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Austin Peay vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-70
33-39 41-31
Position#175
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game68.7
Austin Peay 🏆
USA
vs
Murray State
USA
Position#180
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Austin Peay v Murray State
09 Dec 2023
AUST53
MURR49
03 Feb 2022
AUST53
MURR65
21 Dec 2020
AUST74
MURR70
13 Feb 2020
AUST71
MURR68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austin Peay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#47
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H06/03
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#335
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A25/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Carver Bible
#477
W
102-38
102
38
+64
H05/12
NCAA
Murray State
#180
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A09/12
NCAA
McKendree
#382
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H15/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#255
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-36
28-39
42-19
34-46
29-36
32-37
27-26
45-40
36-36
31-30
26-43
46-37
54-22
48-16
18-41
39-46
40-35
42-33
34-34
36-42
141.4Avg total
72.0Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.668.7143.3+5.957%
Season at home (5)78.665.6144.2+13.060%
Season away (2)64.576.5141.0-12.050%
Last 10 (10)72.069.4141.4+2.650%
Last 5 (5)76.669.8146.4+6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)64.583.5148.0-19.00%
vs Similar (10)71.072.9143.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (18)79.166.4145.4+12.783%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
173-95
173
95
+78
H29/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#327
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H05/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H09/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A12/12
NCAA
Transylvania
#428
W
90-49
90
49
+41
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
45-33
36-33
39-28
36-29
37-32
32-33
43-43
87-41
86-54
30-34
31-44
44-31
32-34
41-18
46-39
32-40
34-30
38-29
52-20
152.4Avg total
85.0Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.269.0161.2+23.267%
Season at home (4)106.566.5173.0+40.0100%
Season away (2)63.574.0137.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)85.067.4152.4+17.670%
Last 5 (5)76.063.8139.8+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)73.369.2142.5+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)81.165.3146.3+15.883%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +8.8+8.8
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +8.8+8.8
Austin PeayMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#47
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H06/03
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#335
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A25/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H27/11
NCAA
Carver Bible
#477
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H05/12
NCAA
Murray State
#180
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A09/12
NCAA
McKendree
#382
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#255
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H16/12
NCAA
66.7Avg total
33.9Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.969.2+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.033.672.6+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)33.132.265.4+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.866.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.069.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)22.042.064.0-20.00%-
vs Similar (10)34.535.369.8-0.830%-
vs Weaker (18)38.830.669.4+8.272%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#224
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Greenville
#482
W
87-41
87
41
+46
H29/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#327
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H09/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/12
NCAA
Transylvania
#428
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H16/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
40.5Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.430.268.6+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.129.271.3+12.988%-
Last 30 away (13)33.631.565.1+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)40.531.772.2+8.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.030.467.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)32.532.865.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.729.669.3+10.183%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Austin Peay wins
3
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
09/12/20Murray State v Austin Peay87-57
07/03/20Murray State v Austin Peay73-61
01/03/20Murray State v Austin Peay75-61
14/02/20Austin Peay v Murray State71-68
Austin Peaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/20HFlorida A&M70-76
15/12/20HMcKendree82-68
09/12/20AMurray State57-87
05/12/20HCarver Bible102-38
27/11/20HAbilene Christian72-80
26/11/20HEast Tennessee St67-66
25/11/20ANebraska O.72-66
07/03/20AMurray State61-73
06/03/20HEastern Illinois76-65
01/03/20AMurray State61-75
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/20HTransylvania90-49
12/12/20ASouthern Illinois66-70
09/12/20HAustin Peay87-57
05/12/20HIllinois State76-65
03/12/20AMiddle Tenn. St.61-78
29/11/20HGreenville173-95
08/03/20ABelmont75-76
07/03/20HAustin Peay73-61
01/03/20HAustin Peay75-61
28/02/20HEastern Kentucky74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austin Peay
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%60%50%
Points / game74.678.664.5
Allowed / game68.765.676.5
Point differential+5.9+13.0-12.0
Avg total143.3144.2141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game92.2106.563.5
Allowed / game69.066.574.0
Point differential+23.2+40.0-10.5
Avg total161.2173.0137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eastern Kentucky86275%82.968.9+14.0
2 North Alabama64267%82.561.7+20.8
3 Florida Gulf Coast64267%76.765.3+11.3
4 Jacksonville106460%71.169.1+2.0
5 Austin Peay74357%74.668.7+5.9
6 Lipscomb94544%70.370.7-0.3
7 Queens Royals31233%70.370.0+0.3
8 Bellarmine31233%68.772.0-3.3
9 Stetson62433%66.070.8-4.8
10 North Florida102820%69.778.7-9.0
11 Central Arkansas6060%68.384.7-16.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake880100%86.260.6+25.6
2 Southern Illinois660100%80.365.5+14.8
3 Belmont98189%79.168.4+10.7
4 Bradley86275%77.660.0+17.6
5 Illinois (Chi.)75271%71.667.6+4.0
6 Murray State64267%92.269.0+23.2
7 Illinois State63350%91.382.3+9.0
8 Indiana State42250%68.570.2-1.8
9 Valparaiso83538%71.567.5+4.0
10 Evansville62433%64.872.7-7.8
11 Northern Iowa51420%77.674.4+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Austin Peay334174
Murray State393170
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