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Australia vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-73
20-15 19-25 23-19 22-14
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International
Other2024
Meetings · Australia v Serbia
16 Jul 2024
AUST84
SERB73
19 Aug 2016
AUST61
SERB87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Iran
#51
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Bahrain
#73
W
83-51
83
51
+32
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
98-53
98
53
+45
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
98-72
98
72
+26
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
109-89
109
89
+20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
86avg 94
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
106-51
106
51
+55
111avg 94
A25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
25-19
27-5
7-19
24-8
21-13
25-14
33-11
19-15
17-21
28-19
25-14
28-18
25-24
19-25
22-13
16-23
25-17
32-18
30-35
22-19
18-28
22-21
22-17
18-25
23-17
31-20
25-30
21-17
14-15
22-25
17-17
32-14
22-12
27-21
22-2
35-16
150.8Avg total
84.1Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.166.7150.8+17.470%
Last 5 (5)96.077.2173.2+18.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)93.783.7177.3+10.0100%
vs Weaker (27)86.163.9150.1+22.289%
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
China
#20
W
105-63
105
63
+42
no box
H26/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
no box
A28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
115-83
115
83
+32
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
112-79
112
79
+33
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
77-61
77
61
+16
68avg 70
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 70
A26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
30-20
22-13
28-16
27-15
30-12
18-31
19-19
30-20
26-19
27-26
32-18
19-23
23-17
20-19
14-19
29-15
27-20
31-18
25-26
24-25
25-13
24-17
14-13
23-15
29-24
23-24
20-23
26-23
21-24
10-22
20-14
17-20
19-14
22-17
19-10
21-12
17-19
22-21
16-11
165.5Avg total
91.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.474.1165.5+17.380%
Last 5 (5)82.472.2154.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (6)91.879.8171.7+12.067%
vs Weaker (23)85.474.0159.4+11.478%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
AustraliaSerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#73
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H23/02
World Cup
Kazakhstan
#47
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H26/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A25/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H29/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A01/09
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H03/09
World Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H22/02
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A25/02
Asia Cup
84.1Avg total
47.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.733.979.6+11.886%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.733.678.3+11.188%-
Last 30 away (12)47.134.281.3+12.883%-
Last 10 (9)47.037.184.1+9.967%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.886.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)46.735.782.3+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)45.633.779.2+11.985%-
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#20
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H26/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A03/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/02
EuroBasket
85.2Avg total
48.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.236.282.5+10.087%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.138.585.6+8.787%-
Last 30 away (15)45.334.079.3+11.387%-
Last 10 (10)48.836.485.2+12.490%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.882.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (6)48.540.088.5+8.567%-
vs Weaker (23)45.435.180.5+10.391%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.028.0
59.6%
55.7%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.0
29.2%
34.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.017.5
72.9%
71.8%17.5
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀30%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
League average for comparison: 54.1 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.0
46.2%
55.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.0
28.6%
34.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws33.023.0
69.7%
71.8%23.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/1 games with a box score before 16 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia
WWWLWLWWWL
Serbia
WWLWWWLWWW
+44.9
Net rating
+25.4
123.0
Offensive rating
108.7
78.1
Defensive rating
83.3
54.2%
Effective FG%
45.0%
42.0%
Opp. effective FG%
39.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
44.0%
Off. rebound %
41.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.55
29.2%
3-point %
28.6%
71.4%
Assist %
54.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence123.0 · 108.7Defence78.1 · 83.3Shooting54.2% · 45.0%3-point %29.2% · 28.6%Ball care15.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds44.0% · 41.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.55Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Australia   ■ Serbia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Australia wins
2
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
19/08/16Australia v Serbia61-87
08/08/16Serbia v Australia80-95
01/09/10Serbia v Australia94-79
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AIndonesia106-51
22/02/24HSouth Korea85-71
03/09/23HGeorgia100-84
01/09/23ASlovenia80-91
29/08/23HJapan109-89
27/08/23HGermany82-85
25/08/23AFinland98-72
26/02/23HKazakhstan98-53
23/02/23HBahrain83-51
14/11/22AIran0-20
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/24AGeorgia76-63
23/02/24HFinland77-61
10/09/23AGermany77-83
08/09/23HCanada95-86
05/09/23ALithuania87-68
03/09/23ADominican Republic112-79
01/09/23HItaly76-78
30/08/23ASouth Sudan115-83
28/08/23APuerto Rico94-77
26/08/23HChina105-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Serbia
Friendly International 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia2019232284
Serbia1525191473
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