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Bali United vs Pacific Caesar Surabaya Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 89-94
30-22 18-31 13-20 28-21
Position#11
Record2-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#9
Record1-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game85.9
IndonesiaIBL· Purna Krida Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bali United v Pacific Caesar Surabaya
12 Mar 2025
BALI89
PACI94
12 May 2024
BALI86
PACI73
10 Jun 2023
BALI74
PACI69
04 Feb 2023
BALI80
PACI72
29 Mar 2021
BALI87
PACI45
12 Mar 2021
BALI75
PACI47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bali United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pacific Caesar Surabaya winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bali UnitedIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 70
A11/01
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
60avg 70
H15/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 70
A25/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
68avg 70
A26/01
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
L
64-74
64
74
-10
44avg 70
A02/02
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
W
71-54
71
54
+17
64avg 70
H07/02
IBL
Satria Muda
#4
L
86-96
86
96
-10
76avg 70
H09/02
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
L
68-86
68
86
-18
46avg 70
H12/02
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
88avg 70
A15/02
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
53avg 70
A04/03
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
19-12
20-19
26-25
17-16
18-20
9-22
23-19
18-22
21-21
27-20
16-24
19-22
27-22
17-28
20-23
16-18
19-17
14-16
15-23
12-13
17-14
25-20
17-7
24-26
18-23
23-26
21-21
14-13
14-19
23-30
17-24
25-19
15-24
19-22
23-17
10-22
17-20
18-19
20-16
158.2Avg total
76.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.681.6158.2-5.020%
Season at home (4)73.078.2151.2-5.225%
Season away (6)79.083.8162.8-4.817%
Last 10 (10)76.681.6158.2-5.020%
Last 5 (5)76.681.4158.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.089.0165.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.083.2164.2-2.225%
vs Weaker (9)85.671.8157.3+13.8100%
This opponent (Pacific Caesar Surabaya) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pacific Caesar SurabayaIndonesiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSurabaya
Date
Competition
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 68
A12/01
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
L
81-82
81
82
-1
67avg 68
H15/01
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
54-89
54
89
-35
38avg 68
H18/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 68
A25/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
L
75-86
75
86
-11
60avg 68
A26/01
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
L
82-90
82
90
-8
73avg 68
A01/02
IBL
Satria Muda
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 68
H07/02
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
L
83-85
83
85
-2
73avg 68
H09/02
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 68
A16/02
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
78-102
78
102
-24
61avg 68
A06/03
IBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-21
18-17
8-12
31-18
15-24
21-23
14-17
11-21
16-20
19-21
8-27
23-27
20-19
18-20
14-16
16-17
24-24
17-22
18-23
20-17
18-30
27-22
17-21
24-23
26-26
20-29
15-16
26-20
17-25
20-20
20-20
18-21
18-21
22-24
15-21
25-29
9-30
31-23
13-20
162.1Avg total
76.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.285.9162.1-9.710%
Season at home (4)75.887.5163.2-11.80%
Season away (6)76.584.8161.3-8.317%
Last 10 (10)76.285.9162.1-9.710%
Last 5 (5)80.291.6171.8-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)75.192.0167.1-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.684.2166.8-1.640%
vs Weaker (2)79.573.5153.0+6.050%
This opponent (Bali United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.1-5.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -5.1-5.1
Bali UnitedPacific Caesar Surabaya
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bali UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A11/01
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A25/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A26/01
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/02
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H07/02
IBL
Satria Muda
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H09/02
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H12/02
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A15/02
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A04/03
IBL
74.5Avg total
36.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.678.9-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.039.377.3-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.980.6+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.374.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.238.671.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.142.580.5-4.418%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.838.581.2+4.275%-
vs Weaker (9)40.334.674.9+5.878%-
This opponent (Pacific Caesar Surabaya) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pacific Caesar SurabayaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rajawali Medan
#14
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A12/01
IBL
Prawira Bandung
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H15/01
IBL
Hangtuah
#6
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H18/01
IBL
RANS PIK
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/01
IBL
Bumi Borneo
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/01
IBL
Tangerang Hawks
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A01/02
IBL
Satria Muda
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H07/02
IBL
Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H09/02
IBL
Kesatria Bengawan Solo
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A16/02
IBL
Pelita Jaya
#1
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A06/03
IBL
85.2Avg total
40.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.245.784.9-6.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.745.487.1-3.636%-
Last 30 away (16)36.946.183.0-9.119%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.585.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.488.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.347.685.9-9.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.240.080.2+0.240%-
vs Weaker (2)46.539.085.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Bali United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bali Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bali United: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.318.0
43.6%
48.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.3
31.3%
29.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.914.7
64.2%
65.5%14.7
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pacific Caesar Surabayatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pacific Caesar Surabaya: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.820.2
44.1%
48.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.7
28.2%
29.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.711.5
65.0%
65.5%11.5
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bali United
LLLLWLLLLW
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
LLLLLLLLLW
#11
League position
#9
-6.8
Net rating
-12.6
92.3
Offensive rating
93.8
99.2
Defensive rating
106.5
44.9%
Effective FG%
43.4%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.3%
3-point %
28.2%
58.9%
Assist %
59.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 93.8Defence99.2 · 106.5Shooting44.9% · 43.4%3-point %31.3% · 28.2%Ball care19.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds27.4% · 28.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Bali United   ■ Pacific Caesar Surabaya
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/25APelita Jaya65-77
15/02/25AKesatria Bengawan Solo93-94 OT
12/02/25HPrawira Bandung68-86
09/02/25HSatria Muda86-96
07/02/25HBima Perkasa Yogyakarta71-54
02/02/25ATangerang Hawks64-74
26/01/25ARANS PIK83-95
25/01/25ABumi Borneo82-87
15/01/25HHangtuah67-77
11/01/25ARajawali Medan87-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25APelita Jaya78-102
16/02/25AKesatria Bengawan Solo73-87
09/02/25HBima Perkasa Yogyakarta83-85
07/02/25HSatria Muda85-94
01/02/25ATangerang Hawks82-90
26/01/25ABumi Borneo75-86
25/01/25ARANS PIK75-82
18/01/25HHangtuah54-89
15/01/25HPrawira Bandung81-82
12/01/25ARajawali Medan76-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bali United
IBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%25%17%
Points / game76.673.079.0
Allowed / game81.678.283.8
Point differential-5.0-5.2-4.8
Avg total158.2151.2162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Pacific Caesar Surabaya
IBL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %10%0%17%
Points / game76.275.876.5
Allowed / game85.987.584.8
Point differential-9.7-11.8-8.3
Avg total162.1163.2161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Satria Muda119282%88.478.5+9.9
2 RANS PIK119282%82.276.3+5.9
3 Pelita Jaya86275%83.072.8+10.2
4 Hangtuah129375%80.270.2+9.9
5 Dewa United107370%90.781.0+9.7
6 Kesatria Bengawan Solo107370%79.673.2+6.4
7 Prawira Bandung117464%76.071.5+4.5
8 Tangerang Hawks116555%78.680.0-1.4
9 Bumi Borneo116555%80.283.3-3.1
10 Bali United102820%76.681.6-5.0
11 Satya Wacana102820%65.375.5-10.2
12 Bima Perkasa Yogyakarta112918%67.580.5-13.0
13 Pacific Caesar Surabaya101910%76.285.9-9.7
14 Rajawali Medan100100%69.283.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bali United3018132889
Pacific Caesar Surabaya2231202194
← all games of the day
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