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Poznan vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-74
20-21 24-17 26-23 25-13
Position#10
Record6-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game80.6
Poznan 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#5
Record10-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game71.0
Poland1 LigaRound 15· Cityzen hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Poznan v Bydgoszcz
29 Nov 2025
POZN102
BYDG97
26 Oct 2024
POZN85
BYDG92
17 Dec 2023
POZN95
BYDG74
13 Apr 2019
POZN71
BYDG80
23 Jan 2019
POZN91
BYDG84
24 Feb 2018
POZN83
BYDG62
17 Dec 2016
POZN87
BYDG59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
AWF Katowice
#18
W
101-80
101
80
+21
98avg 77
H15/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
68avg 77
A18/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
no box
H21/10
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
92-79
92
79
+13
100avg 77
A29/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
L
64-72
64
72
-8
50avg 77
H11/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
88-67
88
67
+21
89avg 77
A15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 77
H19/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
105-86
105
86
+19
103avg 77
A26/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
52avg 77
H03/12
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 77
A09/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
30-21
29-17
19-19
23-15
21-9
16-22
19-25
22-18
21-26
17-17
24-23
18-24
16-14
31-22
27-19
11-18
17-21
19-16
17-17
25-19
18-14
27-20
18-14
22-22
23-16
17-25
13-17
26-17
24-20
24-18
31-31
17-22
15-17
17-19
17-10
24-26
21-23
18-31
26-21
165.2Avg total
85.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.480.6164.0+2.743%
Season at home (7)79.180.1159.3-1.029%
Season away (7)87.681.1168.7+6.457%
Last 10 (10)85.180.1165.2+5.050%
Last 5 (5)84.680.4165.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.782.0154.7-9.30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.981.2164.1+1.656%
vs Weaker (11)85.779.5165.2+6.364%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
69avg 74
A15/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 74
H18/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 74
A21/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
70-73
70
73
-3
68avg 74
A28/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
66-81
66
81
-15
57avg 74
A11/11
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
58-48
58
48
+10
53avg 74
H15/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
72-68
72
68
+4
61avg 74
A19/11
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
99-62
99
62
+37
106avg 74
H24/11
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
96avg 74
A03/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
73-60
73
60
+13
66avg 74
H10/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
18-29
21-21
11-17
22-16
16-18
17-11
17-20
12-25
19-20
23-17
25-20
19-18
14-14
21-18
16-23
17-23
14-22
14-15
21-21
14-12
22-6
18-10
4-20
18-13
18-22
17-20
19-13
30-20
27-17
28-9
14-16
29-19
26-33
24-18
19-7
16-16
17-17
20-9
20-18
145.9Avg total
75.9Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.371.0150.3+8.371%
Season at home (7)80.765.6146.3+15.1100%
Season away (7)77.976.4154.3+1.443%
Last 10 (10)75.970.0145.9+5.960%
Last 5 (5)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.789.3173.0-5.620%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.583.2166.7+0.340%
vs Weaker (10)83.073.1156.1+9.980%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
PoznanBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AWF Katowice
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H15/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A18/10
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/10
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H19/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A26/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H03/12
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A09/12
1 Liga
80.2Avg total
41.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.380.1-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.939.077.9-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.641.482.0-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.580.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.282.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.047.390.3-4.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.538.176.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker (11)40.741.582.3-0.855%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A15/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H18/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A21/10
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A28/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A11/11
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H15/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/11
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H24/11
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A03/12
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/12
1 Liga
76.7Avg total
39.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.283.8+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.639.582.1+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.842.685.4+0.162%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.776.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.078.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.242.485.6+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.941.682.5-0.760%-
vs Weaker (10)43.939.583.4+4.480%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.1
50.9%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.7
29.4%
32.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.617.7
75.0%
69.4%17.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.1
47.9%
51.8%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.7
30.2%
32.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws26.917.9
66.5%
69.4%17.9
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LLWLWLWLWW
Bydgoszcz
WWWWWLLLWL
#10
League position
#5
+5.7
Net rating
+6.6
103.2
Offensive rating
100.1
97.5
Defensive rating
93.5
48.2%
Effective FG%
46.8%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.46
29.4%
3-point %
30.2%
59.0%
Assist %
76.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 100.1Defence97.5 · 93.5Shooting48.2% · 46.8%3-point %29.4% · 30.2%Ball care19.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds32.0% · 30.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Poznan   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Poznan wins
5
Bydgoszcz wins
DateGameScore
13/04/19Poznan v Bydgoszcz71-80
07/04/19Bydgoszcz v Poznan87-75
06/04/19Bydgoszcz v Poznan89-80
23/01/19Poznan v Bydgoszcz91-84
17/10/18Bydgoszcz v Poznan93-62
24/02/18Poznan v Bydgoszcz83-62
12/11/17Bydgoszcz v Poznan69-68
02/04/17Bydgoszcz v Poznan78-87
17/12/16Poznan v Bydgoszcz87-59
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ANiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl89-101
03/12/23HPolonia Warszawa66-68
26/11/23AKotwica Kolobrzeg105-86
19/11/23HPoli. Opolska75-80
15/11/23AHydroTruck Radom88-67
11/11/23HMKKS Koszalin64-72
29/10/23AAlstom Krakow92-79
21/10/23HSlask Wroclaw II92-97 OT
18/10/23AStarogard Gdanski79-71
15/10/23HAWF Katowice101-80
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HStarogard Gdanski73-60
03/12/23ANiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl98-77
24/11/23HAWF Katowice99-62
19/11/23APolonia Warszawa72-68
15/11/23HGornik Walbrzych58-48
11/11/23AKotwica Kolobrzeg66-81
28/10/23AKrosno70-73
21/10/23APoli. Opolska79-82
18/10/23HGKS Tychy72-65
15/10/23AHydroTruck Radom72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%29%57%
Points / game83.479.187.6
Allowed / game80.680.181.1
Point differential+2.7-1.0+6.4
Avg total164.0159.3168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%100%43%
Points / game79.380.777.9
Allowed / game71.065.676.4
Point differential+8.3+15.1+1.4
Avg total150.3146.3154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slask Wroclaw II1412286%88.784.6+4.1
2 Gornik Walbrzych1512380%79.166.4+12.7
3 Bydgoszcz1410471%79.371.0+8.3
4 Krosno1510567%85.677.9+7.7
5 Poli. Opolska1510567%85.179.5+5.5
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1510567%83.279.3+3.9
7 Starogard Gdanski159660%74.570.5+4.0
8 MKKS Koszalin148657%79.580.9-1.4
9 Pelplin158753%82.279.3+2.9
10 GKS Tychy158753%79.782.4-2.7
11 HydroTruck Radom157847%78.583.3-4.7
12 Poznan146843%83.480.6+2.7
13 Polonia Warszawa156940%76.978.1-1.2
14 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl156940%79.984.3-4.3
15 WKK Wroclaw1541127%80.185.1-5.0
16 AWF Katowice1531220%76.784.9-8.2
17 Alstom Krakow1531220%76.585.2-8.7
18 Sokol Miedzychod151147%76.391.0-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan2024262595
Bydgoszcz2117231374
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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