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Pelplin vs Poznan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-78
18-14 22-21 20-18 22-25
Position#11
Record10-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.3
Pelplin 🏆
Poland
vs
Poznan
Poland
Position#10
Record8-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.3
Poland1 LigaRound 18· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pelplin v Poznan
10 Apr 2027
PELP v POZN
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
PELP85
POZN75
08 Dec 2024
PELP94
POZN96
07 Jan 2024
PELP82
POZN78
09 Dec 2022
PELP76
POZN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
AWF Katowice
#18
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 76
A28/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
77-69
77
69
+8
72avg 76
H10/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 76
A15/11
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
85-67
85
67
+18
85avg 76
H18/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
no box
A25/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
no box
H02/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 76
A09/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 76
H16/12
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
no box
A23/12
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 76
H30/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
14-20
18-13
24-19
16-25
27-9
17-15
17-20
31-20
12-29
29-25
14-17
23-17
21-16
23-18
18-16
14-23
17-23
23-8
25-25
25-15
8-21
23-23
21-18
17-21
22-21
19-16
16-23
21-26
25-18
22-22
17-21
12-14
18-17
19-18
20-20
26-22
25-23
14-26
27-12
163.0Avg total
83.2Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.579.3161.8+3.259%
Season at home (9)82.276.2158.4+6.067%
Season away (8)82.882.8165.5+0.050%
Last 10 (10)83.279.8163.0+3.470%
Last 5 (5)83.482.4165.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.782.6157.4-7.927%
vs Similar (12)80.078.2158.2+1.867%
vs Weaker (7)93.170.4163.6+22.786%
This opponent (Poznan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
92-79
92
79
+13
100avg 79
A29/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
L
64-72
64
72
-8
50avg 79
H11/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
88-67
88
67
+21
89avg 79
A15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 79
H19/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
105-86
105
86
+19
103avg 79
A26/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
52avg 79
H03/12
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 79
A09/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
95-74
95
74
+21
92avg 79
H17/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
89avg 79
H23/12
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 79
A30/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
16-14
31-22
27-19
11-18
17-21
19-16
17-17
25-19
18-14
27-20
18-14
22-22
23-16
17-25
13-17
26-17
24-20
24-18
31-31
17-22
15-17
17-19
17-10
24-26
21-23
18-31
26-21
20-21
24-17
26-23
25-13
25-20
19-20
22-11
23-26
28-23
14-28
18-18
22-16
163.4Avg total
84.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.380.3164.6+4.047%
Season at home (9)82.079.1161.1+2.944%
Season away (8)86.981.6168.5+5.250%
Last 10 (10)84.578.9163.4+5.650%
Last 5 (5)84.281.0165.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.575.5140.0-11.00%
vs Similar (16)83.281.1164.2+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.980.5166.4+5.458%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
PelplinPoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AWF Katowice
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A28/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/11
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A15/11
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A25/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H02/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/12
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H16/12
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A23/12
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H30/12
1 Liga
78.9Avg total
39.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.477.4+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.435.175.6+5.350%-
Last 30 away (16)39.739.379.0+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.678.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.679.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.338.877.1-0.536%-
vs Similar (12)36.838.575.3-1.742%-
vs Weaker (7)48.333.181.4+15.171%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alstom Krakow
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/10
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/11
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H19/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A26/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H03/12
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A09/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H23/12
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/12
1 Liga
80.9Avg total
40.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.479.9-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.939.678.5-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.381.4-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.280.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.484.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.544.586.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (16)38.238.676.8-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.942.283.1-1.250%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.0
49.7%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.1
27.6%
32.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws26.418.2
68.9%
69.4%18.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.5
50.8%
51.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.0
33.1%
32.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.416.7
71.4%
69.4%16.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
WWLLWWWLWW
Poznan
LWWLLWLWLW
#11
League position
#10
-1.3
Net rating
+6.2
99.0
Offensive rating
108.6
100.2
Defensive rating
102.4
46.4%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
19.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.6%
3-point %
33.1%
73.2%
Assist %
63.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 108.6Defence100.2 · 102.4Shooting46.4% · 50.3%3-point %27.6% · 33.1%Ball care19.8% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.41 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Pelplin   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pelplin wins
0
Poznan wins
DateGameScore
23/09/23Poznan v Pelplin78-96
19/03/23Poznan v Pelplin61-71
09/12/22Pelplin v Poznan76-69
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl92-83
23/12/23APolonia Warszawa77-76 OT
16/12/23HKotwica Kolobrzeg85-87
09/12/23APoli. Opolska74-81
02/12/23HHydroTruck Radom89-85 OT
25/11/23AMKKS Koszalin92-91 OT
18/11/23HAlstom Krakow85-67
15/11/23ASlask Wroclaw II86-91
10/11/23HStarogard Gdanski77-69
28/10/23AAWF Katowice75-68
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ASokol Miedzychod82-85
23/12/23HWKK Wroclaw89-77
17/12/23HBydgoszcz95-74
09/12/23ANiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl89-101
03/12/23HPolonia Warszawa66-68
26/11/23AKotwica Kolobrzeg105-86
19/11/23HPoli. Opolska75-80
15/11/23AHydroTruck Radom88-67
11/11/23HMKKS Koszalin64-72
29/10/23AAlstom Krakow92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game82.582.282.8
Allowed / game79.376.282.8
Point differential+3.2+6.0+0.0
Avg total161.8158.4165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %24%11%38%
Poznan
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL47%
HomeLLLWW44%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game84.382.086.9
Allowed / game80.379.181.6
Point differential+4.0+2.9+5.2
Avg total164.6161.1168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slask Wroclaw II1714382%88.985.1+3.8
2 Gornik Walbrzych1814478%79.567.6+11.9
3 Bydgoszcz1813572%81.972.5+9.4
4 Poli. Opolska1813572%86.280.6+5.7
5 Krosno1812667%86.979.3+7.6
6 Starogard Gdanski1811761%76.870.9+5.9
7 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1811761%81.879.9+1.9
8 Pelplin1710759%82.579.3+3.2
9 MKKS Koszalin1710759%80.881.1-0.3
10 GKS Tychy1810856%80.481.7-1.2
11 Poznan178947%84.380.3+4.0
12 HydroTruck Radom1881044%78.483.1-4.7
13 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl1871139%81.185.5-4.4
14 Polonia Warszawa1861233%76.479.2-2.8
15 WKK Wroclaw1851328%79.185.5-6.4
16 AWF Katowice1831517%76.685.4-8.9
17 Alstom Krakow1831517%75.386.0-10.7
18 Sokol Miedzychod1821611%77.090.4-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin1822202282
Poznan1421182578
← all games of the day
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