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Avellino vs Casale Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2011
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 82-91
21-22 19-16 28-20 14-33
Position#10
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#18
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.7
Allowed / game71.7
ItalyLega ARound 7
Domestic2011-12
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casale Monferrato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H19/05
Lega A
Treviso
#5
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H21/05
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A23/05
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A25/05
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A09/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H16/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H22/10
Lega A
Teramo
#17
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#4
L
55-90
55
90
-35
A13/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
20-16
16-16
15-18
23-16
17-14
19-22
28-16
16-18
22-16
12-20
14-20
17-27
16-14
18-17
8-11
26-24
19-21
18-17
13-23
33-23
20-25
23-29
20-13
18-19
24-21
22-23
19-12
18-18
17-15
13-12
23-12
25-16
27-14
16-26
28-23
12-23
16-17
10-21
17-29
153.4Avg total
76.5Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.579.3158.8+0.267%
Season at home (3)91.781.3173.0+10.3100%
Season away (3)67.377.3144.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)76.576.9153.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.278.2158.4+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.282.8161.0-4.750%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.575.5150.1-1.038%
vs Weaker (10)90.581.4171.9+9.180%
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H16/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A23/10
Lega A
Caserta
#15
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A30/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H06/11
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H13/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
12-19
19-25
14-18
19-17
14-23
19-20
21-14
14-11
19-19
17-20
14-22
16-17
8-22
13-10
15-18
19-19
18-16
17-12
10-20
13-17
25-21
11-13
22-21
135.3Avg total
63.7Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)63.771.7135.3-8.00%
Season at home (3)69.371.0140.3-1.70%
Season away (3)58.072.3130.3-14.30%
Last 10 (6)63.771.7135.3-8.00%
Last 5 (5)64.870.4135.2-5.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.067.0131.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)63.672.6136.2-9.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
AvellinoCasale Monferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/05
Lega A
Treviso
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H21/05
Lega A
Treviso
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A23/05
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A09/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H16/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
Lega A
Teramo
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H06/11
Lega A
Cantu
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A13/11
Lega A
80.2Avg total
41.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.279.8+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.180.0+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.440.179.6-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.980.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.280.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.339.277.5-0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.939.179.0+0.862%-
vs Weaker (10)42.839.181.9+3.750%-
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H16/10
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A23/10
Lega A
Caserta
#15
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A30/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H06/11
Lega A
Treviso
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H13/11
Lega A
67.8Avg total
31.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)31.736.267.8-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (3)36.037.773.7-1.733%-
Last 30 away (3)27.334.762.0-7.333%-
Last 10 (6)31.736.267.8-4.533%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.469.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.035.072.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)30.636.467.0-5.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino wins
0
Casale Monferrato wins
No previous meetings.
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/11ACantu55-90
06/11/11HSassari96-79
30/10/11ATeramo71-57
22/10/11HTreviso83-75
16/10/11HVirtus Bologna96-90
09/10/11ASutor Montegranaro76-85
25/05/11ATreviso59-69
23/05/11ATreviso64-74
21/05/11HTreviso87-68
19/05/11HTreviso78-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/11HTreviso71-72
06/11/11HOlimpia Milano64-67
30/10/11ACaserta52-67
23/10/11AVarese64-72
16/10/11HCremona73-74
09/10/11ASassari58-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game79.591.767.3
Allowed / game79.381.377.3
Point differential+0.2+10.3-10.0
Avg total158.8173.0144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Casale Monferrato
Lega A 2011-12
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game63.769.358.0
Allowed / game71.771.072.3
Point differential-8.0-1.7-14.3
Avg total135.3140.3130.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano65183%75.364.7+10.7
2 Siena64267%72.865.7+7.2
3 Cantu64267%72.365.3+7.0
4 Biella64267%71.767.0+4.7
5 Avellino64267%79.579.3+0.2
6 Varese64267%78.778.5+0.2
7 Venezia53260%76.271.4+4.8
8 Caserta53260%75.873.6+2.2
9 Treviso53260%76.073.8+2.2
10 Pesaro53260%69.071.0-2.0
11 Virtus Bologna63350%78.880.0-1.2
12 Sassari63350%74.578.3-3.8
13 Virtus Roma73443%74.978.4-3.6
14 Sutor Montegranaro51420%73.278.8-5.6
15 Teramo61517%68.375.0-6.7
16 Cremona61517%72.880.2-7.3
17 Casale Monferrato6060%63.771.7-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2119281482
Casale Monferrato2216203391
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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