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Azerbaijan W vs Poland W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 34-88
2-18 13-21 11-32 8-17
Position#36
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game42.4
Allowed / game109.0
Azerbaijan W
vs
Poland W 🏆
Position#15
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game68.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 6· Sarkhadchi Sport Center
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Azerbaijan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Azerbaijan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lithuania W
#17
L
62-99
62
99
-37
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
28-136
28
136
-108
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
51-105
51
105
-54
32avg 19
A07/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
47-108
47
108
-61
23avg 19
H10/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
24-97
24
97
-73
2avg 19
A06/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-24
11-30
14-23
6-25
4-38
6-39
12-34
16-32
15-32
10-20
10-21
16-23
13-30
13-24
5-31
5-27
7-25
4-29
8-16
151.4Avg total
42.4Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)42.4109.0151.4-66.60%
Season at home (2)37.5122.0159.5-84.50%
Season away (3)45.7100.3146.0-54.70%
Last 10 (5)42.4109.0151.4-66.60%
Last 5 (5)42.4109.0151.4-66.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.4109.0151.4-66.60%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Turkey W
#10
L
41-52
41
52
-11
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
136-50
136
50
+86
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
67-62
67
62
+5
no box
A08/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
73-75 OT
73
75
-2
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
105-51
105
51
+54
110avg 68
H07/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
71avg 68
H10/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
69-72
69
72
-3
63avg 68
A06/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-12
11-12
6-16
16-12
14-26
27-11
13-17
17-24
43-6
37-6
24-20
32-18
17-17
20-17
27-22
12-16
8-13
16-16
22-15
19-14
18-14
18-10
13-20
18-18
28-15
14-17
10-20
14-14
32-16
32-15
20-10
21-10
17-17
24-15
16-24
20-24
22-18
13-22
15-16
19-16
143.0Avg total
78.0Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.268.0146.2+10.240%
Season at home (3)85.068.7153.7+16.333%
Season away (2)68.067.0135.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)78.065.0143.0+13.050%
Last 5 (5)78.268.0146.2+10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.271.7133.8-9.533%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.658.6143.1+26.056%
This opponent (Azerbaijan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-24-12+0+12+24Q1Q1: -13.6-13.6Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -18.2-18.2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -19.6-19.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -15.2-15.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-24-12+0+12+24Q1Q1: -13.6-13.6Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -18.2-18.2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -19.6-19.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -15.2-15.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
Azerbaijan WPoland W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Azerbaijan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania W
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
10-63
10
63
-53
H12/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
31-64
31
64
-33
A07/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H10/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
12-52
12
52
-40
A06/02
European Championship Women
79.4Avg total
23.8Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)23.855.679.4-31.80%-
Last 30 at home (2)19.558.077.5-38.50%-
Last 30 away (3)26.754.080.7-27.30%-
Last 10 (5)23.855.679.4-31.80%-
Last 5 (5)23.855.679.4-31.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)23.855.679.4-31.80%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Poland W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey W
#10
L
19-24
19
24
-5
A14/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H24/11
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
80-12
80
12
+68
A27/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A12/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A08/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H07/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/02
European Championship Women
71.4Avg total
41.9Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)40.729.970.6+10.960%-
Last 30 at home (8)44.532.176.6+12.475%-
Last 30 away (7)36.427.363.7+9.143%-
Last 10 (10)41.929.571.4+12.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.631.875.4+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.232.764.8-0.550%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.428.074.4+18.467%-
This opponent (Azerbaijan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Azerbaijan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Azerbaijan W: 41.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀52%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers14.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.87.0
24.3%
45.4%14.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.87.2
24.2%
30.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws7.85.6
71.8%
72.4%5.6
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland W: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
45.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.4
30.0%
30.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.213.4
63.2%
72.4%13.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Azerbaijan W
LLLLL
Poland W
LLWLWWWWLL
#36
League position
#15
-83.3
Net rating
+14.4
51.2
Offensive rating
101.5
134.5
Defensive rating
87.2
30.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
30.8%
Turnover %
23.0%
17.6%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.34
24.2%
3-point %
30.0%
56.3%
Assist %
82.1%
0%
Form (last 5/10)
50%

Profile

Offence51.2 · 101.5Defence134.5 · 87.2Shooting30.4% · 51.4%3-point %24.2% · 30.0%Ball care30.8% · 23.0%Off. rebounds17.6% · 34.4%Free throws0.13 · 0.34Form (last 5/10)0% · 50%
■ Azerbaijan W   ■ Poland W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Azerbaijan W wins
1
Poland W wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Poland W v Azerbaijan W105-51
Azerbaijan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25ABelgium W24-97
10/11/24HLithuania W47-108
07/11/24APoland W51-105
12/11/23HBelgium W28-136
09/11/23ALithuania W62-99
Poland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25ALithuania W69-72
10/11/24HBelgium W77-80
07/11/24HAzerbaijan W105-51
12/11/23HLithuania W73-75 OT
08/11/23ABelgium W67-62
12/02/23ASlovenia W65-58
09/02/23HTurkey W76-72
27/11/22AAlbania W136-50
24/11/22HSlovenia W71-78
14/11/21ATurkey W41-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Azerbaijan W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game42.437.545.7
Allowed / game109.0122.0100.3
Point differential-66.6-84.5-54.7
Avg total151.4159.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game78.285.068.0
Allowed / game68.068.767.0
Point differential+10.2+16.3+1.0
Avg total146.2153.7135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W550100%94.444.8+49.6
2 Serbia W550100%88.050.0+38.0
3 Turkey W550100%79.257.0+22.2
4 Spain W550100%73.053.0+20.0
5 Sweden W550100%76.663.0+13.6
6 Belgium W54180%91.253.2+38.0
7 Lithuania W54180%84.866.4+18.4
8 Luxembourg W54180%65.251.4+13.8
9 Italy W54180%67.656.6+11.0
10 Slovenia W54180%76.269.0+7.2
11 Portugal W54180%63.257.2+6.0
12 Great Britain W53260%74.655.2+19.4
13 Montenegro W53260%71.461.8+9.6
14 Croatia W53260%78.270.0+8.2
15 Hungary W53260%70.462.8+7.6
16 Germany W53260%70.266.6+3.6
17 Slovakia W53260%70.267.8+2.4
18 Switzerland W53260%60.858.8+2.0
19 Latvia W53260%70.873.8-3.0
20 Poland W52340%78.268.0+10.2
21 Israel W52340%78.476.2+2.2
22 Greece W52340%68.069.4-1.4
23 Netherlands W52340%63.668.2-4.6
24 Finland W52340%65.673.6-8.0
25 Denmark W51420%68.473.6-5.2
26 Iceland W51420%71.677.6-6.0
27 Bulgaria W51420%73.280.0-6.8
28 Ukraine W51420%62.269.6-7.4
29 Czech Republic W51420%60.473.6-13.2
30 Romania W51420%67.686.2-18.6
31 Estonia W51420%51.679.4-27.8
32 Austria W5050%52.275.8-23.6
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%57.082.4-25.4
34 North Macedonia W5050%52.889.4-36.6
35 Ireland W5050%48.697.4-48.8
36 Azerbaijan W5050%42.4109.0-66.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Azerbaijan W21311834
Poland W1821321788
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