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Mechelen vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-89
20-22 29-18 13-21 24-28
Position#3
Record16-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game74.2
Mechelen
vs
Circus Brussels 🏆
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game75.8
EuropeBNXT League· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mechelen v Circus Brussels
15 Feb 2025
MECH86
CIRC89
27 Jan 2024
MECH58
CIRC79
17 Dec 2022
MECH85
CIRC71
16 Feb 2022
MECH79
CIRC74
06 Jan 2021
MECH99
CIRC79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
75-48
75
48
+27
72avg 76
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 76
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
65avg 76
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
60avg 76
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
44avg 76
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-70
77
70
+7
66avg 76
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 76
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
77avg 76
A08/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-9
22-15
20-14
19-10
23-19
21-31
30-19
26-24
21-18
21-17
19-14
15-16
24-19
15-17
18-30
25-20
17-17
15-28
26-11
15-22
10-18
22-20
23-5
20-26
19-27
18-17
20-11
15-14
20-13
18-28
19-21
20-8
10-18
32-20
25-20
22-11
26-17
20-24
19-17
20-17
152.6Avg total
80.4Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.674.2154.8+6.476%
Season at home (10)82.071.6153.6+10.490%
Season away (11)79.476.5155.9+2.864%
Last 10 (10)80.472.2152.6+8.280%
Last 5 (5)79.670.4150.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.886.8166.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.076.2151.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (15)85.172.0157.1+13.193%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
90avg 74
A29/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
59avg 74
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
79-61
79
61
+18
78avg 74
H15/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
71-66
71
66
+5
67avg 74
A21/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
59-71
59
71
-12
50avg 74
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
74-63
74
63
+11
60avg 74
A11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
74avg 74
H17/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 74
A25/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 74
A01/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
102-67
102
67
+35
109avg 74
H09/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-33
23-23
30-17
19-22
14-21
19-14
23-16
17-20
19-10
24-20
20-10
16-21
17-18
21-20
21-13
12-15
25-22
6-13
18-20
10-16
24-21
8-16
21-14
21-12
21-28
24-25
18-20
27-25
22-24
23-9
21-26
17-15
15-23
16-23
21-18
20-22
25-11
27-23
24-21
26-12
154.4Avg total
79.2Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.875.8153.6+2.062%
Season at home (10)76.073.6149.6+2.460%
Season away (11)79.477.8157.2+1.564%
Last 10 (10)79.275.2154.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)84.277.6161.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.580.2157.6-2.755%
vs Weaker (17)79.172.6151.8+6.571%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
MechelenCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A08/02
BNXT League
78.0Avg total
38.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.138.479.5+2.869%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.336.478.6+5.986%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.380.3-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.278.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.479.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.738.678.3+1.160%-
vs Weaker (15)42.637.379.9+5.380%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A29/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A08/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/01
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H17/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A25/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A01/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/02
BNXT League
78.7Avg total
39.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.178.0-0.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.037.676.6+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)38.840.579.3-1.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.778.7-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.681.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.042.573.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.642.080.6-3.436%-
vs Weaker (17)40.036.876.8+3.241%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.3
51.8%
52.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.3
33.7%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
71.9%15.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.1
53.8%
52.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.9
33.5%
34.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.1
71.6%
71.9%13.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWWWWLLWWW
Circus Brussels
WLWLWLWWWL
#3
League position
#5
+17.0
Net rating
+4.9
110.0
Offensive rating
106.3
93.0
Defensive rating
101.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.7%
3-point %
33.5%
48.3%
Assist %
57.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 106.3Defence93.0 · 101.4Shooting51.3% · 52.6%3-point %33.7% · 33.5%Ball care17.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.1% · 27.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Mechelen   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mechelen wins
3
Circus Brussels wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Mechelen v Circus Brussels58-79
01/12/23Circus Brussels v Mechelen74-88
17/12/22Mechelen v Circus Brussels85-71
02/10/22Circus Brussels v Mechelen81-73
16/02/22Mechelen v Circus Brussels79-74
21/11/21Circus Brussels v Mechelen76-112
06/01/21Mechelen v Circus Brussels99-79
22/12/20Circus Brussels v Mechelen89-87
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25ADonar Groningen85-75
01/02/25HLWD Basket89-69
25/01/25ABAL Weert77-70
18/01/25HDen Bosch72-69
12/01/25AZwolle75-69
05/01/25ALeuven Bears73-78
03/01/25HLeuven Bears82-86
26/12/24HLimburg76-65
21/12/24HFeyenoord100-93
14/12/24ADen Helder75-48
Circus Brusselslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HQSTA Utd102-67
01/02/25ALeuven Bears72-86
25/01/25ALWD Basket83-74
17/01/25HOkapi Aalst90-98
11/01/25AFeyenoord74-63
26/12/24HSpirou Charleroi59-71
21/12/24ALeiden71-66
15/12/24HBAL Weert79-61
08/12/24ADonar Groningen73-71
29/11/24ALimburg89-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%90%64%
Points / game80.682.079.4
Allowed / game74.271.676.5
Point differential+6.4+10.4+2.8
Avg total154.8153.6155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game77.876.079.4
Allowed / game75.873.677.8
Point differential+2.0+2.4+1.5
Avg total153.6149.6157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2018290%92.375.8+16.6
2 Kortrijk2016480%96.778.8+17.9
3 Mechelen2116576%80.674.2+6.4
4 Limburg2013765%79.774.4+5.3
5 Okapi Aalst2113862%83.378.0+5.4
6 Circus Brussels2113862%77.875.8+2.0
7 Spirou Charleroi2213959%79.674.1+5.5
8 Leuven Bears2112957%80.174.2+6.0
9 Belfius Mons21111052%80.678.9+1.8
10 LWD Basket21111052%81.782.4-0.7
11 Antwerp Giants21111052%79.380.1-0.8
12 Den Bosch23121152%81.781.2+0.5
13 Leiden22111150%77.579.9-2.5
14 Zwolle2171433%80.785.7-5.0
15 Den Helder2271532%70.683.0-12.4
16 Donar Groningen1961332%76.884.6-7.8
17 Feyenoord2161529%82.089.9-7.9
18 QSTA Utd2121910%77.089.6-12.6
19 BAL Weert222209%69.084.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2029132486
Circus Brussels2218212889
← all games of the day
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