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Baden W vs Geneve W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game65.8
Baden W
Switzerland
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Geneve W
Switzerland
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game69.9
SwitzerlandSB League WRound 13· Kanti Baden
Women2026-27
Meetings · Baden W v Geneve W
19 Dec 2026
BADE v GENE
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BADE91
GENE80
04 Jan 2026
BADE82
GENE92
22 Feb 2025
BADE73
GENE75
02 Nov 2024
BADE97
GENE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baden W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Geneve W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baden WSwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Nyon W
#1
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 77
A01/04
SB League W
Nyon W
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
65avg 77
H03/04
SB League W
Alte Kanti Aarau W
#6
W
75-56
75
56
+19
73avg 77
A29/09
SB League W
Fribourg W
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 77
H02/10
SB League W
GC Zurich W
#5
W
98-56
98
56
+42
92avg 77
A06/10
SB League W
Nyon W
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
76avg 77
H11/10
SB League W
Pully W
#9
W
107-50
107
50
+57
109avg 77
H17/10
SB League W
BBC Troistorrents W
#8
W
98-73
98
73
+25
92avg 77
A24/10
SB League W
Helios VS W
#7
W
93-66
93
66
+27
86avg 77
H31/10
SB League W
Geneve W
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A07/11
SB League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
27-26
25-16
14-28
26-21
14-23
16-26
20-19
26-15
17-15
21-16
11-10
14-20
22-19
19-17
21-14
26-23
24-14
25-17
23-2
17-13
14-14
18-25
28-30
10-12
27-16
37-10
33-12
21-18
25-19
27-13
25-23
21-16
28-20
22-10
22-20
15-16
26-15
21-18
18-24
156.9Avg total
86.4Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.065.8153.8+22.288%
Season at home (4)88.267.0155.2+21.275%
Season away (4)87.864.5152.2+23.2100%
Last 10 (10)86.470.5156.9+15.970%
Last 5 (5)91.068.8159.8+22.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.683.8155.4-12.112%
vs Similar (7)79.474.4153.9+5.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.563.0148.5+22.593%
This opponent (Geneve W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geneve WSwitzerlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Saarlouis W
#25
L
75-109
75
109
-34
69avg 77
H24/09
EuroCup Women
Nyon W
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 77
A27/09
SB League W
Saarlouis W
#25
L
56-77
56
77
-21
40avg 77
A01/10
EuroCup Women
BBC Troistorrents W
#8
W
90-50
90
50
+40
89avg 77
A04/10
SB League W
Helios VS W
#7
W
102-81
102
81
+21
104avg 77
H07/10
SB League W
GC Zurich W
#5
W
92-69
92
69
+23
82avg 77
A11/10
SB League W
Fribourg W
#2
L
87-94 OT
87
94
-7
88avg 77
H18/10
SB League W
Alte Kanti Aarau W
#6
W
75-50
75
50
+25
62avg 77
A25/10
SB League W
Pully W
#9
W
99-50
99
50
+49
no box
H04/11
SB League W
Baden W
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H07/11
SB League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
22-30
24-34
18-18
29-30
15-26
13-13
13-16
8-22
18-21
14-24
16-10
21-9
25-21
20-15
24-5
21-19
28-15
22-17
31-30
22-21
28-17
13-19
29-12
22-21
20-23
19-22
19-14
21-12
16-14
16-12
22-12
18-12
33-12
22-13
26-13
16-15
15-26
18-21
24-18
156.4Avg total
81.9Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.069.9155.9+16.162%
Season at home (4)90.276.2166.5+14.050%
Season away (4)81.863.5145.2+18.275%
Last 10 (10)81.974.5156.4+7.450%
Last 5 (5)85.268.6153.8+16.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.186.6161.7-11.510%
vs Similar (3)77.388.7166.0-11.333%
vs Weaker (17)88.063.6151.6+24.476%
This opponent (Baden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +7.4+7.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +7.4+7.4
Baden WGeneve W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Baden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nyon W
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A01/04
SB League W
Nyon W
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/04
SB League W
Alte Kanti Aarau W
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A29/09
SB League W
Fribourg W
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/10
SB League W
GC Zurich W
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/10
SB League W
Nyon W
#3
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H11/10
SB League W
Pully W
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
SB League W
BBC Troistorrents W
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A24/10
SB League W
Helios VS W
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H31/10
SB League W
Geneve W
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A07/11
SB League W
77.3Avg total
41.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.379.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.577.9+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)42.238.180.3+4.167%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.577.3+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.831.872.6+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.644.082.6-5.438%-
vs Similar (7)39.636.676.1+3.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.534.178.5+10.487%-
This opponent (Geneve W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geneve WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saarlouis W
#25
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H24/09
EuroCup Women
Nyon W
#3
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A27/09
SB League W
Saarlouis W
#25
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A01/10
EuroCup Women
BBC Troistorrents W
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A04/10
SB League W
Helios VS W
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/10
SB League W
GC Zurich W
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/10
SB League W
Fribourg W
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/10
SB League W
Alte Kanti Aarau W
#6
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A25/10
SB League W
Pully W
#9
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H04/11
SB League W
Baden W
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H07/11
SB League W
80.2Avg total
40.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.881.1+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.080.3+6.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.581.8+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.380.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.676.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.945.384.2-6.420%-
vs Similar (3)38.344.783.0-6.30%-
vs Weaker (17)45.033.978.9+11.188%-
This opponent (Baden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baden W: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.7 points a game
58%
26%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.328.0
55.7%
48.9%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.95.3
31.4%
30.3%15.9
🏀 Free throws22.514.2
63.1%
68.7%14.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Geneve Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Geneve W: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.7 points a game
58%
26%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.9
52.4%
48.9%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.8
33.5%
30.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
71.8%
68.7%12.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baden W
WWWWLWWWLL
Geneve W
LWWLWWWLLL
#1
League position
#4
+17.1
Net rating
+13.1
90.4
Offensive rating
88.9
73.3
Defensive rating
75.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.4%
3-point %
33.5%
52.0%
Assist %
70.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 88.9Defence73.3 · 75.8Shooting53.5% · 51.6%3-point %31.4% · 33.5%Ball care20.3% · 18.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Baden W   ■ Geneve W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baden W wins
2
Geneve W wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Geneve W v Baden W73-80
06/03/26Baden W v Geneve W91-80
04/01/26Baden W v Geneve W82-92
11/10/25Geneve W v Baden W60-93
22/02/25Baden W v Geneve W73-75
19/01/25Geneve W v Baden W90-103
02/11/24Baden W v Geneve W97-82
Baden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AGeneve W80-73
31/10/26HHelios VS W93-66
24/10/26ABBC Troistorrents W98-73
17/10/26HPully W107-50
11/10/26HNyon W77-82
06/10/26AGC Zurich W98-56
02/10/26HFribourg W76-70
29/09/26AAlte Kanti Aarau W75-56
03/04/26HNyon W76-89
01/04/26ANyon W84-90
Geneve Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBaden W73-80
04/11/26HPully W99-50
25/10/26AAlte Kanti Aarau W75-50
18/10/26HFribourg W87-94 OT
11/10/26AGC Zurich W92-69
07/10/26HHelios VS W102-81
04/10/26ABBC Troistorrents W90-50
01/10/26ASaarlouis W56-77
27/09/26ANyon W70-85
24/09/26HSaarlouis W75-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baden W
SB League W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game88.088.287.8
Allowed / game65.867.064.5
Point differential+22.2+21.2+23.2
Avg total153.8155.2152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geneve W
SB League W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game86.090.281.8
Allowed / game69.976.263.5
Point differential+16.1+14.0+18.2
Avg total155.9166.5145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baden W87188%88.065.8+22.2
2 Fribourg W87188%89.868.4+21.4
3 Nyon W87188%88.268.0+20.2
4 Geneve W85362%86.069.9+16.1
5 GC Zurich W84450%71.978.8-6.9
6 Alte Kanti Aarau W82625%64.272.5-8.2
7 Helios VS W82625%77.986.1-8.2
8 BBC Troistorrents W82625%66.880.8-14.0
9 Pully W8080%54.697.2-42.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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