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Australia W vs Japan W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 66-91
21-15 11-29 19-26 15-21
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game39.5
Australia W
vs
Japan W 🏆
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game55.0
EuropeAsia Cup Women· Sydney Olympic Park Sports Halls (Sydney)
Women2023
Meetings · Australia W v Japan W
28 Jun 2023
AUST66
JAPA91
27 Sep 2022
AUST71
JAPA54
29 Jul 2017
AUST73
JAPA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Australia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Australia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
France W
#9
L
57-70
57
70
-13
no box
H22/09
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
118-58
118
58
+60
no box
A23/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
69-54
69
54
+15
no box
H25/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Japan W
#10
W
71-54
71
54
+17
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
86-69
86
69
+17
no box
A29/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
59-61
59
61
-2
no box
H30/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
H01/10
World Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
105-34
105
34
+71
119avg 107
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
91-45
91
45
+46
96avg 107
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
14-14
16-20
10-18
23-12
33-10
36-23
26-13
18-10
18-18
17-15
16-11
14-23
24-10
13-24
24-15
16-18
20-16
20-9
15-11
26-16
26-21
20-11
14-21
17-13
13-23
14-11
15-14
27-21
24-22
20-11
24-11
30-7
26-16
22-5
27-6
19-12
22-12
29-16
21-5
140.8Avg total
82.6Scored
58.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.039.5137.5+58.5100%
Season at home (1)105.034.0139.0+71.0100%
Season away (1)91.045.0136.0+46.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.658.2140.8+24.480%
Last 5 (5)87.254.8142.0+32.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)64.274.8139.0-10.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (22)85.361.4146.7+24.086%
This opponent (Japan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
China W
#2
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H03/10
Asia Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
86-79 OT
86
79
+7
no box
H10/02
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A13/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
89-56
89
56
+33
no box
H22/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
A23/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
56-70
56
70
-14
no box
H25/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
53-67
53
67
-14
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
54-71
54
71
-17
no box
A27/09
World Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
94-53
94
53
+41
98avg 98
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
95-57
95
57
+38
99avg 98
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
17-18
16-18
26-16
15-17
8-23
23-14
27-19
23-20
23-18
24-26
12-23
21-18
26-11
19-15
23-12
9-24
25-14
12-16
18-15
12-20
13-21
14-20
17-9
5-16
21-13
18-19
9-19
18-16
16-20
9-20
11-15
21-14
19-17
26-12
28-10
28-14
21-17
17-17
29-9
143.3Avg total
75.1Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.555.0149.5+39.5100%
Season at home (1)94.053.0147.0+41.0100%
Season away (1)95.057.0152.0+38.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.168.2143.3+6.950%
Last 5 (5)70.463.6134.0+6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.278.6152.8-4.342%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.959.1145.0+26.994%
This opponent (Australia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: +5.3+5.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: +5.3+5.3
Australia WJapan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Australia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#9
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H22/09
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
56-22
56
22
+34
A23/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H25/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A26/09
World Cup Women
Japan W
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H27/09
World Cup Women
Belgium W
#7
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A29/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H30/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H01/10
World Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
56-23
56
23
+33
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
73.9Avg total
42.7Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.733.074.7+8.770%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.732.874.4+8.972%-
Last 30 away (12)41.833.375.1+8.467%-
Last 10 (10)42.731.273.9+11.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.032.678.6+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.637.671.2-4.025%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (22)44.631.376.0+13.386%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China W
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/10
Asia Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H10/02
World Cup Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A13/02
World Cup Women
Mali W
#15
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H25/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A26/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/09
World Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
71.2Avg total
36.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.471.4+2.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.632.770.4+4.953%-
Last 30 away (13)36.036.772.7-0.731%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.271.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.668.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.939.873.8-5.98%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.130.570.6+9.675%-
This opponent (Australia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Australia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia W: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.8 points a game
54%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.528.0
54.4%
45.4%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.0
38.1%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.017.0
81.0%
76.0%17.0
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.8 points a game
54%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.5
53.9%
45.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.513.5
39.1%
32.9%40.5
🏀 Free throws14.012.0
85.7%
76.0%12.0
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 28 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Australia W
WWWLWWWWWL
Japan W
WWLLLLWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+79.8
Net rating
+52.9
132.3
Offensive rating
125.3
52.5
Defensive rating
72.4
55.2%
Effective FG%
56.2%
27.2%
Opp. effective FG%
37.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
55.4%
Off. rebound %
42.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.19
38.1%
3-point %
39.1%
66.7%
Assist %
80.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence132.3 · 125.3Defence52.5 · 72.4Shooting55.2% · 56.2%3-point %38.1% · 39.1%Ball care15.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds55.4% · 42.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Australia W   ■ Japan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Australia W wins
3
Japan W wins
DateGameScore
27/09/22Australia W v Japan W71-54
02/10/21Japan W v Australia W67-65
28/09/19Japan W v Australia W76-64
29/07/17Australia W v Japan W73-74
25/07/17Japan W v Australia W74-83
11/08/16Japan W v Australia W86-92
Australia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/23AChinese Taipei W91-45
26/06/23HPhilippines W105-34
01/10/22HCanada W95-65
30/09/22HChina W59-61
29/09/22ABelgium W86-69
27/09/22HJapan W71-54
26/09/22ACanada W75-72
25/09/22HSerbia W69-54
23/09/22AMali W118-58
22/09/22HFrance W57-70
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/06/23APhilippines W95-57
26/06/23HChinese Taipei W94-53
27/09/22AAustralia W54-71
26/09/22AFrance W53-67
25/09/22HCanada W56-70
23/09/22ASerbia W64-69
22/09/22HMali W89-56
13/02/22ABosnia & Herzegovina W82-87
10/02/22HCanada W86-79 OT
03/10/21HChina W78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Australia W
Asia Cup Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.0105.091.0
Allowed / game39.534.045.0
Point differential+58.5+71.0+46.0
Avg total137.5139.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan W
Asia Cup Women 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.594.095.0
Allowed / game55.053.057.0
Point differential+39.5+41.0+38.0
Avg total149.5147.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia W220100%98.039.5+58.5
2 Japan W220100%94.555.0+39.5
3 China W330100%85.357.0+28.3
4 New Zealand W32167%62.763.0-0.3
5 South Korea W31233%73.769.0+4.7
6 Philippines W31233%61.093.7-32.7
7 Chinese Taipei W3030%59.792.3-32.7
8 Lebanon W3030%47.780.3-32.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Australia W2111191566
Japan W1529262191
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