PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bahcesehir Kol. vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-79
19-23 20-19 17-22 25-15
Position#7
Record10-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#13
Record7-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game90.3
EuropeEurocupRound 16· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
68avg 77
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
82-92
82
92
-10
78avg 77
A26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hamburg
#20
W
105-68
105
68
+37
108avg 77
H30/12
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#14
W
100-60
100
60
+40
99avg 77
H03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
67-59
67
59
+8
63avg 77
A06/01
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
58-89
58
89
-31
42avg 77
A11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#10
L
92-96
92
96
-4
87avg 77
H13/01
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
no box
A17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
94-82
94
82
+12
87avg 77
A20/01
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 77
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
19-19
23-16
11-15
22-17
22-20
24-25
14-30
32-23
31-15
22-14
20-16
22-12
18-21
27-15
33-12
13-14
12-21
22-10
20-14
16-23
8-31
19-16
15-19
27-28
12-24
16-20
37-24
18-20
21-19
12-35
21-8
19-29
30-20
21-9
24-24
16-33
26-17
15-15
25-8
159.8Avg total
82.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.481.9171.3+7.567%
Season at home (7)90.482.3172.7+8.157%
Season away (8)88.581.5170.0+7.075%
Last 10 (10)82.677.2159.8+5.460%
Last 5 (5)79.684.4164.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.876.8160.5+7.075%
vs Similar (10)82.683.0165.6-0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.378.6164.9+7.769%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#20
W
92-89
92
89
+3
85avg 76
A17/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
71avg 76
H20/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 76
A27/12
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
60-89
60
89
-29
43avg 76
H30/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
79avg 76
H04/01
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
99-113
99
113
-14
83avg 76
A06/01
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 76
H10/01
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
H14/01
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
113-107 OT
113
107
+6
104avg 76
A20/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
103-97
103
97
+6
101avg 76
A24/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
24-12
17-26
28-24
16-20
23-15
19-15
13-21
18-18
18-19
24-25
16-20
15-19
16-25
11-22
18-23
21-25
22-20
20-28
21-22
18-35
20-28
28-24
33-26
22-21
23-19
22-17
11-19
16-27
21-19
15-27
25-23
24-19
24-31
24-21
17-18
29-25
33-29
18-18
23-25
178.3Avg total
86.3Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.790.3175.0-5.747%
Season at home (8)81.686.9168.5-5.238%
Season away (7)88.194.3182.4-6.157%
Last 10 (10)86.392.0178.3-5.750%
Last 5 (5)94.097.8191.8-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.291.2170.4-12.117%
vs Similar (5)87.486.4173.8+1.060%
vs Weaker (13)89.283.8173.0+5.577%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
Bahcesehir Kol.Aris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hamburg
#20
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H30/12
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A06/01
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#10
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H13/01
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A20/01
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.2Avg total
40.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.783.3-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.184.6+0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)40.941.282.2-0.344%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.783.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.648.887.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.243.885.0-2.525%-
vs Similar (10)39.043.682.6-4.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.439.983.3+3.456%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/12
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/01
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A06/01
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H10/01
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/01
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A20/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A24/01
Basket League
87.9Avg total
42.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.684.7+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.038.880.8+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)44.344.989.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.645.387.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)46.050.696.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.645.488.0-2.833%-
vs Similar (5)40.439.880.2+0.660%-
vs Weaker (13)44.538.883.4+5.785%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.2
55.4%
54.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
34.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.413.4
77.0%
75.2%13.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.5
46.1%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.9
37.4%
34.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.619.3
81.8%
75.2%19.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bahcesehir Kol.
WWLLLWWWLW
Aris
WWLWLLLLWW
#7
League position
#13
+6.5
Net rating
-4.6
105.8
Offensive rating
103.2
99.3
Defensive rating
107.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.1%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.0%
3-point %
37.4%
55.1%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 103.2Defence99.3 · 107.8Shooting53.5% · 50.1%3-point %34.0% · 37.4%Ball care17.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds35.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Bahcesehir Kol.   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
0
Aris wins
DateGameScore
11/11/25Aris v Bahcesehir Kol.76-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HTurk Telekom82-73
20/01/26AHapoel Jerusalem94-82
17/01/26AGalatasaray72-82
13/01/26HManresa92-96
11/01/26AFenerbahce58-89
06/01/26ACedevita Olimpija67-59
03/01/26HPetkim Spor100-60
30/12/25HHamburg105-68
26/12/25ATofas82-92
20/12/25AKarsiyaka74-71
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26APromitheas103-97
20/01/26ASlask Wroclaw113-107 OT
14/01/26HHapoel Jerusalem77-96
10/01/26HIraklis78-76
06/01/26AManresa99-113
04/01/26HOlympiacos84-95
30/12/25HCedevita Olimpija60-89
27/12/25AAEK Athens76-82
20/12/25HPeristeri81-76 OT
17/12/25AHamburg92-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bahcesehir Kol.
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayWLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%57%75%
Points / game89.490.488.5
Allowed / game81.982.381.5
Point differential+7.5+8.1+7.0
Avg total171.3172.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%38%57%
Points / game84.781.688.1
Allowed / game90.386.994.3
Point differential-5.7-5.2-6.1
Avg total175.0168.5182.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem1512380%95.681.9+13.7
2 JL Bourg1511473%81.975.7+6.1
3 Turk Telekom1611569%87.674.9+12.7
4 Besiktas1611569%92.984.6+8.4
5 Cedevita Olimpija1510567%87.378.1+9.2
6 Bahcesehir Kol.1510567%89.481.9+7.5
7 Buducnost1610662%88.181.1+6.9
8 Trento1610662%84.685.9-1.2
9 Manresa159660%88.889.0-0.2
10 Cluj-Napoca158753%94.892.1+2.7
11 Venezia158753%89.787.5+2.2
12 Chemnitz168850%82.282.8-0.6
13 Aris157847%84.790.3-5.7
14 Ulm157847%83.189.7-6.7
15 Neptunas156940%93.997.5-3.6
16 London Lions1551033%75.281.2-6.0
17 Slask Wroclaw1541127%85.395.4-10.1
18 Lietkabelis1631319%79.187.2-8.2
19 Panionios1521313%76.489.1-12.7
20 Hamburg151147%80.396.1-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bahcesehir Kol.1920172581
Aris2319221579
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.