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Avellino Basket vs Vigevano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-69
29-10 26-16 11-23 21-20
Position#2
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Avellino Basket 🏆
Italy
vs
Vigevano
Italy
Position#14
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalySerie A2Round 1· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2026-27
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Vigevano
27 Sep 2026
AVEL87
VIGE69
12 Oct 2024
AVEL85
VIGE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vigevano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 73
A08/04
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
88-61
88
61
+27
91avg 73
H12/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 73
A19/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
87-68
87
68
+19
87avg 73
H26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 73
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-76
58
76
-18
43avg 73
A07/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
55avg 73
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
62avg 73
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
59avg 73
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-93
61
93
-32
53avg 73
A17/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
19-24
24-20
16-17
27-19
14-14
26-13
21-15
21-24
14-24
20-26
16-19
23-19
28-17
20-11
16-21
24-24
18-21
15-16
24-14
14-21
8-19
18-23
18-13
21-22
22-17
17-18
4-12
12-21
18-24
27-13
18-13
17-23
18-14
25-16
16-14
9-28
19-17
15-26
18-22
150.2Avg total
74.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.675.6150.2-1.060%
Last 5 (5)66.875.2142.0-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.081.5154.5-8.525%
vs Similar (18)78.178.6156.6-0.556%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.477.9165.2+9.588%
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
H30/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
no box
A06/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
68-83
68
83
-15
no box
A13/04
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H19/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A27/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
100-106 OT
100
106
-6
no box
A11/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
99-105 OT
99
105
-6
no box
A13/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H16/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H18/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A21/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
13-13
19-20
16-22
13-17
19-23
22-29
17-18
26-18
8-22
25-23
9-20
18-29
28-15
19-21
29-25
24-20
13-18
21-23
21-14
22-23
17-22
24-20
20-18
26-19
32-19
15-25
21-31
22-22
16-14
12-16
29-20
22-15
15-19
17-26
29-19
25-18
14-24
22-21
16-22
167.9Avg total
81.9Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.986.0167.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)87.689.4177.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.683.1159.6-6.529%
vs Similar (13)77.981.8159.7-3.846%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
Avellino BasketVigevano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A08/04
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H12/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A19/04
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A17/05
Serie A2
78.6Avg total
37.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.680.3-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.380.5+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.243.080.2-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.241.478.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.272.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.542.278.8-5.80%-
vs Similar (18)39.341.881.1-2.539%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.237.279.5+5.075%-
This opponent (Vigevano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A06/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/04
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A13/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H16/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H18/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/05
Serie A2
78.7Avg total
39.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.279.7-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.840.681.4+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)38.339.878.1-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.378.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.081.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.340.880.1-1.524%-
vs Similar (13)39.739.479.1+0.354%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.115.9
48.0%
51.4%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.7
32.1%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.013.4
78.8%
70.8%13.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.0
48.0%
51.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.5
31.1%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.518.2
77.4%
70.8%18.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
LWWLLWWLWW
Vigevano
LWWLLWWLLL
#2
League position
#14
-1.6
Net rating
-6.1
92.1
Offensive rating
104.6
93.7
Defensive rating
110.7
48.1%
Effective FG%
47.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
12.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.1%
3-point %
31.1%
57.8%
Assist %
49.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 104.6Defence93.7 · 110.7Shooting48.1% · 47.4%3-point %32.1% · 31.1%Ball care12.5% · 15.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Vigevano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Avellino Basket wins
1
Vigevano wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25Vigevano v Avellino Basket79-69
12/10/24Avellino Basket v Vigevano85-80
Avellino Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/26AFortitudo Bologna61-93
14/05/26HFortitudo Bologna76-67
12/05/26HFortitudo Bologna75-71
09/05/26AFortitudo Bologna64-69
07/05/26AFortitudo Bologna58-76
03/05/26HJuVi Cremona81-75
26/04/26HRoseto87-68
19/04/26AScafati71-93
12/04/26HRuvo Di Puglia88-61
08/04/26AMestre85-83
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25ALibertas Livorno77-85
18/05/25HLibertas Livorno83-79
16/05/25HLibertas Livorno79-72
13/05/25ALibertas Livorno99-105 OT
11/05/25ALibertas Livorno100-106 OT
27/04/25ACantu79-75
19/04/25HVerona94-90
13/04/25ABrindisi68-83
06/04/25ARimini71-87
30/03/25HSebastiani Rieti69-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Vigevano
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna110100%92.070.0+22.0
2 Forli110100%85.068.0+17.0
3 Cividale1010%68.085.0-17.0
4 Ruvo Di Puglia1010%70.092.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket2926112187
Vigevano1016232069
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