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Aris vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 84-95
21-25 22-20 20-28 21-22
Position#5
Record5-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#1
Record11-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game77.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 13· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Aris v Olympiacos
15 Nov 2026
ARI v OLY
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
ARI84
OLY95
04 Jan 2025
ARI77
OLY88
08 Oct 2023
ARI72
OLY81
22 Apr 2023
ARI58
OLY82
24 Oct 2022
ARI66
OLY83
07 Feb 2022
ARI76
OLY87
29 Oct 2018
ARI64
OLY68
05 Nov 2017
ARI49
OLY56
29 Oct 2017
ARI55
OLY80
13 May 2017
ARI77
OLY84
07 Nov 2016
ARI63
OLY70
04 Jun 2015
ARI62
OLY79
02 Jun 2015
ARI84
OLY74
06 May 2015
ARI58
OLY69
08 May 2014
ARI59
OLY74
17 Mar 2014
ARI59
OLY64
25 Mar 2013
ARI68
OLY84
04 Dec 2011
ARI70
OLY71
12 Oct 2011
ARI59
OLY80
21 May 2011
ARI76
OLY102
23 Oct 2010
ARI65
OLY78
03 May 2010
ARI75
OLY85
24 Oct 2009
ARI78
OLY85
21 Jan 2009
ARI73
OLY77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
74avg 73
A16/11
Basket League
Neptunas
#14
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 73
A18/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
96-80
96
80
+16
96avg 73
H22/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
88-98
88
98
-10
75avg 73
H04/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
85avg 73
H10/12
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 73
A13/12
Basket League
Hamburg
#20
W
92-89
92
89
+3
85avg 73
A17/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
71avg 73
H20/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 73
A27/12
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
60-89
60
89
-29
43avg 73
H30/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
36-18
12-20
14-21
21-28
29-18
23-18
20-23
22-22
25-15
26-18
23-25
21-17
20-21
17-22
30-38
33-22
23-21
14-20
20-23
21-16
18-21
17-18
26-25
23-27
24-12
17-26
28-24
16-20
23-15
19-15
13-21
18-18
18-19
24-25
16-20
15-19
16-25
11-22
18-23
168.4Avg total
83.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.680.4162.0+1.345%
Season at home (5)78.673.6152.2+5.060%
Season away (6)84.286.0170.2-1.833%
Last 10 (10)83.584.9168.4-1.460%
Last 5 (5)78.283.2161.4-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.488.6168.0-9.327%
vs Similar (9)83.482.4165.9+1.056%
vs Weaker (10)86.680.9167.5+5.770%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
PAOK
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
92avg 87
A23/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 87
A26/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 87
H07/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
L
85-98
85
98
-13
83avg 87
A12/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
105-62
105
62
+43
117avg 87
A14/12
Basket League
Valencia
#3
L
92-99
92
99
-7
86avg 87
H16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
107-84
107
84
+23
104avg 87
H19/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
100-86
100
86
+14
98avg 87
H21/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
97-94
97
94
+3
97avg 87
A26/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
87-82
87
82
+5
84avg 87
A02/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
25-24
25-15
19-25
15-21
23-16
27-22
15-32
18-24
33-12
24-24
25-33
22-21
17-21
17-30
29-26
22-23
28-12
32-9
23-18
27-25
20-24
29-18
16-32
26-14
18-20
31-22
32-28
27-23
20-22
32-23
21-18
23-25
27-16
27-19
20-34
28-13
15-30
18-18
26-21
181.5Avg total
94.5Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)95.677.5173.2+18.1100%
Season at home (6)96.083.3179.3+12.7100%
Season away (5)95.270.6165.8+24.6100%
Last 10 (10)94.587.0181.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)96.689.0185.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)84.594.0178.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.681.0172.6+10.682%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -4.1-4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -4.1-4.1
ArisOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A16/11
Basket League
Neptunas
#14
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A18/11
Eurocup
Promitheas
#9
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H22/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H04/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#9
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H10/12
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A13/12
Basket League
Hamburg
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/12
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/12
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/12
Eurocup
83.4Avg total
43.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.782.1+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.079.1+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)44.041.685.6+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.783.4+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)44.743.688.4+1.145%-
vs Similar (9)39.838.878.6+1.067%-
vs Weaker (10)42.436.178.5+6.390%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A23/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A26/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H07/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A14/12
Basket League
Valencia
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H21/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A26/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
86.0Avg total
45.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.885.6+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.240.286.4+6.075%-
Last 30 away (14)45.239.484.6+5.871%-
Last 10 (10)45.740.386.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.488.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)50.048.098.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.439.284.7+6.275%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.117.9
47.0%
54.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.0
38.8%
34.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.316.7
82.3%
74.4%16.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.8
58.8%
54.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.9
39.9%
34.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws22.418.0
80.4%
74.4%18.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLWWWWLWWL
Olympiacos
WWWWLWLWLW
#5
League position
#1
-1.8
Net rating
+9.8
107.5
Offensive rating
128.6
109.3
Defensive rating
118.8
51.5%
Effective FG%
59.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
37.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.8%
3-point %
39.9%
63.8%
Assist %
71.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 128.6Defence109.3 · 118.8Shooting51.5% · 59.3%3-point %38.8% · 39.9%Ball care18.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds27.7% · 37.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Aris   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
10
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Aris v Olympiacos77-88
13/10/24Olympiacos v Aris102-72
31/03/24Olympiacos v Aris85-77
31/12/23Olympiacos v Aris85-71
08/10/23Aris v Olympiacos72-81
22/04/23Aris v Olympiacos58-82
20/04/23Olympiacos v Aris97-73
17/02/23Olympiacos v Aris82-51
29/01/23Olympiacos v Aris89-75
24/10/22Aris v Olympiacos66-83
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HCedevita Olimpija60-89
27/12/25AAEK Athens76-82
20/12/25HPeristeri81-76 OT
17/12/25AHamburg92-89
13/12/25AIraklis82-80
10/12/25HVenezia90-86
04/12/25HCluj-Napoca88-98
22/11/25HPromitheas96-80
18/11/25ANeptunas93-87
16/11/25APanathinaikos77-82
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26APanathinaikos87-82
26/12/25AVirtus Bologna97-94
21/12/25HKolossos Rhodes100-86
19/12/25HLyon-Villeurbanne107-84
16/12/25HValencia92-99
14/12/25APeristeri105-62
12/12/25ABarcelona85-98
07/12/25HAEK Athens100-93
26/11/25ACrvena zvezda80-91
23/11/25APAOK92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL45%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game81.678.684.2
Allowed / game80.473.686.0
Point differential+1.3+5.0-1.8
Avg total162.0152.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.696.095.2
Allowed / game77.583.370.6
Point differential+18.1+12.7+24.6
Avg total173.2179.3165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos11110100%95.677.5+18.1
2 Panathinaikos1110191%92.474.9+17.5
3 PAOK129375%84.881.3+3.4
4 AEK Athens128467%82.879.9+2.8
5 Iraklis126650%81.180.8+0.2
6 Promitheas126650%85.185.2-0.2
7 Mykonos126650%79.181.9-2.8
8 Aris115645%81.680.4+1.3
9 Peristeri125742%75.981.2-5.3
10 AS Karditsas114736%80.183.8-3.7
11 Maroussi112918%86.793.4-6.6
12 Kolossos Rhodes112918%76.384.3-8.0
13 Panionios121118%77.392.4-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2122202184
Olympiacos2520282295
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