.070.6+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.435.473.8+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)33.234.667.9-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)35.535.571.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)29.434.664.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.537.570.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (21)34.734.669.3+0.148%-
vs Weaker (4)40.034.074.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samford wins
0
Austin Peay wins
No previous meetings.
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24ASouth Carolina St88-81
29/11/24HWest Georgia86-65
28/11/24HUtah Valley State84-76
27/11/24HNorth Dakota St103-98 OT
20/11/24AMichigan State75-83
17/11/24HTexas Southern97-82
16/11/24ANorth Alabama97-96 OT
13/11/24HRhodes Lynx108-52
08/11/24ACornell86-88
05/11/24HMississippi Coll.100-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24AEast Tennessee St57-79
27/11/24HUT Arlington58-68
26/11/24AGeorgia State62-50
21/11/24AMorehead State58-63
17/11/24ATennessee68-103
12/11/24HChattanooga Mocs67-61
08/11/24AButler68-66
05/11/24HUnion Bulldogs95-75
10/03/24AStetson91-94
08/03/24HNorth Alabama77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game92.496.386.5
Allowed / game77.971.887.0
Point differential+14.5+24.5-0.5
Avg total170.3168.2173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%17%25%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game66.673.362.6
Allowed / game70.668.072.2
Point differential-4.0+5.3-9.6
Avg total137.2141.3134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman109190%78.162.8+15.3
2 Samford108280%92.477.9+14.5
3 Citadel85362%78.466.4+12.0
4 East Tennessee St106460%77.368.5+8.8
5 NC Greensboro95456%70.063.6+6.4
6 Chattanooga Mocs95456%72.473.3-0.9
7 Mercer84450%84.573.4+11.1
8 VMI115645%78.971.5+7.4
9 Wofford104640%73.171.8+1.3
10 Western Carolina83538%74.475.9-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Alabama106460%78.771.8+6.9
2 North Florida106460%88.582.0+6.5
3 Lipscomb106460%74.067.9+6.1
4 Eastern Kentucky95456%78.671.9+6.7
5 Austin Peay84450%66.670.6-4.0
6 Queens Royals94544%72.774.8-2.1
7 Florida Gulf Coast93633%64.867.0-2.2
8 Bellarmine103730%75.478.0-2.6
9 Central Arkansas92722%72.276.9-4.7
10 Stetson81712%72.181.6-9.5
11 West Georgia111109%65.479.4-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford264672
Austin Peay222547
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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