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Azerbaijan W vs Bulgaria W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 48-141
15-30 12-26 12-48 9-37
Position#38
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 1· Baku Sports Palace
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Azerbaijan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Azerbaijan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lithuania W
#17
L
62-99
62
99
-37
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
28-136
28
136
-108
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
51-105
51
105
-54
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
47-108
47
108
-61
no box
H10/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
24-97
24
97
-73
2avg 9
A06/02
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
34-88
34
88
-54
15avg 9
H09/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-24
11-30
14-23
6-25
4-38
6-39
12-34
16-32
15-32
10-20
10-21
16-23
13-30
13-24
5-31
5-27
7-25
4-29
8-16
2-18
13-21
11-32
8-17
146.5Avg total
41.0Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (6)41.0105.5146.5-64.50%
Last 5 (5)36.8106.8143.6-70.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.0105.5146.5-64.50%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bulgaria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Croatia W
#20
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
51-79
51
79
-28
no box
A24/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
76-102
76
102
-26
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
65-75
65
75
-10
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
83-94
83
94
-11
78avg 85
H06/02
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
92avg 85
H09/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
11-26
21-22
14-14
9-25
7-31
22-10
13-13
29-24
13-27
14-16
18-26
22-22
17-22
24-30
13-28
24-23
11-10
8-17
22-25
17-14
19-21
16-27
11-16
20-23
31-10
15-18
17-17
21-27
7-32
32-12
12-14
24-23
21-23
17-23
21-25
18-22
16-19
23-16
21-21
157.9Avg total
73.2Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.284.7157.9-11.520%
Last 5 (5)78.682.8161.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.583.0155.5-10.520%
vs Similar (2)60.573.0133.5-12.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)73.870.5144.2+3.250%
This opponent (Azerbaijan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-25-12+0+12+25Q1Q1: -14.0-14.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -16.5-16.5Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -19.8-19.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -14.2-14.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
-25-12+0+12+25Q1Q1: -14.0-14.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -16.5-16.5Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -19.8-19.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -14.2-14.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
Azerbaijan WBulgaria W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Azerbaijan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania W
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
10-63
10
63
-53
H12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A07/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H10/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
12-52
12
52
-40
A06/02
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
15-39
15
39
-24
H09/02
European Championship Women
75.2Avg total
22.3Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)22.352.875.2-30.50%-
Last 30 at home (3)18.051.769.7-33.70%-
Last 30 away (3)26.754.080.7-27.30%-
Last 10 (6)22.352.875.2-30.50%-
Last 5 (5)19.454.273.6-34.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)22.352.875.2-30.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bulgaria W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bulgaria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia W
#20
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
16-56
16
56
-40
A24/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#20
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H12/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A07/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H06/02
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/02
European Championship Women
81.0Avg total
36.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)35.839.875.6-3.938%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.837.675.4+0.138%-
Last 30 away (8)33.941.975.8-8.038%-
Last 10 (10)36.444.681.0-8.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.881.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.742.679.3-5.930%-
vs Similar (2)29.534.564.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.835.272.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Azerbaijan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Azerbaijan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Azerbaijan W: 40.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀52%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers13.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.3 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.56.8
24.8%
-13.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.87.0
22.7%
-21.0
🏀 Free throws7.35.3
72.7%
-5.3
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bulgaria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria W: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀29%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.016.3
43.0%
-32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.8
32.3%
-20.5
🏀 Free throws26.822.2
82.6%
-22.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Azerbaijan W
LLLLLL
Bulgaria W
WLLWLLLLLL
#38
League position
#8
-81.0
Net rating
-6.5
50.2
Offensive rating
94.4
131.2
Defensive rating
100.8
29.7%
Effective FG%
44.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
30.9%
Turnover %
18.8%
17.4%
Off. rebound %
17.4%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.45
22.7%
3-point %
32.3%
56.6%
Assist %
74.8%
0%
Form (last 6/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 6/10)0% · 20%
■ Azerbaijan W   ■ Bulgaria W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Azerbaijan W wins
0
Bulgaria W wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HPoland W34-88
06/02/25ABelgium W24-97
10/11/24HLithuania W47-108
07/11/24APoland W51-105
12/11/23HBelgium W28-136
09/11/23ALithuania W62-99
Bulgaria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HHungary W92-89 OT
06/02/25HSlovenia W83-94
10/11/24AFinland W72-85
07/11/24AHungary W83-68
12/11/23ASlovenia W63-78
09/11/23HFinland W65-75
12/02/23HSerbia W76-102
27/11/22ACroatia W74-93
24/11/22ASerbia W51-79
11/11/21HCroatia W73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Azerbaijan W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Bulgaria W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Azerbaijan W151212948
Bulgaria W30264837141
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