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Australia W vs Germany W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 85-52
24-10 30-14 21-21 10-7
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game55.0
Australia W 🏆
vs
Germany W
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game66.0
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Arena Guilherme Paraense
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Australia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#7
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A29/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
59-61
59
61
-2
no box
H30/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
H01/10
World Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
105-34
105
34
+71
119avg 75
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
91-45
91
45
+46
96avg 75
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
52avg 75
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
89avg 75
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
42avg 75
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
74avg 75
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
53avg 75
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
26-21
20-11
14-21
17-13
13-23
14-11
15-14
27-21
24-22
20-11
24-11
30-7
26-16
22-5
27-6
19-12
22-12
29-16
21-5
21-15
11-29
19-26
15-21
31-16
21-17
19-21
20-10
11-18
21-17
11-18
17-21
22-14
17-14
24-17
18-14
19-16
14-7
16-24
11-8
141.1Avg total
79.4Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)60.055.0115.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)60.055.0115.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.461.7141.1+17.770%
Last 5 (5)71.668.6140.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.777.3142.0-12.60%
vs Similar (1)60.074.0134.0-14.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.261.1145.3+23.091%
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
France W
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
no box
H15/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
66-62
66
62
+4
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
42-67
42
67
-25
no box
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
85-41
85
41
+44
96avg 70
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
53-70
53
70
-17
39avg 70
H12/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#9
W
73-66
73
66
+7
74avg 70
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
7-16
15-16
12-15
14-17
18-13
10-15
24-17
15-19
14-19
18-6
15-17
21-19
23-17
17-12
18-21
7-20
9-13
13-20
13-14
18-15
11-18
13-16
21-14
15-25
19-22
9-15
19-16
19-9
22-10
21-8
23-14
8-21
19-15
12-12
14-22
19-12
17-9
17-25
20-20
128.4Avg total
64.3Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)64.364.1128.4+0.260%
Last 5 (5)68.864.8133.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)55.870.3126.1-14.622%
vs Similar (4)71.266.2137.5+5.0100%
vs Weaker (9)83.257.8141.0+25.478%
This opponent (Australia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.5+7.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.5+7.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
Australia WGermany W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Australia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#7
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A29/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H30/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H01/10
World Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
56-23
56
23
+33
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
74.4Avg total
41.8Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.533.274.7+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.033.874.8+7.272%-
Last 30 away (12)42.332.274.6+10.175%-
Last 10 (10)41.832.674.4+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.670.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.739.173.9-4.429%-
vs Similar (1)32.035.067.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.131.275.4+12.991%-
This opponent (Germany W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Germany WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#5
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H15/06
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A16/06
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H18/06
European Championship Women
Slovakia W
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H25/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
41-19
41
19
+22
A09/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H12/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#9
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
63.1Avg total
31.1Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)32.933.366.1-0.436%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.033.466.4-0.431%-
Last 30 away (9)32.733.165.8-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)31.132.063.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.264.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)25.334.059.3-8.711%-
vs Similar (4)34.532.066.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker (9)39.733.172.8+6.656%-
This opponent (Australia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia W: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.9 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.722.4
47.0%
45.1%44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.3
35.9%
30.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.612.4
79.8%
74.5%12.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germany Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany W: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.0
45.5%
45.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.0
28.1%
30.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.717.7
77.9%
74.5%17.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/3 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia W
WWLWLWWWLW
Germany W
WLWLWLWWWL
#3
League position
#5
+27.9
Net rating
+16.1
108.7
Offensive rating
93.4
80.9
Defensive rating
77.3
49.1%
Effective FG%
44.3%
41.9%
Opp. effective FG%
34.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
24.6%
38.5%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.9%
3-point %
28.1%
59.1%
Assist %
72.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 93.4Defence80.9 · 77.3Shooting49.1% · 44.3%3-point %35.9% · 28.1%Ball care18.2% · 24.6%Off. rebounds38.5% · 36.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Australia W   ■ Germany W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Australia W wins
0
Germany W wins
No previous meetings.
Australia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24ABrazil W60-55
02/07/23HNew Zealand W81-59
01/07/23AChina W60-74
30/06/23HSouth Korea W91-64
28/06/23HJapan W66-91
27/06/23AChinese Taipei W91-45
26/06/23HPhilippines W105-34
01/10/22HCanada W95-65
30/09/22HChina W59-61
29/09/22ABelgium W86-69
Germany Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HSerbia W73-66
12/11/23HItaly W53-70
09/11/23ACzech Republic W85-41
25/06/23HSerbia W62-78
24/06/23HCzech Republic W71-69 OT
22/06/23ASpain W42-67
20/06/23HSlovakia W79-69
18/06/23HGreat Britain W62-61
16/06/23ASlovenia W66-62
15/06/23HFrance W50-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game60.0-60.0
Allowed / game55.0-55.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total115.0-115.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Germany W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total139.0139.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W220100%85.045.0+40.0
2 USA W220100%90.562.5+28.0
3 Germany W110100%73.066.0+7.0
4 Australia W110100%60.055.0+5.0
5 Canada W54180%70.055.0+15.0
6 Puerto Rico W53260%64.473.6-9.2
7 Belgium W21150%88.073.5+14.5
8 China W21150%72.064.5+7.5
9 Japan W21150%80.578.0+2.5
10 Hungary W21150%68.071.0-3.0
11 Spain W21150%67.570.5-3.0
12 Nigeria W21150%59.082.5-23.5
13 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
14 Brazil W1010%55.060.0-5.0
15 Serbia W1010%66.073.0-7.0
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W2020%65.584.5-19.0
18 New Zealand W2020%57.081.5-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia W2430211085
Germany W101421752
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