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Mestre vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-85
22-26 24-19 20-24 17-16
Position#15
Record14-19
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#6
Record19-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game79.1
ItalySerie A2Round 35· Palasport Taliercio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mestre v Avellino Basket
28 Nov 2026
MEST v AVEL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
MEST83
AVEL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 67
H24/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
81-80
81
80
+1
70avg 67
H31/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
66avg 67
A08/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
73-75
73
75
-2
58avg 67
A15/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 67
H21/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 67
H27/02
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
82-61
82
61
+21
74avg 67
A07/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
63avg 67
H21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
80avg 67
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 67
A05/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
22-24
19-15
6-20
27-18
22-20
15-23
17-19
22-24
15-20
18-14
19-16
26-22
12-17
16-20
19-16
28-18
17-26
23-15
22-26
25-24
17-26
21-19
21-24
23-17
19-16
28-16
12-12
26-17
18-29
23-32
8-15
14-11
27-20
26-15
19-24
16-22
22-28
21-24
22-21
161.8Avg total
80.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.280.9159.1-2.842%
Season at home (17)78.582.2160.8-3.747%
Season away (16)77.879.5157.2-1.838%
Last 10 (10)80.681.2161.8-0.640%
Last 5 (5)81.682.4164.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.883.5160.3-6.731%
vs Similar (12)79.879.0158.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 75
A25/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
72-71
72
71
+1
72avg 75
H01/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 75
A08/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 75
H22/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
101-100
101
100
+1
100avg 75
A06/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
84avg 75
H14/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 75
H21/03
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 75
A25/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
50avg 75
A29/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
72-83
72
83
-11
68avg 75
H04/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
14-19
17-18
20-20
23-25
21-19
16-10
12-17
24-27
34-18
16-22
27-29
24-12
23-24
14-14
26-24
12-21
28-31
23-22
38-26
25-16
20-19
14-16
27-20
30-18
11-32
18-11
20-18
19-18
15-15
16-26
21-14
17-25
15-15
15-16
15-15
18-21
19-19
10-27
25-16
163.3Avg total
81.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.379.1160.4+2.258%
Season at home (17)83.177.1160.2+6.071%
Season away (16)79.481.2160.6-1.944%
Last 10 (10)81.781.6163.3+0.160%
Last 5 (5)77.878.4156.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.078.2155.2-1.250%
vs Similar (18)81.378.9160.2+2.461%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.280.6164.9+3.662%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.2+3.2
MestreAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H31/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H21/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/02
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A07/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/04
Serie A2
84.3Avg total
42.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.380.6-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.941.381.1-1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.380.1-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.884.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.083.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.942.981.8-4.138%-
vs Similar (12)39.739.979.6-0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)41.536.077.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H01/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A08/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H22/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A06/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H14/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H21/03
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A25/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A29/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/04
Serie A2
82.8Avg total
40.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.481.0+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.638.180.7+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)38.442.981.4-4.543%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.082.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.677.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.241.879.0-4.50%-
vs Similar (18)41.840.382.2+1.556%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.639.879.4-0.162%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.7
48.5%
50.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.6
34.8%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
74.4%15.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.6
54.1%
50.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.217.3
77.9%
74.4%17.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LWLWLWLLWL
Avellino Basket
LLLWWWWWWL
#15
League position
#6
-1.1
Net rating
+0.1
95.1
Offensive rating
97.7
96.1
Defensive rating
97.6
49.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
11.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.8%
3-point %
34.6%
44.5%
Assist %
65.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 97.7Defence96.1 · 97.6Shooting49.9% · 53.2%3-point %34.8% · 34.6%Ball care11.7% · 14.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Mestre   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mestre wins
0
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Avellino Basket v Mestre75-79
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26ARimini81-95
28/03/26HBrindisi86-70
21/03/26HPesaro75-93
07/03/26ACento82-61
27/02/26HUrania Milano84-93
21/02/26HPistoia90-85
15/02/26ABasket Torino73-75
08/02/26ASebastiani Rieti80-82 OT
31/01/26HScafati81-80
24/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia74-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HJuVi Cremona72-83
29/03/26AFortitudo Bologna62-71
25/03/26AForli71-73
21/03/26HCento98-94 OT
14/03/26HSebastiani Rieti86-71
06/03/26AUrania Milano101-100
22/02/26HCividale87-74
08/02/26ARimini101-96
01/02/26HVerona72-71
25/01/26ABrindisi67-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL42%
HomeWWLLW47%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %42%47%38%
Points / game78.278.577.8
Allowed / game80.982.279.5
Point differential-2.8-3.7-1.8
Avg total159.1160.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)62% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL58%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %58%71%44%
Points / game81.383.179.4
Allowed / game79.177.181.2
Point differential+2.2+6.0-1.9
Avg total160.4160.2160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%41%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro3425974%82.678.4+4.2
2 Scafati34231168%83.177.6+5.5
3 Brindisi33221167%78.273.4+4.8
4 Fortitudo Bologna34221265%76.373.1+3.1
5 Verona34211362%78.374.1+4.1
6 Cividale34211362%77.675.1+2.5
7 Sebastiani Rieti34201459%79.077.0+2.0
8 Rimini33191458%81.878.5+3.3
9 Avellino Basket33191458%81.379.1+2.2
10 Libertas Livorno34191556%78.873.2+5.5
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona33161748%74.877.2-2.3
13 Basket Torino34161847%73.073.9-0.9
14 Urania Milano34151944%79.481.4-2.1
15 Mestre33141942%78.280.9-2.8
16 Forli33122136%77.081.2-4.2
17 Ruvo Di Puglia33102330%77.186.5-9.5
18 Cento34102429%77.580.9-3.4
19 Pistoia3382524%77.282.8-5.6
20 Roseto3362718%78.185.2-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre2224201783
Avellino Basket2619241685
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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