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Germany vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 12:40
Final 83-77
23-26 24-21 22-10 14-20
Position#2
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game72.1
Germany 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record14-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeWorld CupWorld Cup - Final
Other2023
Meetings · Germany v Serbia
16 Aug 2025
GERM81
SERB91
10 Sep 2023
GERM83
SERB77
23 Feb 2018
GERM79
SERB74
20 Aug 2017
GERM56
SERB87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
A27/02
World Cup
China
#3
W
107-58
107
58
+49
112avg 111
H12/08
DBB Supercup
Canada
#1
L
112-113 OT
112
113
-1
110avg 111
A13/08
DBB Supercup
Japan
#28
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
101-75
101
75
+26
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-73
100
73
+27
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H06/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-12
17-14
16-21
17-22
29-21
23-19
18-19
25-12
24-11
32-18
26-17
26-20
23-25
38-33
14-23
23-11
30-20
16-16
12-16
24-25
25-19
13-22
23-16
19-22
28-17
29-16
25-20
22-16
21-25
27-16
30-16
11-25
27-9
30-18
32-19
13-16
23-18
26-25
19-20
168.8Avg total
92.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.872.1155.8+11.789%
Season at home (11)87.573.6161.2+13.991%
Season away (7)77.969.6147.4+8.386%
Last 10 (10)92.776.1168.8+16.690%
Last 5 (5)93.476.0169.4+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.387.0164.3-9.733%
vs Similar ◀ (6)90.885.8176.7+5.083%
vs Weaker (21)89.073.7162.7+15.390%
This opponent (Serbia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Turkey
#50
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
101-83
101
83
+18
no box
H27/02
World Cup
China
#20
W
105-63
105
63
+42
no box
H26/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
no box
A28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
115-83
115
83
+32
no box
A30/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
112-79
112
79
+33
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H08/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
13-13
17-20
23-22
15-8
24-22
23-25
18-25
28-20
18-21
28-19
27-23
25-14
30-20
22-13
28-16
27-15
30-12
18-31
19-19
30-20
26-19
27-26
32-18
19-23
23-17
20-19
14-19
29-15
27-20
31-18
25-26
24-25
25-13
24-17
14-13
23-15
29-24
23-24
20-23
174.4Avg total
95.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.177.0164.1+10.174%
Season at home (9)89.279.7168.9+9.678%
Season away (10)85.274.6159.8+10.670%
Last 10 (10)95.479.0174.4+16.480%
Last 5 (5)97.078.8175.8+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)94.883.0177.8+11.867%
vs Weaker (23)86.875.6162.3+11.278%
This opponent (Germany) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
GermanySerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H24/02
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A27/02
World Cup
China
#3
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H12/08
DBB Supercup
Canada
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/08
DBB Supercup
Japan
#28
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H25/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A27/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/09
World Cup
81.5Avg total
45.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.936.579.4+6.483%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.836.680.4+7.283%-
Last 30 away (12)41.636.377.9+5.283%-
Last 10 (10)45.036.581.5+8.5100%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.481.0+4.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.742.786.3+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (21)42.933.876.7+9.195%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#50
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A24/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/02
World Cup
China
#20
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H26/08
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A28/08
World Cup
South Sudan
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/08
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/09
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A03/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/09
World Cup
84.6Avg total
48.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.936.983.8+10.087%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.839.687.4+8.182%-
Last 30 away (13)45.833.279.0+12.592%-
Last 10 (10)48.935.784.6+13.2100%-
Last 5 (5)51.038.289.2+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)48.241.789.8+6.567%-
vs Weaker (23)46.335.581.9+10.891%-
This opponent (Germany) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.020.5
70.7%
-41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.514.5
36.7%
-43.5
🏀 Free throws30.024.0
80.0%
-24.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Germany wins
2
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
20/08/22Serbia v Germany83-56
02/07/18Serbia v Germany81-88
23/02/18Germany v Serbia79-74
20/08/17Germany v Serbia56-87
29/08/10Serbia v Germany81-82 OT
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/23HLatvia81-79
03/09/23HSlovenia100-71
01/09/23HGeorgia100-73
29/08/23HFinland101-75
27/08/23AAustralia85-82
25/08/23HJapan81-63
13/08/23ACanada112-113 OT
12/08/23HChina107-58
27/02/23AFinland87-81
24/02/23HSweden73-66
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/23HCanada95-86
05/09/23ALithuania87-68
03/09/23ADominican Republic112-79
01/09/23HItaly76-78
30/08/23ASouth Sudan115-83
28/08/23APuerto Rico94-77
26/08/23HChina105-63
27/02/23HGreat Britain101-83
24/02/23AGreece92-97 OT
14/11/22HTurkey77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
World Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %89%91%86%
Points / game83.887.577.9
Allowed / game72.173.669.6
Point differential+11.7+13.9+8.3
Avg total155.8161.2147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Serbia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%78%70%
Points / game87.189.285.2
Allowed / game77.079.774.6
Point differential+10.1+9.6+10.6
Avg total164.1168.9159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %11%11%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Germany1816289%83.872.1+11.7
3 Latvia2421388%85.873.4+12.4
4 Canada1916384%96.672.2+24.4
5 Australia1714382%86.063.4+22.6
6 South Sudan1714382%82.370.8+11.5
7 Spain1713476%83.969.5+14.4
8 France1713476%81.166.8+14.2
9 Serbia1914574%87.177.0+10.1
10 Lithuania1914574%80.373.3+7.0
11 Puerto Rico1511473%83.581.0+2.5
12 New Zealand1410471%91.675.2+16.4
13 Dominican Republic1712571%82.976.8+6.1
14 Montenegro2014670%77.372.0+5.3
15 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
16 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
17 Italy1812667%85.081.9+3.1
18 Lebanon1711665%86.679.4+7.3
19 Angola1711665%73.966.8+7.1
20 China1711665%78.774.4+4.3
21 Ivory Coast1711665%75.172.0+3.1
22 Finland1711665%82.581.4+1.2
23 Brazil159660%85.974.5+11.5
24 Slovenia2012860%84.982.6+2.3
25 Greece159660%77.576.1+1.5
26 Mexico159660%83.182.5+0.5
27 Egypt1710759%76.169.2+6.8
28 Japan1710759%78.476.7+1.7
29 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
30 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
31 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
32 Georgia179853%79.179.8-0.7
33 Sweden168850%81.175.8+5.4
34 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
35 Belgium126650%72.069.4+2.6
36 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
37 Jordan168850%78.377.0+1.3
38 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
39 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
40 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
41 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
42 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
43 Venezuela178947%76.472.5+3.8
44 Philippines157847%80.079.1+0.9
45 Cape Verde167944%72.474.8-2.3
46 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
47 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
48 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
49 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
50 Turkey114736%77.575.1+2.4
51 Iran1761135%69.273.1-3.9
52 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
55 Estonia124833%72.581.4-8.9
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain101910%69.783.2-13.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany2324221483
Serbia2621102077
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