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Austin Peay vs Stetson Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 69-60
0-0 32-37 0-0 37-23
Position#49
Record21-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game73.1
Austin Peay 🏆
USA
vs
Stetson
USA
Position#304
Record12-20
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game80.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Austin Peay v Stetson
06 Mar 2026
AUST69
STET60
23 Jan 2026
AUST73
STET65
15 Feb 2025
AUST76
STET63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stetson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A29/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A31/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H05/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
91-62
91
62
+29
H07/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A12/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H14/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
97-111
97
111
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
42-36
0-0
48-46
0-0
44-35
0-0
37-43
0-0
35-38
0-0
52-38
0-0
47-26
0-0
44-36
0-0
52-50
0-0
43-37
0-0
53-33
0-0
37-37
0-0
29-43
0-0
48-33
0-0
33-28
0-0
32-33
0-0
46-44
0-0
42-49
0-0
46-48
0-0
51-63
165.7Avg total
86.1Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.073.1155.1+8.972%
Season at home (13)88.568.5157.0+19.992%
Season away (16)76.876.8153.5+0.056%
Last 10 (10)86.179.6165.7+6.580%
Last 5 (5)83.482.2165.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.587.0156.5-17.50%
vs Similar (4)74.581.8156.2-7.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.571.2154.7+12.483%
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StetsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#341
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A06/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
76-88
76
88
-12
H20/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
92-76
92
76
+16
A04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-34
0-0
37-34
0-0
35-47
0-0
36-45
0-0
48-48
0-0
40-52
0-0
33-26
0-0
34-36
0-0
44-44
0-0
32-34
0-0
26-52
0-0
50-36
0-0
29-40
0-0
47-31
0-0
34-42
0-0
51-47
0-0
34-27
0-0
44-36
0-0
54-41
0-0
38-35
156.2Avg total
77.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.180.1154.2-6.038%
Season at home (14)80.475.8156.1+4.664%
Season away (18)69.283.4152.6-14.217%
Last 10 (10)77.578.7156.2-1.240%
Last 5 (5)81.477.4158.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.581.7152.1-11.223%
vs Similar (7)79.774.1153.9+5.671%
vs Weaker (1)95.076.0171.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
Austin PeayStetson
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A29/01
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H07/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A20/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A28/02
NCAA
80.8Avg total
42.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.576.1+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.335.180.4+10.277%-
Last 30 away (17)37.035.872.8+1.259%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.180.8+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.280.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.040.575.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (4)37.836.274.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.535.076.5+6.671%-
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StetsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#341
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A07/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H20/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A27/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A04/03
NCAA
76.7Avg total
36.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.338.472.7-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.736.571.2-1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)34.139.873.8-5.724%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.176.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.475.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.339.272.5-6.027%-
vs Similar (7)36.035.671.6+0.457%-
vs Weaker (1)46.039.085.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Austin Peay wins
3
Stetson wins
DateGameScore
23/01/26Austin Peay v Stetson73-65
10/01/26Stetson v Austin Peay69-81
15/02/25Austin Peay v Stetson76-63
10/03/24Stetson v Austin Peay94-91
26/01/24Stetson v Austin Peay83-82
23/02/23Stetson v Austin Peay76-51
Austin Peaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ABellarmine97-111
26/02/26HCentral Arkansas88-93
22/02/26AJacksonville Dolphins65-61
20/02/26ANorth Florida77-76
14/02/26HBellarmine90-70
12/02/26AQueens Royals95-87
07/02/26HNorth Alabama91-62
05/02/26HLipscomb87-76
31/01/26AWest Georgia81-78
29/01/26AEastern Kentucky90-82
Stetsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26AEastern Kentucky92-76
28/02/26HFlorida Gulf Coast78-63
27/02/26AJacksonville Dolphins85-89
21/02/26HNorth Florida76-71
20/02/26HCentral Arkansas76-88
14/02/26AFlorida Gulf Coast76-78
12/02/26HJacksonville Dolphins67-62
07/02/26AEastern Kentucky88-100
06/02/26ABellarmine71-92
31/01/26HNorth Alabama66-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL72%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %72%92%56%
Points / game82.088.576.8
Allowed / game73.168.576.8
Point differential+8.9+19.9+0.0
Avg total155.1157.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stetson
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %38%64%17%
Points / game74.180.469.2
Allowed / game80.175.883.4
Point differential-6.0+4.6-14.2
Avg total154.2156.1152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%29%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2921872%82.073.1+8.9
2 Central Arkansas32211166%80.774.4+6.3
3 Lipscomb32191359%79.675.7+3.9
4 Queens Royals31181358%84.783.3+1.5
5 Florida Gulf Coast33161748%77.876.5+1.3
6 West Georgia31151648%77.079.8-2.8
7 Bellarmine32131941%80.081.7-1.7
8 Stetson32122038%74.180.1-6.0
9 Eastern Kentucky32112134%80.281.8-1.6
10 North Alabama3092130%69.477.6-8.2
11 North Florida3272522%79.688.2-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Austin Peay03203769
Stetson03702360
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