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Poland W vs Belgium W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-80
17-17 24-15 16-24 20-24
Position#15
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game62.7
Poland W
vs
Belgium W 🏆
Position#1
Record2-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game55.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· ArcelorMittal Park
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Poland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belarus W
#10
L
49-80
49
80
-31
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
125-19
125
19
+106
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
L
41-52
41
52
-11
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
136-50
136
50
+86
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
67-62
67
62
+5
no box
A08/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
L
73-75 OT
73
75
-2
62avg 69
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
105-51
105
51
+54
110avg 69
H07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
17-20
12-14
8-23
38-9
38-4
29-2
20-4
8-12
11-12
6-16
16-12
14-26
27-11
13-17
17-24
43-6
37-6
24-20
32-18
17-17
20-17
27-22
12-16
8-13
16-16
22-15
19-14
18-14
18-10
13-20
18-18
28-15
14-17
10-20
14-14
32-16
32-15
20-10
21-10
140.5Avg total
80.8Scored
59.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.762.7144.3+19.067%
Season at home (2)89.063.0152.0+26.050%
Season away (1)67.062.0129.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.859.7140.5+21.160%
Last 5 (5)77.263.6140.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)59.270.0129.2-10.840%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)86.556.9143.4+29.662%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
USA W
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 83
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
97-66
97
66
+31
97avg 83
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 83
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 83
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 83
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
85-58
85
58
+27
90avg 83
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
86avg 83
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
80avg 83
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 83
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
81-70
81
70
+11
72avg 83
H07/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
24-19
23-23
13-24
23-15
19-18
31-11
24-22
22-11
18-18
23-13
15-19
11-25
14-21
17-14
27-23
23-23
15-23
15-14
21-27
19-7
20-16
22-16
24-19
26-26
22-11
19-12
12-17
17-14
19-17
15-17
15-18
19-20
17-17
25-23
20-25
19-15
22-20
25-14
15-21
153.6Avg total
79.8Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.055.0148.0+38.067%
Season at home (2)71.568.5140.0+3.050%
Season away (1)136.028.0164.0+108.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.873.8153.6+6.050%
Last 5 (5)80.272.0152.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.383.9155.1-12.60%
vs Similar (2)73.564.0137.5+9.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.557.4142.9+28.090%
This opponent (Poland W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +10.2+10.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +10.2+10.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
Poland WBelgium W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Poland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belarus W
#10
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H06/02
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
76-13
76
13
+63
H11/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
L
19-24
19
24
-5
A14/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H24/11
European Championship Women
Albania W
#38
W
80-12
80
12
+68
A27/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#24
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A12/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A08/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H07/11
European Championship Women
72.7Avg total
44.8Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)41.228.970.1+12.262%-
Last 30 at home (7)45.032.177.1+12.971%-
Last 30 away (6)36.725.261.8+11.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.827.972.7+16.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.630.070.6+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.432.863.2-2.440%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (8)47.926.574.4+21.475%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USA W
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/11
European Championship Women
73.9Avg total
38.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.531.772.2+8.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.433.475.8+9.069%-
Last 30 away (14)38.429.868.1+8.664%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.173.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.672.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.340.675.9-5.329%-
vs Similar (2)38.532.070.5+6.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.428.771.1+13.781%-
This opponent (Poland W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland W: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.3
58.7%
45.4%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.3
28.4%
30.0%25.0
🏀 Free throws27.016.0
59.3%
72.4%16.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.9
55.7%
45.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.9
32.8%
30.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws12.29.5
77.9%
72.4%9.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland W
WLWWWWLLWL
Belgium W
WLLWWLLWWL
#15
League position
#1
+25.9
Net rating
+8.0
104.1
Offensive rating
102.5
78.2
Defensive rating
94.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
39.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
21.9%
Turnover %
19.7%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.19
28.4%
3-point %
32.8%
91.9%
Assist %
82.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 102.5Defence78.2 · 94.4Shooting51.3% · 53.3%3-point %28.4% · 32.8%Ball care21.9% · 19.7%Off. rebounds37.2% · 24.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Poland W   ■ Belgium W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poland W wins
0
Belgium W wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Belgium W v Poland W62-67
Poland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24HAzerbaijan W105-51
12/11/23HLithuania W73-75 OT
08/11/23ABelgium W67-62
12/02/23ASlovenia W65-58
09/02/23HTurkey W76-72
27/11/22AAlbania W136-50
24/11/22HSlovenia W71-78
14/11/21ATurkey W41-52
11/11/21HAlbania W125-19
06/02/21HBelarus W49-80
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24HLithuania W81-70
11/08/24HAustralia W81-85
09/08/24AFrance W75-81 OT
07/08/24ASpain W79-66
04/08/24AJapan W85-58
01/08/24HUSA W74-87
29/07/24AGermany W69-83
11/02/24HNigeria W78-61
09/02/24HSenegal W97-66
08/02/24AUSA W79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game81.789.067.0
Allowed / game62.763.062.0
Point differential+19.0+26.0+5.0
Avg total144.3152.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
Belgium W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game93.071.5136.0
Allowed / game55.068.528.0
Point differential+38.0+3.0+108.0
Avg total148.0140.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W330100%85.345.7+39.7
2 France W440100%86.850.0+36.8
3 Turkey W440100%78.252.2+26.0
4 Spain W440100%72.255.0+17.2
5 Sweden W440100%71.260.8+10.5
6 Lithuania W43175%88.065.8+22.2
7 Montenegro W43175%77.563.5+14.0
8 Germany W43175%72.863.5+9.2
9 Italy W43175%64.855.8+9.0
10 Luxembourg W43175%62.055.0+7.0
11 Portugal W43175%64.057.2+6.8
12 Slovenia W43175%71.865.5+6.2
13 Belgium W32167%93.055.0+38.0
14 Poland W32167%81.762.7+19.0
15 Great Britain W42250%70.058.5+11.5
16 Croatia W42250%74.871.2+3.5
17 Israel W42250%78.074.5+3.5
18 Greece W42250%68.566.5+2.0
19 Hungary W42250%68.066.0+2.0
20 Netherlands W42250%63.262.2+1.0
21 Switzerland W42250%62.261.8+0.5
22 Finland W42250%69.572.0-2.5
23 Latvia W42250%67.872.2-4.5
24 Slovakia W42250%65.271.8-6.5
25 Ukraine W31233%67.069.7-2.7
26 Denmark W41325%67.567.5+0.0
27 Bulgaria W41325%70.876.5-5.8
28 Iceland W41325%70.576.2-5.8
29 Romania W41325%71.585.2-13.8
30 Estonia W41325%54.076.0-22.0
31 Czech Republic W4040%55.275.5-20.2
32 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%62.083.5-21.5
33 Austria W4040%54.075.8-21.8
34 North Macedonia W4040%51.085.5-34.5
35 Ireland W4040%54.890.5-35.8
36 Azerbaijan W4040%47.0112.0-65.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland W1724162077
Belgium W1715242480
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