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Bahrain vs Iraq Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-85
22-30 13-23 25-18 12-14
Position#25
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Iraq 🏆
Position#16
Record6-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game73.7
EuropeAsia Cup· Khalifa Sport City
Other2023
Meetings · Bahrain v Iraq
23 Mar 2025
BAHR72
IRAQ85
22 Feb 2021
BAHR80
IRAQ77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bahrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iraq winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BahrainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBahrain
Date
Competition
Jordan
#3
L
60-84
60
84
-24
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#16
W
76-62
76
62
+14
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
70-64
70
64
+6
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
63-94
63
94
-31
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
76-71
76
71
+5
74avg 71
H22/11
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
L
77-90
77
90
-13
67avg 71
A25/11
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 71
H21/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
L
87-89
87
89
-2
82avg 71
A24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
77-81
77
81
-4
63avg 71
A22/03
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-28
18-17
17-22
17-17
17-12
14-22
20-14
25-14
20-24
16-31
15-20
22-13
22-9
20-21
9-12
19-22
13-21
20-18
13-29
17-26
26-16
22-12
19-23
9-20
15-20
19-16
12-32
31-22
15-22
18-27
24-19
21-16
15-24
25-22
20-21
27-22
20-25
16-14
17-23
24-19
154.4Avg total
73.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.481.9157.3-6.429%
Season at home (3)74.773.0147.7+1.767%
Season away (4)76.088.5164.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)73.780.7154.4-7.030%
Last 5 (5)79.083.0162.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)66.885.2151.9-18.410%
vs Similar (7)81.383.6164.9-2.357%
vs Weaker (3)80.371.7152.0+8.767%
This opponent (Iraq) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraqLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraq
Date
Competition
Qatar
#13
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
A20/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
82-65
82
65
+17
no box
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
52avg 59
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
L
58-66
58
66
-8
43avg 59
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
71-59
71
59
+12
67avg 59
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
62avg 59
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
77-97
77
97
-20
71avg 59
H21/03
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
23-15
11-16
22-19
27-13
14-25
17-17
24-19
19-18
17-10
29-17
17-20
13-17
16-10
16-17
13-20
25-23
12-13
19-17
19-19
18-23
21-13
7-19
18-18
16-9
20-20
10-16
12-21
19-15
16-29
12-10
24-5
29-13
15-20
13-18
10-22
30-30
8-14
19-32
20-21
142.2Avg total
70.9Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.473.7147.1-0.250%
Season at home (7)75.473.1148.6+2.357%
Season away (5)70.674.4145.0-3.840%
Last 10 (10)70.971.3142.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)67.473.6141.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.273.1139.3-6.920%
vs Similar (9)76.878.8155.6-2.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)74.777.3152.0-2.733%
This opponent (Bahrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
BahrainIraq
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BahrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jordan
#3
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H28/09
Asian Games
Thailand
#16
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A02/10
Asian Games
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H23/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H22/11
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/11
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H21/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/03
Asia Cup
76.0Avg total
35.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.541.576.0-7.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.641.675.2-8.114%-
Last 30 away (16)35.441.476.8-6.025%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.176.0-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.677.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.043.876.7-10.815%-
vs Similar (7)39.036.075.0+3.043%-
vs Weaker (3)34.739.374.0-4.70%-
This opponent (Iraq) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A20/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/02
Asia Cup
Oman
#27
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/02
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H23/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/11
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/11
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H21/02
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/03
Asia Cup
72.7Avg total
37.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.136.973.0-0.854%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.537.172.7-1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)36.836.673.5+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.072.7+2.780%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.275.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.334.971.2+1.470%-
vs Similar (9)36.937.774.6-0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)35.238.373.6-3.133%-
This opponent (Bahrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bahraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahrain: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.0
47.9%
49.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.3
30.5%
32.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.6
77.9%
70.1%16.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraq: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.0
45.8%
49.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.0
23.3%
32.7%15.0
🏀 Free throws24.115.3
63.3%
70.1%15.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bahrain
LLLLWLWLWL
Iraq
LLWLLWLWWW
#25
League position
#16
-9.5
Net rating
-6.3
99.4
Offensive rating
91.0
109.0
Defensive rating
97.3
46.9%
Effective FG%
42.0%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.9%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.5%
3-point %
23.3%
76.5%
Assist %
68.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 91.0Defence109.0 · 97.3Shooting46.9% · 42.0%3-point %30.5% · 23.3%Ball care16.8% · 18.9%Off. rebounds23.7% · 30.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Bahrain   ■ Iraq
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bahrain wins
0
Iraq wins
DateGameScore
22/02/21Bahrain v Iraq80-77
27/11/20Iraq v Bahrain92-95 OT
Bahrainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AIndia77-81
24/02/25ASyria87-89
21/02/25HLebanon78-84
25/11/24AUnited Arab Emirates77-90
22/11/24HSyria76-71
26/02/24ALebanon63-94
23/02/24HUnited Arab Emirates70-64
02/10/23ASouth Korea73-88
30/09/23HThailand76-62
28/09/23HJordan60-84
Iraqlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25HIndia77-97
24/02/25HJordan67-73
21/02/25HPalestine71-59
25/11/24ASaudi Arabia58-66
22/11/24AJordan64-73
26/02/24APalestine75-72
23/02/24HSaudi Arabia58-64
22/02/23HOman82-65
21/02/23HUnited Arab Emirates82-74
20/02/23AQatar75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bahrain
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game75.474.776.0
Allowed / game81.973.088.5
Point differential-6.4+1.7-12.5
Avg total157.3147.7164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iraq
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWLWLL57%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game73.475.470.6
Allowed / game73.773.174.4
Point differential-0.2+2.3-3.8
Avg total147.1148.6145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%102.261.2+41.0
2 Lebanon660100%90.774.7+16.0
3 Jordan660100%77.265.0+12.2
4 China65183%88.361.0+27.3
5 Iran65183%75.550.8+24.7
6 New Zealand65183%87.766.0+21.7
7 Japan65183%79.376.8+2.5
8 Philippines64267%90.073.0+17.0
9 South Korea64267%84.879.3+5.5
10 Saudi Arabia64267%71.368.3+3.0
11 Qatar117464%70.566.3+4.3
12 Chinese Taipei85362%87.078.9+8.1
13 Guam137654%72.778.1-5.4
14 Thailand158753%83.083.1-0.1
15 Syria63350%77.777.2+0.5
16 Iraq126650%73.473.7-0.2
17 Mongolia136746%76.979.2-2.2
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 India83538%67.278.5-11.2
21 United Arab Emirates114736%71.074.5-3.5
22 Kazakhstan62433%53.567.7-14.2
23 Bahrain72529%75.481.9-6.4
24 Palestine113827%69.073.7-4.7
25 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
26 Hong Kong112918%65.682.8-17.2
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia6060%62.896.0-33.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bahrain2213251272
Iraq3023181485
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