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Avellaneda W vs Instituto W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 95-96 (OT)
21-15 17-21 19-16 20-25 18-19
Position#11
Record8-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game58.9
Allowed / game63.4
vs
Position#5
Record22-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game54.5
ArgentinaLiga Femenina Women· Náutico Sportivo Avellaneda Arena
Women2026
Meetings · Avellaneda W v Instituto W
27 Jan 2026
AVEL95
INST96
01 Nov 2025
AVEL41
INST62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellaneda W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Instituto W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellaneda WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gorriones W
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
83avg 47
H23/11
Liga Femenina Women
Gorriones W
#12
L
47-73
47
73
-26
26avg 47
A27/11
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#8
L
57-61
57
61
-4
44avg 47
A28/11
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#1
L
68-90
68
90
-22
57avg 47
A06/12
Liga Femenina Women
Quimsa W
#9
L
42-60
42
60
-18
27avg 47
A06/12
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#8
W
81-60
81
60
+21
74avg 47
H07/12
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
L
45-63
45
63
-18
no box
A15/01
Liga Femenina Women
Instituto W
#5
L
34-64
34
64
-30
no box
A17/01
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
no box
H24/01
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#8
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
H25/01
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-18
22-21
25-14
9-24
11-16
18-21
9-12
18-7
10-20
14-17
15-17
20-26
12-28
15-18
21-18
17-10
11-11
6-19
8-20
26-15
18-18
26-14
11-13
15-20
9-18
15-9
6-16
8-17
8-14
9-15
9-18
14-15
14-22
19-16
19-23
27-29
13-12
15-14
12-10
126.8Avg total
58.7Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)58.963.4122.3-4.635%
Season at home (11)67.163.1130.2+4.064%
Season away (12)51.363.8115.1-12.48%
Last 10 (10)58.768.1126.8-9.430%
Last 5 (5)58.665.6124.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)53.971.2125.1-17.46%
vs Similar (9)62.263.1125.3-0.956%
vs Weaker (4)68.251.5119.8+16.875%
This opponent (Instituto W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Instituto WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hindu W
#6
W
70-46
70
46
+24
68avg 58
H07/12
Liga Femenina Women
Quimsa W
#9
W
75-46
75
46
+29
73avg 58
H12/12
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
44avg 58
H13/12
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
58-56
58
56
+2
46avg 58
A14/12
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
49-69
49
69
-20
32avg 58
A20/12
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
56-70
56
70
-14
37avg 58
A21/12
Liga Femenina Women
Gorriones W
#12
W
76-45
76
45
+31
no box
A10/01
Liga Femenina Women
Bochas W
#17
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
A13/01
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#11
W
64-34
64
34
+30
no box
H17/01
Liga Femenina Women
Gorriones W
#12
L
60-71
60
71
-11
no box
H24/01
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
17-16
16-5
15-13
10-19
20-13
24-12
21-2
16-26
15-11
14-15
14-11
10-24
22-11
17-9
9-12
10-13
13-21
10-20
16-15
15-18
13-21
15-14
13-17
24-6
7-10
21-10
24-19
19-26
16-25
25-9
31-14
17-8
14-8
15-9
18-9
17-17
11-9
21-26
11-19
123.2Avg total
65.8Scored
57.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)67.254.5121.8+12.879%
Season at home (15)66.550.1116.5+16.487%
Season away (13)68.259.6127.8+8.569%
Last 10 (10)65.857.4123.2+8.460%
Last 5 (5)69.458.8128.2+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.575.5141.0-10.00%
vs Similar (9)60.860.8121.6+0.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)70.351.5121.8+18.889%
This opponent (Avellaneda W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +4.1+4.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +4.1+4.1
Avellaneda WInstituto W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellaneda WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorriones W
#12
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/11
Liga Femenina Women
Gorriones W
#12
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A27/11
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#8
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A28/11
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A06/12
Liga Femenina Women
Quimsa W
#9
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A06/12
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#8
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H07/12
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A15/01
Liga Femenina Women
Instituto W
#5
L
16-31
16
31
-15
A17/01
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H24/01
Liga Femenina Women
San Jose W
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H25/01
Liga Femenina Women
64.9Avg total
29.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.334.064.3-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.032.765.7+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)27.635.362.9-7.720%-
Last 10 (10)29.335.664.9-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)30.436.066.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)27.736.063.7-8.318%-
vs Similar (9)32.333.265.6-0.944%-
vs Weaker (4)36.827.264.0+9.575%-
This opponent (Instituto W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Instituto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hindu W
#6
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H07/12
Liga Femenina Women
Quimsa W
#9
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H12/12
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H13/12
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A14/12
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#4
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A20/12
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A21/12
Liga Femenina Women
Gorriones W
#12
W
31-16
31
16
+15
A10/01
Liga Femenina Women
Bochas W
#17
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A13/01
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#11
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H17/01
Liga Femenina Women
Gorriones W
#12
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H24/01
Liga Femenina Women
62.2Avg total
30.8Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.228.660.8+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.826.959.7+5.962%-
Last 30 away (14)31.530.662.1+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)30.831.462.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.629.660.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.536.568.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (9)29.432.662.0-3.111%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)33.625.959.5+7.779%-
This opponent (Avellaneda W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellaneda Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellaneda W: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.0 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.6
56.2%
42.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.1
23.8%
27.2%15.3
🏀 Free throws20.512.2
59.5%
63.8%12.2
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Instituto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Instituto W: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.0 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.314.7
40.5%
42.6%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.6
30.9%
27.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.59.7
62.6%
63.8%9.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellaneda W
WLLLWLLLLW
Instituto W
LWWWLLWLWW
#11
League position
#5
+10.4
Net rating
+22.8
100.9
Offensive rating
97.9
90.4
Defensive rating
75.1
48.4%
Effective FG%
43.2%
40.8%
Opp. effective FG%
36.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.23
23.8%
3-point %
30.9%
44.9%
Assist %
68.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 97.9Defence90.4 · 75.1Shooting48.4% · 43.2%3-point %23.8% · 30.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Avellaneda W   ■ Instituto W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellaneda W wins
3
Instituto W wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Instituto W v Avellaneda W64-34
01/11/25Avellaneda W v Instituto W41-62
07/10/25Instituto W v Avellaneda W71-46
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HSan Jose W67-65
24/01/26HDeportivo Chanares W66-76
17/01/26AInstituto W34-64
15/01/26AHindu W45-63
07/12/25HSan Jose W81-60
06/12/25AQuimsa W42-60
06/12/25ADeportivo Chanares W68-90
28/11/25ASan Jose W57-61
27/11/25AGorriones W47-73
23/11/25HGorriones W80-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HGorriones W60-71
17/01/26HAvellaneda W64-34
13/01/26ABochas W91-74
10/01/26AGorriones W76-45
21/12/25AObras Sanitarias W56-70
20/12/25AFerro W49-69
14/12/25AHindu W58-56
13/12/25HDeportivo Chanares W59-63
12/12/25HQuimsa W75-46
07/12/25HHindu W70-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellaneda W
Liga Femenina Women 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW35%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%64%8%
Points / game58.967.151.3
Allowed / game63.463.163.8
Point differential-4.6+4.0-12.4
Avg total122.3130.2115.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Instituto W
Liga Femenina Women 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL79%
HomeWWLWL87%
AwayWLLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %79%87%69%
Points / game67.266.568.2
Allowed / game54.550.159.6
Point differential+12.8+16.4+8.5
Avg total121.8116.5127.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%53%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Obras Sanitarias W2924583%74.462.1+12.3
2 Deportivo Chanares W2621581%74.463.8+10.6
3 Instituto W2822679%67.254.5+12.8
4 El Talar W2721678%73.263.2+10.0
5 Ferro W2821775%72.662.5+10.1
6 Hindu W2920969%58.952.9+6.0
7 Berazategui W26141254%66.265.2+1.0
8 San Jose W24121250%63.762.7+1.0
9 Quimsa W25121348%61.159.9+1.2
10 Union Florida W24111346%65.264.7+0.5
11 Gorriones W24101442%60.362.6-2.3
12 Avellaneda W2381535%58.963.4-4.6
13 Rocamora W2481633%60.569.7-9.1
14 Independiente Neuquen W2481633%63.072.4-9.3
15 El Bigua W2451921%61.372.4-11.1
16 Lanus W2231914%58.866.5-7.7
17 Riachuelo W2231914%53.170.3-17.2
18 Bochas W2121910%55.473.8-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Avellaneda W211719201895
Instituto W152116251996
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