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BAL Weert vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-61
17-15 14-20 17-13 19-13
Position#18
Record5-23
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game84.2
BAL Weert 🏆
vs
Circus Brussels
Position#5
Record19-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Boshoven
Other2024-25
Meetings · BAL Weert v Circus Brussels
12 Apr 2025
BAL 67
CIRC61
28 Mar 2023
BAL 69
CIRC74
19 Apr 2022
BAL 62
CIRC56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BAL Weert winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
52-112
52
112
-60
36avg 59
A01/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
65avg 59
A08/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
80-84
80
84
-4
76avg 59
A11/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
76-79
76
79
-3
69avg 59
H15/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 59
A02/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
87avg 59
H12/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
58-93
58
93
-35
43avg 59
H15/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
66-94
66
94
-28
56avg 59
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
68-65
68
65
+3
58avg 59
A03/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 59
A05/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
13-26
15-32
11-23
15-18
18-23
19-21
19-26
28-22
20-16
17-26
15-20
22-20
11-13
27-20
16-26
22-19
22-10
17-24
24-24
15-17
21-23
27-17
31-28
17-18
12-22
10-31
19-22
22-21
11-30
19-21
14-22
21-10
20-20
12-15
15-20
24-21
21-21
19-11
17-32
159.3Avg total
73.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.484.2154.5-13.818%
Season at home (13)69.983.5153.4-13.515%
Season away (15)70.784.8155.5-14.120%
Last 10 (10)73.186.2159.3-13.130%
Last 5 (5)73.484.4157.8-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)69.084.0153.0-15.015%
vs Similar (2)82.589.0171.5-6.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 73
A01/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
102-67
102
67
+35
109avg 73
H09/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
89-86
89
86
+3
76avg 73
A15/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 73
H02/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 73
H12/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
82-68
82
68
+14
75avg 73
A15/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
64avg 73
H23/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
74-87
74
87
-13
61avg 73
H28/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 73
A02/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
97-72
97
72
+25
88avg 73
H06/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
16-23
21-18
20-22
25-11
27-23
24-21
26-12
22-20
18-29
21-13
28-24
21-29
26-21
18-11
15-17
17-17
17-17
15-19
18-27
21-20
25-19
24-18
12-11
19-17
19-13
14-22
21-20
21-28
25-23
16-16
12-20
16-16
17-19
18-21
32-23
21-12
29-19
18-21
29-20
159.4Avg total
81.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.676.3154.9+2.266%
Season at home (15)76.775.0151.7+1.760%
Season away (14)80.577.8158.3+2.771%
Last 10 (10)81.977.5159.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)81.875.6157.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
vs Similar (15)76.980.1157.0-3.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.972.5154.4+9.585%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
BAL WeertCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A01/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H15/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H12/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H15/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A03/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A05/04
BNXT League
76.9Avg total
36.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.840.476.2-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.139.975.0-4.721%-
Last 30 away (16)36.340.977.2-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.176.9-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.677.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.340.475.7-5.030%-
vs Similar (2)42.538.581.0+4.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A01/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A15/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H02/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A15/03
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H23/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H28/03
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A02/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H06/04
BNXT League
81.6Avg total
41.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.378.3-0.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.577.9+0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.378.7-1.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.981.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.279.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.042.573.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (15)37.941.579.3-3.627%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.436.477.8+5.046%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.9
49.2%
52.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.2
34.6%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.811.7
69.6%
71.9%11.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.6
52.8%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.8
36.7%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.5
77.1%
71.9%15.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BAL Weert
LWLLWWLLLL
Circus Brussels
WWLWWLWWWL
#18
League position
#5
-18.0
Net rating
+6.3
97.8
Offensive rating
111.3
115.9
Defensive rating
105.0
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
21.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.6%
3-point %
36.7%
59.8%
Assist %
52.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 111.3Defence115.9 · 105.0Shooting50.2% · 53.7%3-point %34.6% · 36.7%Ball care21.6% · 14.9%Off. rebounds26.1% · 23.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ BAL Weert   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BAL Weert wins
2
Circus Brussels wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Circus Brussels v BAL Weert79-61
19/04/23Circus Brussels v BAL Weert71-77
28/03/23BAL Weert v Circus Brussels69-74
19/04/22BAL Weert v Circus Brussels62-56
27/03/22Circus Brussels v BAL Weert77-83
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ALeiden81-85
03/04/25ADen Helder68-65
29/03/25HBelfius Mons66-94
15/03/25HKortrijk58-93
12/03/25HLWD Basket94-85
02/03/25AQSTA Utd85-77
15/02/25HSpirou Charleroi76-79
11/02/25ADen Bosch80-84
08/02/25ABelfius Mons71-88
01/02/25AOostende52-112
Circus Brusselslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HDen Helder97-72
02/04/25ASpirou Charleroi83-79
28/03/25HMechelen74-87
23/03/25HLimburg73-72
15/03/25AOkapi Aalst82-68
12/03/25HBelfius Mons67-80
02/03/25HZwolle80-78
15/02/25AMechelen89-86
09/02/25HQSTA Utd102-67
01/02/25ALeuven Bears72-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BAL Weert
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL18%
HomeLLWLL15%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %18%15%20%
Points / game70.469.970.7
Allowed / game84.283.584.8
Point differential-13.8-13.5-14.1
Avg total154.5153.4155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW66%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %66%60%71%
Points / game78.676.780.5
Allowed / game76.375.077.8
Point differential+2.2+1.7+2.7
Avg total154.9151.7158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won92% (12)100% (5)86% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk3024680%95.376.8+18.5
2 Oostende3124777%87.475.6+11.8
3 Mechelen2720774%81.976.0+5.9
4 Limburg30201067%80.675.3+5.3
5 Circus Brussels29191066%78.676.3+2.2
6 Antwerp Giants29171259%82.180.9+1.2
7 Spirou Charleroi30171357%81.375.6+5.7
8 Den Bosch30171357%83.180.5+2.6
9 Belfius Mons30171357%80.278.6+1.6
10 Leiden28151354%76.680.1-3.4
11 Leuven Bears30161453%79.874.2+5.6
12 Okapi Aalst29141548%80.779.7+1.0
13 LWD Basket29131645%80.784.6-3.9
14 Zwolle28111739%81.183.4-2.2
15 Den Helder3092130%73.184.4-11.2
16 Donar Groningen2781930%76.686.0-9.4
17 Feyenoord2982128%79.786.9-7.2
18 BAL Weert2852318%70.484.2-13.8
19 QSTA Utd3032710%77.389.7-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BAL Weert1714171967
Circus Brussels1520131361
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