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AWF Katowice vs Poznan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-88
24-22 15-21 14-18 14-27
Position#18
Record4-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game86.3
AWF Katowice
Poland
vs
Poznan 🏆
Poland
Position#10
Record9-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game81.1
Poland1 LigaRound 22· Sports hall OS Szopienice MOSir
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AWF Katowice winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AWF KatowicePolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKatowice
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
62-99
62
99
-37
47avg 66
A24/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
L
71-79 OT
71
79
-8
no box
H02/12
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
no box
A09/12
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 66
H16/12
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
52avg 66
A23/12
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
77-91
77
91
-14
76avg 66
H30/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
69avg 66
H07/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 66
A13/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
79-94
79
94
-15
60avg 66
H17/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
89-86
89
86
+3
82avg 66
A20/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
17-27
9-28
16-14
24-18
10-13
9-19
23-16
23-23
19-24
15-17
17-10
20-11
25-21
14-15
19-18
12-25
23-16
8-26
26-22
19-25
12-22
20-22
26-22
25-22
18-19
20-18
19-26
24-20
24-27
24-28
16-19
16-33
23-16
20-17
20-28
26-22
17-17
24-28
22-19
163.8Avg total
77.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.886.3164.1-8.519%
Season at home (10)77.284.0161.2-6.810%
Season away (11)78.488.4166.7-10.027%
Last 10 (10)77.386.5163.8-9.220%
Last 5 (5)83.090.0173.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.687.1163.7-10.411%
vs Similar (3)85.081.7166.7+3.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Poznan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
105-86
105
86
+19
103avg 77
A26/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
52avg 77
H03/12
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 77
A09/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
95-74
95
74
+21
92avg 77
H17/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
89avg 77
H23/12
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 77
A30/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 77
A07/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
80avg 77
H13/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 77
A17/01
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
92-88
92
88
+4
80avg 77
H20/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
24-20
24-18
31-31
17-22
15-17
17-19
17-10
24-26
21-23
18-31
26-21
20-21
24-17
26-23
25-13
25-20
19-20
22-11
23-26
28-23
14-28
18-18
22-16
14-18
21-22
18-20
25-22
23-19
15-20
24-19
19-31
20-21
16-20
18-18
15-21
21-20
16-20
31-21
24-27
167.6Avg total
84.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.581.1164.6+2.343%
Season at home (11)82.880.8163.6+2.045%
Season away (10)84.281.5165.7+2.740%
Last 10 (10)84.683.0167.6+1.640%
Last 5 (5)80.484.8165.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.577.0154.5+0.550%
vs Similar (17)82.182.0164.1+0.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.981.0163.9+1.945%
This opponent (AWF Katowice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
AWF KatowicePoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AWF KatowiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A24/11
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H02/12
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A09/12
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H16/12
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A23/12
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H07/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A13/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H17/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A20/01
1 Liga
82.8Avg total
39.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)40.743.083.7-2.248%-
Last 30 at home (10)39.841.281.0-1.450%-
Last 30 away (11)41.544.586.1-3.045%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.182.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.685.4-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.843.383.1-3.444%-
vs Similar (3)46.041.087.0+5.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Poznan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A26/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H03/12
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A09/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H23/12
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A07/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A17/01
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/01
1 Liga
81.7Avg total
40.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.278.8-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.039.277.2-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)39.241.380.5-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.481.7-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.279.8-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.039.576.5-2.50%-
vs Similar (17)37.838.776.5-0.941%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.242.782.9-2.536%-
This opponent (AWF Katowice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AWF Katowicetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AWF Katowice: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.1
48.7%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.6
34.4%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.213.3
57.3%
69.4%13.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.2
32.5%
32.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.416.4
73.2%
69.4%16.4
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AWF Katowice
WLLLLLWLLL
Poznan
WLLLLWWLLW
#18
League position
#10
-13.2
Net rating
+1.4
99.7
Offensive rating
108.3
112.9
Defensive rating
106.9
49.7%
Effective FG%
50.0%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.4%
3-point %
32.5%
61.0%
Assist %
59.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 108.3Defence112.9 · 106.9Shooting49.7% · 50.0%3-point %34.4% · 32.5%Ball care19.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.9% · 29.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ AWF Katowice   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AWF Katowice wins
1
Poznan wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Poznan v AWF Katowice101-80
AWF Katowicelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ANiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl89-86
17/01/24HPolonia Warszawa79-94
13/01/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg88-94
07/01/24HPoli. Opolska82-85
30/12/23HHydroTruck Radom77-91
23/12/23AMKKS Koszalin69-89
16/12/23HAlstom Krakow78-65
09/12/23ASlask Wroclaw II78-83 OT
02/12/23HStarogard Gdanski71-79 OT
24/11/23ABydgoszcz62-99
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HGornik Walbrzych92-88
17/01/24AKrosno69-80
13/01/24HGKS Tychy81-89
07/01/24APelplin78-82
30/12/23ASokol Miedzychod82-85
23/12/23HWKK Wroclaw89-77
17/12/23HBydgoszcz95-74
09/12/23ANiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl89-101
03/12/23HPolonia Warszawa66-68
26/11/23AKotwica Kolobrzeg105-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AWF Katowice
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW19%
HomeLWLLL10%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%10%27%
Points / game77.877.278.4
Allowed / game86.384.088.4
Point differential-8.5-6.8-10.0
Avg total164.1161.2166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %14%20%9%
Poznan
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeLWWLW45%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%45%40%
Points / game83.582.884.2
Allowed / game81.180.881.5
Point differential+2.3+2.0+2.7
Avg total164.6163.6165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)25% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gornik Walbrzych2116576%80.668.7+12.0
2 Slask Wroclaw II2116576%89.187.5+1.6
3 Bydgoszcz2115671%80.971.6+9.3
4 Krosno2115671%85.578.1+7.4
5 Poli. Opolska2114767%86.481.7+4.7
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg2114767%84.481.0+3.4
7 Starogard Gdanski2113862%79.373.0+6.4
8 Pelplin2113862%81.477.9+3.5
9 GKS Tychy2112957%81.382.0-0.6
10 MKKS Koszalin21111052%82.082.5-0.5
11 HydroTruck Radom21111052%80.383.4-3.1
12 Poznan2191243%83.581.1+2.3
13 Polonia Warszawa2171433%76.580.4-3.9
14 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl2171433%80.485.2-4.9
15 WKK Wroclaw2151624%78.885.5-6.7
16 AWF Katowice2141719%77.886.3-8.5
17 Alstom Krakow2141719%76.586.1-9.7
18 Sokol Miedzychod2131814%77.189.9-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AWF Katowice2415141467
Poznan2221182788
← all games of the day
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