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Leiden vs BAL Weert Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-81
21-24 21-21 11-19 32-17
Position#12
Record13-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.5
Leiden 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record5-22
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v BAL Weert
31 Jan 2026
LEI80
BAL 65
05 Apr 2025
LEI85
BAL 81
27 Jan 2024
LEI72
BAL 64
19 Nov 2022
LEI99
BAL 43
05 Jan 2022
LEI94
BAL 68
11 May 2021
LEI97
BAL 71
20 Jan 2021
LEI96
BAL 69
14 Mar 2020
LEI v BAL
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
LEI93
BAL 70
02 Apr 2019
LEI103
BAL 84
24 Nov 2018
LEI100
BAL 73
03 Feb 2018
LEI74
BAL 70
14 Oct 2017
LEI101
BAL 78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BAL Weert winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 68
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
77avg 68
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
78-75
78
75
+3
77avg 68
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
71-80
71
80
-9
61avg 68
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
101avg 68
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
62-98
62
98
-36
50avg 68
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
74-65
74
65
+9
65avg 68
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
88avg 68
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
63-98
63
98
-35
52avg 68
A29/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-17
14-22
17-24
16-21
24-15
17-19
28-15
20-20
27-16
21-23
10-16
11-22
16-19
26-14
18-25
30-16
13-18
19-23
33-24
18-26
5-22
21-26
18-24
23-12
25-22
11-14
15-17
21-18
20-18
20-21
26-17
16-13
20-12
14-25
19-27
7-25
18-22
15-25
23-26
155.2Avg total
75.3Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.580.5157.0-4.050%
Season at home (13)77.278.5155.8-1.346%
Season away (13)75.882.5158.3-6.654%
Last 10 (10)75.379.9155.2-4.650%
Last 5 (5)71.082.4153.4-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.682.9156.5-9.333%
vs Similar (7)79.978.1158.0+1.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.575.5154.0+3.067%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
70-77
70
77
-7
64avg 59
H25/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
52-112
52
112
-60
36avg 59
A01/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
65avg 59
A08/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
80-84
80
84
-4
76avg 59
A11/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
76-79
76
79
-3
69avg 59
H15/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 59
A02/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
87avg 59
H12/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
58-93
58
93
-35
43avg 59
H15/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
66-94
66
94
-28
56avg 59
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
68-65
68
65
+3
58avg 59
A03/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
28-18
21-19
8-20
13-31
13-26
15-32
11-23
15-18
18-23
19-21
19-26
28-22
20-16
17-26
15-20
22-20
11-13
27-20
16-26
22-19
22-10
17-24
24-24
15-17
21-23
27-17
31-28
17-18
12-22
10-31
19-22
22-21
11-30
19-21
14-22
21-10
20-20
12-15
15-20
157.4Avg total
72.0Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.084.1154.1-14.219%
Season at home (13)69.983.5153.4-13.515%
Season away (14)70.084.8154.8-14.821%
Last 10 (10)72.085.4157.4-13.430%
Last 5 (5)74.282.8157.0-8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)69.183.5152.6-14.419%
vs Similar (2)82.589.0171.5-6.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -5.9-5.9
LeidenBAL Weert
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/02
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A07/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A02/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A12/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#2
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A21/03
DBL Cup
Leuven Bears
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A29/03
BNXT League
74.0Avg total
36.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.576.0+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.235.877.0+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)37.937.175.1+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.274.0-0.470%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.072.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.640.677.2-4.040%-
vs Similar (7)41.636.377.9+5.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.031.769.7+6.383%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H25/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A01/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/02
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/02
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H15/02
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/03
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H12/03
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H15/03
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H29/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A03/04
BNXT League
76.1Avg total
36.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.740.175.8-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.739.375.0-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)35.740.876.5-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.776.1-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.074.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.340.075.3-4.730%-
vs Similar (2)42.538.581.0+4.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.5
51.8%
52.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.0
32.4%
34.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws14.310.3
72.0%
71.9%10.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.8
48.4%
52.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.9
33.5%
34.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.7
71.3%
71.9%11.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
LLWWLWLWWL
BAL Weert
WLLWWLLLLL
#12
League position
#18
-6.1
Net rating
-18.2
103.7
Offensive rating
96.5
109.8
Defensive rating
114.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.1%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
21.7%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.4%
3-point %
33.5%
70.9%
Assist %
59.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 96.5Defence109.8 · 114.8Shooting50.7% · 49.1%3-point %32.4% · 33.5%Ball care17.5% · 21.7%Off. rebounds29.0% · 27.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Leiden   ■ BAL Weert
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Leiden wins
1
BAL Weert wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24BAL Weert v Leiden65-88
27/01/24Leiden v BAL Weert72-64
04/11/23BAL Weert v Leiden71-88
04/02/23BAL Weert v Leiden58-72
19/11/22Leiden v BAL Weert99-43
05/01/22Leiden v BAL Weert94-68
06/11/21BAL Weert v Leiden59-85
11/05/21Leiden v BAL Weert97-71
08/05/21BAL Weert v Leiden77-86
28/04/21BAL Weert v Leiden90-87
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ALeuven Bears63-98
21/03/25ADonar Groningen69-77
15/03/25HOostende87-74
12/03/25ADonar Groningen74-65
02/03/25ASpirou Charleroi62-98
15/02/25HDen Bosch95-81
07/02/25AOkapi Aalst71-80
02/02/25AZwolle78-75
18/01/25HBelfius Mons85-70
11/01/25AAntwerp Giants69-81
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25ADen Helder68-65
29/03/25HBelfius Mons66-94
15/03/25HKortrijk58-93
12/03/25HLWD Basket94-85
02/03/25AQSTA Utd85-77
15/02/25HSpirou Charleroi76-79
11/02/25ADen Bosch80-84
08/02/25ABelfius Mons71-88
01/02/25AOostende52-112
25/01/25HMechelen70-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLWWW46%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%46%54%
Points / game76.577.275.8
Allowed / game80.578.582.5
Point differential-4.0-1.3-6.6
Avg total157.0155.8158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)33% (3)100% (5)
Overtime %8%0%15%
BAL Weert
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW19%
HomeLLWLL15%
AwayLLLWW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %19%15%21%
Points / game70.069.970.0
Allowed / game84.183.584.8
Point differential-14.2-13.5-14.8
Avg total154.1153.4154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk2923679%96.177.0+19.0
2 Oostende3023777%87.875.8+11.9
3 Mechelen2720774%81.976.0+5.9
4 Limburg2819968%80.474.8+5.7
5 Circus Brussels28181064%77.976.5+1.4
6 Antwerp Giants28171161%82.180.6+1.4
7 Den Bosch29171259%83.680.8+2.8
8 Spirou Charleroi29161355%81.275.6+5.6
9 Belfius Mons29161355%80.078.4+1.6
10 Leuven Bears28141450%79.875.0+4.8
11 Leiden26131350%76.580.5-4.0
12 Okapi Aalst29141548%80.779.7+1.0
13 LWD Basket27131448%80.983.6-2.7
14 Zwolle27111641%81.383.3-2.0
15 Den Helder2992031%73.283.9-10.8
16 Donar Groningen2671927%76.286.2-10.0
17 Feyenoord2772026%79.387.9-8.7
18 BAL Weert2752219%70.084.1-14.2
19 QSTA Utd2732411%78.190.6-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden2121113285
BAL Weert2421191781
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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